Primary Outcomes (explanation)
The perceived probability p is the self-reported probability.
P (self) is the perceived probability of interviewee's house collapsing within 50 years
P (other1) is the perceived probability of the collapse of the neighbour's house, as reported by the interviewee;
P (other2) is the perceived probability of the collapse of a generic individual's house located in another city, as reported by the interviewee.