Primary Outcomes (end points)
For the Wait Time RCT, the outcome is simply whether they accept or reject the offer. The aim is to structural estimate the disutility of waiting relative to the marginal utility of income. The experiment allows us to structurally estimate these parameters via MLE. We will also estimate the parameters across low- and high-educated individuals, as well as an alternative model of demand which allows the value of time to depend linearly on income.
For the Price Subsidy RCT, the primary outcomes are (i) probability of taking a bus trip, (ii) number of trips taken. We will also look at types of trips taken, and heterogeneity by gender and income. We will measure outcomes both from primary surveys, as well as metadata from the smartcards.