Promoting investment in solar energy across SMEs in Pakistan: the role of information provision

Last registered on January 03, 2023

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Promoting investment in solar energy across SMEs in Pakistan: the role of information provision
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0010691
Initial registration date
December 22, 2022

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
January 03, 2023, 5:15 PM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Lahore School of Economics

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
University of East Anglia
PI Affiliation
Lahore School of Economics
PI Affiliation
Utah Tech University

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2023-03-01
End date
2023-12-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
South Asia is one of the most vulnerable regions to climate change impacts but also one with vast untapped renewable energy potential (World Bank, 2021). Pakistan, for example, is endowed with huge solar energy resources and utilizing just 0.071% of the country’s area for solar photovoltaic installations would meet its current electricity needs (World Bank, 2021). The transition to renewables would help the country not only fulfil its growing energy demand and curb its carbon emissions, but also mitigate the high cost and unreliability of electricity from the grid, which is almost universally cited by local firms as a major constraint to competitiveness (Bacon, 2019). While larger exporting firms have begun to adopt solar energy also to comply with the environmental standards imposed by their globally branded customers, the more neglected market segment of small-medium enterprises is falling behind, according to a local source active in the solar market.
In this exploratory study, we intend to design and administer a survey across a sample of about 400 owners of small-medium manufacturing enterprises in the garment and food storage sectors in central Punjab to better understand the main structural, informational and behavioural barriers that prevent business owners from switching to greener energy sources such as solar power. In particular, we will elicit respondents’ personal preferences, beliefs and attitudes around solar energy sources, as well as their intended behaviour or expected likelihood of adopting solar energy. In addition, we aim to conduct a randomized information experiment, embedded within the same survey, to test whether specific information provision is effective at changing respondents’ beliefs, attitudes and intentions in relation to purchasing solar energy.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Chaudhry, Azam et al. 2023. "Promoting investment in solar energy across SMEs in Pakistan: the role of information provision." AEA RCT Registry. January 03. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.10691-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Respondents will be randomly assigned either to a control group or to one of two information treatments targeting specific belief categories deemed to be the most relevant predictors of intentions and behavior in relation to purchasing solar energy.
Intervention Start Date
2023-03-01
Intervention End Date
2023-09-01

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Posterior beliefs regarding the perceived benefit of solar energy, intentions to invest in solar power
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
In Part 1, we will elicit respondents’ personal preferences (including risk preferences and loss aversion measures), beliefs and attitudes around solar power, energy and the global crisis, as well as environmental issues. More specifically, following the best practice guidance provided by Fuster and Zafar (2021) and Haaland et al. (2021), the subject beliefs that we would solicit from firm decision makers would include:
• Benefits of solar energy (financial savings, power stability, GHG emissions, health etc.);
• Costs of solar energy (installation, operations and maintenance, administrative procedures);
• Future electricity price increases (of solar and other green alternatives, as well as non-green sources);
• Future electricity shortages (hours of electricity outages per day or “load shedding”);
• Solar energy usage by other firms in the same sector;
• Requirements of international buyers for green energy usage in export production;
• Requirements for solar installation (roof space etc.);
• Awareness/understanding of available financing options;
Finally, we will also elicit respondents’ intended behaviour or expected likelihood of purchasing solar energy sources.

In Part 2, respondents will be randomly assigned either to a control group or to one of two information treatments targeting specific belief categories deemed to be the most relevant predictors of intentions and behavior in relation to purchasing solar energy.

In Part 3, we will re-elicit respondents’ beliefs and attitudes around solar energy, as well as the intended likelihood of purchasing it. In Part 4, we will ask a comprehensive battery of socio-demographic and standard firm characteristics. Based on the results of the analysis and on the available financial resources, we will try to investigate the longer-term impacts of information provision on beliefs, intentional and actual purchasing behavior from the same respondents in a follow-up survey two to three months later.

The primary data collected through this survey tool will allow us to carry out two main types of analysis. First, we will be able to examine how respondents’ preferences, prior beliefs and attitudes over solar power affect the likelihood of investing in this renewable energy. We will look at how the relative contribution of structural and behavioral barriers in hindering the adoption of solar energy across small-medium enterprises in central Punjab changes across different sectors and generations. Second, our field experiment embedded in the survey will allow us to compare the average likelihood of purchasing solar energy across different treatment groups and test whether objective information provision is effective at changing attitudes towards solar energy and intentions to purchase it. Overall, by providing a better understanding of SMEs managers’ decision-making process, the study will help policy makers design more effective policy instruments to support the market deployment of renewable energies such as solar power.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
By computer
Randomization Unit
Firm
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
400 firms
Sample size: planned number of observations
400 firms
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
~133 firms Treatment 1
~133 firms Treatment 2
~133 firms Control Group
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Respondents will be randomly assigned either to a control group or to one of two information treatments targeting specific belief categories deemed to be the most relevant predictors of intentions and behavior in relation to purchasing solar energy. Based on the recommendations of Haaland et al. (2021) that information provision experiments targeting beliefs should have at least 80 percent power to detect a treatment effect size of 25 percent of a standard deviation, our preliminary power calculations suggest a sample size of 400 firms for a standard deviation of 0.7 (approximately 130 firms for each treatment arm: treatment 1, treatment 2 and control group
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
IRB Approval Date
IRB Approval Number

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials