| Field | Before | After |
|---|---|---|
| Field Last Published | Before July 24, 2025 04:07 AM | After March 10, 2026 04:52 AM |
| Field Study Withdrawn | Before | After No |
| Field Intervention Completion Date | Before | After July 08, 2024 |
| Field Data Collection Complete | Before | After Yes |
| Field Final Sample Size: Number of Clusters (Unit of Randomization) | Before | After 1459 participants |
| Field Was attrition correlated with treatment status? | Before | After No |
| Field Final Sample Size: Total Number of Observations | Before | After 1459 participants |
| Field Final Sample Size (or Number of Clusters) by Treatment Arms | Before | After Approximately 150 participants per treatment arm (see the published paper for details.) |
| Field Public Data URL | Before | After https://osf.io/d47qm/ |
| Field Is there a restricted access data set available on request? | Before | After No |
| Field Program Files | Before | After Yes |
| Field Program Files URL | Before | After https://osf.io/d47qm/ |
| Field Data Collection Completion Date | Before | After July 08, 2024 |
| Field Is data available for public use? | Before | After Yes |
| Field | Before | After |
|---|---|---|
| Field Paper Abstract | Before | After We investigate how the anchoring effect—a well-established cognitive bias—influences subjective belief distributions. While prior research extensively examines the impact of anchoring and other biases on point estimates, their effect on the underlying distribution and its higher moments remains unexplored. Using two pre-registered online experiments (N = 1467) and two elicitation methods, we find that anchoring impacts not just the mean, but also higher moments of belief distributions. Notably, the traditional anchoring effect in means diminishes when eliciting distributions rather than point estimates. We also find that the elicitation method matters: inattentive participants generate spiky distributions when manually entering numbers for many bins, whereas they generate flat distributions using a click-and-drag interface. These findings show that cognitive biases can extend beyond point estimates, and that the elicitation technique may impact results especially among inattentive participants. |
| Field Paper Citation | Before | After Håkan J. Holm, Margaret Samahita, Roel van Veldhuizen, Erik Wengström, Anchoring and subjective belief distributions, Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Volume 240, 2025, 107304, ISSN 0167-2681, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107304. (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167268125004214) |
| Field Paper URL | Before | After https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107304 |