THE ORIGINS OF CAREER CHOICES OF STUDENTS IN LOWER EDUCATIONAL TRACKS

Last registered on June 30, 2023

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
THE ORIGINS OF CAREER CHOICES OF STUDENTS IN LOWER EDUCATIONAL TRACKS
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0011547
Initial registration date
June 08, 2023

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
June 15, 2023, 4:26 PM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Last updated
June 30, 2023, 6:12 AM EDT

Last updated is the most recent time when changes to the trial's registration were published.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Toulouse School of Economics

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Universität Konstanz
PI Affiliation
Universität Regensburg
PI Affiliation
Universität Regensburg

Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2023-06-12
End date
2023-07-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
We will examine how 11-15 years old students from the lower tracks of secondary school in Germany (plan to) choose their post-secondary career tracks and fields of occupation. Combining survey, experimental, and econometric methods, we will study the origins of students’ plans in one unified framework, examining the relative importance of i) preferences for different career aspects, ii) beliefs about these career aspects across different tracks and fields, and iii) perceived external pressure from parents and peers. We actively involve both parents and peers to analyze to what extent they shape students’ preferences and beliefs and influence choices directly through perceived pressure. Focusing on young students of ages 11 to 15 is crucial to identify at what ages students start forming preferences and beliefs relevant to their choices and at what age external pressures are active and internalized. This is also the age at which most professional orientation programs take place in schools.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Cassar, Lea et al. 2023. "THE ORIGINS OF CAREER CHOICES OF STUDENTS IN LOWER EDUCATIONAL TRACKS." AEA RCT Registry. June 30. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.11547-2.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Intervention Start Date
2023-06-12
Intervention End Date
2023-07-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
1) Students track aspiration (continue school vs. vocational training vs. start working without further education)
2) Students aspired (occupational) fields (Field 1: construction, surveying, metal construction, mechanical engineering, production, manufacturing, agriculture, transport, or logistics. Field 2: Services, health, social services, or education. Field 3: Business, administration, art, culture, design, or media. Field 4: Science, IT, Computer, Electrical or Engineering)

And especially derived from this (for the 50% with a confidential question about rating tracks first):
3) Adjustments in the aspired educational track between the first (confidential) elicitation of aspirations and the second elicitation of aspirations (and whether this adjustment varies across experimental conditions of the instructions for the treated section). One special focus in addition is given here to downward adjustments in aspired tracks.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
3) The variable “consistency_tracks” will take the value 1 if a student gave the highest rating to the track he or she says they would prefer to pursue, and 0 otherwise.

b) The variable “track_downward_adjustment” will take the value 1 in the following two cases: first, if a student gives the highest rating to continuing school but then states they would like to do vocational training or start working without further education. Second, if a student gives the highest rating to pursuing vocational training but then states they would like to start working without further education. In all other cases, this outcome variable will take the value of 0.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
A) Perceived disagreement about preferred educational tracks with parents
B) Perceived disagreement about preferred occupational fields with parents
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
A) Takes the value one if preferred track of the student is different from the perceived preferred track of at least one parent (or separately for mother/father)
B) Takes the value one if preferred field of the student is different from the perceived preferred field of at least one parent (or separately for mother/father)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
Please see after study is over.
Experimental Design Details
The goal of the experiment is to identify the role of external pressure from parents and peers in influencing students’ planned track and field choices. We use a similar experimental approach as the one used by Müller (2021) to identify parents’ pressure on German high-school students to attend university.

In the third section of the questionnaire, students are asked about their plans for the time after 10th grade (at Realschulen) or 9th grade (at Mittelschulen): They are instructed to think more carefully about their plans after they finish secondary school and (depending on the treatment) to show their plans to and discuss them with their parents and peers. For this purpose, they are given a QR code which will allow them to access their answers about their plans given in the questionnaire. To analyze how having to discuss one's stated plans with parents or peers changes students' answers, we experimentally vary the type of instructions across three treatments at the individual level.

More specifically, students are asked to show their answers about their plans to their parents (treatment 1), to 2-3 classmates (treatment 2) and to talk to them about their plans for after secondary school. In addition, we also have a control group (treatment 3) in which students are not asked to show their plan to someone, but just to look at their answers at home and to think again about what they want to do after secondary school.

Given our design, we can use the experimental between-subject variation in instructions to analyze how the different instructions affect the share of students aspiring to a certain track or to a certain occupational field (as well as for sub-groups of students).

Given our design, we also have one within-subject element left. 50% of student state their career plans/aspirations twice in the survey at school: once in confidentiality at the beginning of the survey (in the form of a rating question) and once in section 3 after the differing experimental instructions. For those in treatments 1 or 2, this means that when they get to state their plans for the second time, they will do so under the assumption that they will have to share their plans with their parents or 2-3 classmates. By comparing the likelihood of students revising their answers (before ultimately sharing them) across treatments and the direction towards which they change their answers, we can test if and how perceived external pressure from parents or peers influences students' planned track choices.
Randomization Method
Randomization done by random assignment of codes to students (via random ordering and distribution of envelopes with different codes)
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
Ca. 16 schools and 155 classes
Sample size: planned number of observations
Ca. 2,000 - 3,200 pupils
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Ca. 1/3 for each treatment
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Ethikkommission bei der Universität Regensburg
IRB Approval Date
2023-06-05
IRB Approval Number
23-3352-101
Analysis Plan

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Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials