Investigating the Dynamics of the ethno-religious polarization on Election Outcomes: A case of Nigeria 2023 General Election

Last registered on October 04, 2023


Trial Information

General Information

Investigating the Dynamics of the ethno-religious polarization on Election Outcomes: A case of Nigeria 2023 General Election
Initial registration date
September 26, 2023

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
October 04, 2023, 1:59 PM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.



Primary Investigator

Obafemi Awolowo University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

Additional Trial Information

In development
Start date
End date
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Ethnoreligious can be an effective instruments in politics of every democratic settings. Politicians utilise religion and ethnicity for the purpose of achieving their political objectives. This has been a phenomenon all over the ages and in different political contexts. This ethnoreligious phenomenon has been a significant influence on political decisions, campaign strategy and the outcomes of elections.This research project keen to know, to what extent the ethno-religious diverse actually influence political participation among the identity lines and it's effects on sustainability of Democracy in Nigeria. Another rationale behind this research project is to identify how effective is ethnoreligious diversity shape the democratization process.and institutions in Nigeria.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Ogunwale, Adekunle. 2023. "Investigating the Dynamics of the ethno-religious polarization on Election Outcomes: A case of Nigeria 2023 General Election ." AEA RCT Registry. October 04.
Experimental Details


Intervention Start Date
Intervention End Date

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Not applicable
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The research design that the investigator would be used within the context of the research ethics will be qualitative and quantitative methods. To have a reliable data, the source of the data are primary and secondary. That's, the investigator will use both structured and unstructured questionnaires. This will give room for open minded responses to have qualitative data. Interview with political stakeholders would be conducted to have accurate and logical hints on the significance roles religious and ethnic diversity play in the democratization sustainability in Nigeria. Examination of relevant records would be examined for administrative data purposes. By and large, the investigator will collect quantitative and qualitative data using a combination of research techniques such as questionnaires, Interview, observations, documents, and secondary data to give an accurate, reliable and valid research results.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
It's projected to randomly pick one state in each Nigeria geopolitical zones. One state from North East, North West, North Central, South East, South South, and South West parts of the country respectively.
Randomization Unit
Ethnicity identity
Religious identity
Political parties
General public
Was the treatment clustered?

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
The sample technique to be used in this research project will cut across religious faith, ethnic identities, political leaderships, and adults voters of the selected areas. For the purpose of this research, 150 Christians and Muslims each respondents would be selected and 50 other faiths would also among those who the investigator will interview. At random, 50 political parties' stakeholders, 50 religious leaders, and 50 ethnic leaders would be selected tactically to know their views. Similarly,
Sample size: planned number of observations
500 respondents in total.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
150 Christians;
150 Muslims;
50 other religions;
50 political party stakeholders;
50 Muslim leaders; and
50 Christian Leaders
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
IRB Approval Date
IRB Approval Number


Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Is the intervention completed?
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials