From the Pulpit to the People: How Sermons Shape Beliefs and Behavior

Last registered on April 02, 2024

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
From the Pulpit to the People: How Sermons Shape Beliefs and Behavior
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0012715
Initial registration date
March 26, 2024

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
April 02, 2024, 10:59 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Harvard University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2024-06-01
End date
2025-06-01
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Religion serves as an important source of beliefs for many across the world yet we know little about how religion and religious leaders contribute to belief formation. In this study, I exploit a unique partnership with the Punjab Auqaf Department in Pakistan, responsible for running state religious properties, to experimentally vary sermon content in 300 mosques and evaluate the causal impact of religious sermons on mosque-goers' social beliefs and behavior. By randomizing imams to sermon scripts emphasizing the importance of community rights and women's rights, I explore the importance of religious messaging for prosociality towards neighbors, community engagement, and attitudes towards women's social and economic participation.



External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Ahsan, Muhammad Adil. 2024. "From the Pulpit to the People: How Sermons Shape Beliefs and Behavior." AEA RCT Registry. April 02. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.12715-1.0
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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
In the presence of uncertainty, beliefs drive decision-making. For example, beliefs about the importance of community, women’s appropriate role in society, and prevailing social norms all factor into decisions such as whether to act prosocially towards neighbors or support women’s labor market participation. Previous work has demonstrated how changing beliefs can engender positive social change (Bursztyn et al., 2020). However, belief formation, and the role of past experiences, religion, media, schooling, and local leaders therein remains understudied.

In this project, I focus on religious leaders and study the importance of one source of information in Muslim society for belief formation: sermons. Delivered before the Friday congregational prayer by an imam, the sermon, or khutbah, is often considered one of the most important sources of spiritual, social, and moral guidance for Muslims. While such messaging may partially help explain the strong correlation between moralistic religion and prosociality observed globally (Caicedo et al., 2023), concern has been raised about the potential for sermons to preserve conservative social norms but evidence is lacking. Since the information in sermons is public, the audience often exclusively male, and the source a local religious leader, a causal evaluation of Friday sermons offers a unique opportunity to study belief formation in the presence of others, intra-household belief transmission, the sources of religious leaders' authority, and the potential for sermons to serve as policy tools for information transmission.

To this end, I work with the Punjab Auqaf Department, which is responsible for running state mosques, to randomize sermon content and evaluate effects on individuals' beliefs and behavior. I then study impacts on prosociality towards neighbors and attitudes about women's economic and social participation to further our understanding of the role of religion, religious leaders, and religious messaging in shaping social beliefs and behavior.
Intervention Start Date
2024-06-01
Intervention End Date
2025-06-01

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
- Mosque donations
- Community cleanliness
- Allocations to a poor neighbor or women's employment fund in dictator games
- Signing of a pro-women's rights petition
- Men's willingness to allow wives to be surveyed
- Mosque attendance
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
My secondary outcomes consist of self-reports about:
- Interaction with neighbors
- Importance of neighbors
- Trust in neighbors
- Decision-making involvement of wives
- Interaction with wives and daughters
- Psychological well-being of women
- Aspirations for daughters
- Importance of women’s economic, political, and social participation
- Beliefs about social norms
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The study is a randomized control trial implemented in collaboration with the Punjab Auqaf Department. To evaluate the role of religious leaders and religious messaging in shaping beliefs and behavior, Auqaf imams, who are state employees, will be given sermon scripts and expected to deliver them verbatim. Enumerators will record the sermon delivered to evaluate compliance.

300 Auqaf imams will be randomized to either a business-as-usual control condition, treatment 1 (sermon scripts on women's rights), or treatment 2 (sermon scripts on community rights). Randomization will be stratified by whether the mosque is commercial or residential and congregation size (categorized into three bins).
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization done in office by a computer
Randomization Unit
Mosque
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
300 Mosques
Sample size: planned number of observations
3000 male mosque-goers (and wives for those who consent); 300 imams
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
-Control (100 mosques): Business-as-usual sermons

-Treatment 1a (25 mosques): Fully religious sermon on women's rights with information sharing script
-Treatment 1b (25 mosques): Fully religious sermon on women's rights with no information sharing script
-Treatment 1c (25 mosques): Partially secular sermon on women's rights with information sharing script
-Treatment 1d (25 mosques): Partially secular sermon on women's rights with no information sharing script

-Treatment 2a (25 mosques): Fully religious sermon on community rights with information sharing script
-Treatment 2b (25 mosques): Fully religious sermon on community rights with no information sharing script
-Treatment 2c (25 mosques): Partially secular sermon on community rights with information sharing script
-Treatment 2d (25 mosques): Partially secular sermon on community rights with no information sharing script
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
I compute the MDE for allocations in dictator games and community cleanliness from my pilot data. I estimate that the MDE when I pool my religious/secular and information sharing/no sharing treatments is 0.13 SD for allocations in dictator games and community cleanliness. The MDE for comparing the sub-treatments to each other (e.g. religious vs secular or information sharing vs no sharing) is 0.17 SD for allocations in dictator games and community cleanliness.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
IRB Approval Date
IRB Approval Number
Analysis Plan

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