The impact of system of rice intensification and its mechanized version on rice productivity and income: Evidence from Bangladesh

Last registered on May 22, 2024

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
The impact of system of rice intensification and its mechanized version on rice productivity and income: Evidence from Bangladesh
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0013621
Initial registration date
May 15, 2024

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
May 21, 2024, 10:49 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Last updated
May 22, 2024, 2:52 AM EDT

Last updated is the most recent time when changes to the trial's registration were published.

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
PI Affiliation
University of Tsukuba
PI Affiliation
Hitotsubashi University
PI Affiliation
Miyazaki International Universtiy

Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2021-04-01
End date
2026-03-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial is based on or builds upon one or more prior RCTs.
Abstract
Overall:
In developing countries, a set of rice management practices called "System of Rice Intensification (SRI)" is attracting attention as a low-input and potentially high-yield technique. However, its adoption rate is generally very low. Why are seemingly promising agricultural technologies not widespread? To answer this big question, we conduct a large-scale randomized controlled trial in rural Bangladesh. In particular, we examine the impact of the relaxation of labor constraints through mechanizing part of practices, compare the income and profit effects of SRI and SRI with mechanization, and identify the general equilibrium effects on labor and product markets, if any.

Detail:
The "Green Revolution" that began in the mid-1960s enabled high yields through the introduction of modern varieties of rice and wheat, as well as the use of agro-chemicals, including fertilizers and pesticides. In recent years, however, the development and diffusion of environmentally friendly technologies in Asian countries has become an urgent issue because of competition with the industrial sector over water use, the impact on global warming caused by the generation of large amounts of greenhouse gases from rice paddies, and the worsening of soil contamination and health hazards caused by excessive use of agricultural chemicals. Among the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the promotion of sustainable agriculture is promoted across targets 2, 12, 13, and others.
In Asia and other developing countries, a technological package of rice management practice, called "System of Rice Intensification (SRI)" is attracting attention as a low-input, environmentally-friendly, high-yield rice farming method. SRI is characterized by (1) transplanting young seedlings, (2) planting one or two seedlings per hill, (3) sparse planting, (4) intermittent flooding, and (5) the use of organic fertilizers. It is also said to be a pro-poor technology because it does not require additional modern rice seeds or chemical fertilizers, and the number of seedlings can be reduced and input costs can be kept down by (2)-(3). In the early 2000s, there was some controversy over the effectiveness of SRI in increasing yields, but after several verifications, it is now widely accepted that SRI leads to increased yield. Although SRI is seen as a "promising" rice technology that offers low inputs and high yields, adoption rates are still generally very low.
This study tries to address this adoption puzzle, focusing on the case of SRI practice in Bangladesh. One reason for this low adoption is that SRI requires more labor inputs for cultivation and water management than conventional farming methods, which may result in a limited impact on income and profit (Takahashi and Barrett 2014, AJAE). In Bangladesh, the Rural Development Academy (RDA), a government agency, is promoting "mechanized SRI" (MSRI) by developing and using rice transplanters for SRI (machines that can easily and reliably perform the unique 1-2 seedling planting and sparse planting of SRI) in order to reduce labor costs associated with SRI adoption. (MSRI) through the development and use of rice transplanters for SRI (machines that can easily and reliably plant one or two seedlings and sparse cultivation specific to SRI).

In collaborating with RDA, we will mainly answer the following research questions:
1. Why has seemingly promising agricultural technology (SRI) not been widely adopted?
- What are the main constraints to SRI adoption? In particular, does MSRI through mechanization increase the adoption rate?
- Are MSRI and SRI preferable technologies in terms of income and profit compared to conventional farming methods?
2. What impact could the diffusion of MSRI and SRI have on adopting and non-adopting farmers through general equilibrium effects on labor and product markets?

First, in light of the lack of widespread adoption of SRI, a seemingly promising technology, this study will investigate its constraints and profit effects. If the labor costs associated with SRI adoption can be reduced by mechanizing some of the work, MSRI-adopting farmers may be able to earn higher incomes and profits and actively adopt SRI. However, SRI is also a knowledge-intensive technology that requires relatively advanced skills in cultivation and water management. If farmers' lack of knowledge is a constraint to adoption, simply reducing labor costs and increasing expected profits by introducing MSRI will not be enough to promote its diffusion.
Second, this study will determine how the diffusion of SRI and MSRI affects adopting and non-adopting farmers through general equilibrium effects: SRI and MSRI with mechanization may increase profits for adopting farmers, while increased production may decrease income for SRI and MSRI adopting and non-adopting farmers if output prices decline. MSRI could also reduce the income of rice farmers, both adopters and non-adopters of SRI and MSRI. MSRI could also have a negative impact on (mainly landless) farmers engaged in agricultural labor if it reduces the demand for rural labor and lowers wages. These general equilibrium effects are particularly important for predicting social impacts when interventions are scaled up, but are one issue that has not been adequately tested in previous studies.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Kijima, Yoko et al. 2024. "The impact of system of rice intensification and its mechanized version on rice productivity and income: Evidence from Bangladesh." AEA RCT Registry. May 22. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.13621-1.1
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Rice is the single most important crop in Bangladesh. Hence the seasonality of rural areas is strongly connected to the country’s rice-growing cycles, namely Boro (January to April/May), Aus (May to July/August), and Aman (September to December). Of these, we target the Boro season as an intervention of our study as it is in dry season and many farmers use irrigation water for rice cultivation, which will be a better fit for SRI practices. The baseline data were collected after the Boro season in 2020-2021, and the simple demonstration was conducted in the Boro season in 2021-2022. Then, the intensive intervention/training (RCT) was implemented in the Boro season in 2022-2023, followed by the endline survey in September-November in 2023.
Intervention Start Date
2021-08-18
Intervention End Date
2023-03-15

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Adoption rate of set of recommended management technologies, such as (1) transplanting young seedlings, (2) planting one or two seedlings per hill, (3) sparse planting, (4) intermittent flooding, and (5) the use of organic fertilizers, as well as rice profits and income.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
(1) early transplanting of seedlings that are 12-20 days old; (2) shallow planting (1-2 cm) of 2-3 seedlings; (3) sparse planting in a square grid (more than 20×20 cm), (4) Alternate Wetting and Drying

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Women labor input, child schooling
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
To examine the constraints and economic impact of SRI adoption, we implemented a randomized controlled trial in collaboration with RDA. From the target districts of Tangail, Sirajgani, Bogura, Pabna, and Rangpur, we randomly select three villages in each district, and within each district, we randomly divide villages into the following three groups: (a) villages with no intervention (15 villages); (b) villages with training in traditional SRI (15 villages); (c) villages with training in mechanized SRI (MSRI). From each village, we randomly select 20 rice-growing farmers and 5 landless agricultural labor households, yielding the total sample size of 1125 households. The latter samples are collected to see the existence of general equilibrium effects if any (or more precisely, changes in wage/income levels of agricultural-laborer households due to the spread of MSRI).
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization done in office by a computer,
Randomization Unit
villages
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
45 villages
Sample size: planned number of observations
1125 households
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
15 villages for no intervention; 15 villages with training in traditional SRI; and 15 villages with training in mechanized SRI
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies
IRB Approval Date
0202-08-31
IRB Approval Number
S2021-1