Primary Outcomes (end points)
Our main outcomes for the flyer, meeting, and diffusion arms require a combination of follow-up surveys and administrative take-up data, which is publicly available on a government portal at the village level.
In the flyer and meeting arms, we focus on enrollment and take-up of the program and impacts on agricultural production decisions, consumption, and risk sharing behavior. In the diffusion arm, we focus on the spread of information about the scheme and subsequent enrollment throughout the village social network both during the current and future agricultural seasons.
We hypothesize that overall insurance take-up will be affected by ease of enrollment (e.g., distance to the government office), prior exposure to natural disasters, prior exposure to the policy (by caste), the occupational mix of the village (e.g., fishing vs. agriculture, land distribution across households), and eligibility status of households (e.g., loanees vs. sharecroppers vs. non-loanee landholders). At the household level, we are also collecting information on caste and land-holdings. We also hypothesize that take-up will vary by village network characteristics and, in the diffusion experiment, the treatment assignment of other nodes.
We anticipate having natural variation in weather outcomes across our sample, which will permit us to study whether insurance payouts help households mitigate negative shocks and the extent to which weather and payout realizations impact take-up in subsequent years. Floods may also vary in their incidence across the village.
We plan to collect data at several points in time. First, we will conduct a short follow-up survey in the weeks following the enrollment deadline to measure take-up, beliefs about the policy, and social network information.
We will return to respondents following the harvest of the Kharif crop to measure farm inputs and yields along with detailed information on social networks and transfers between households. We will return to households again following planting in summer 2025 to measure agricultural and labor allocation decisions for the subsequent season along with insurance take-up.
In the willingness-to-pay experiment, we focus on demand for the transportation to the government office as the main outcome. In addition to the dimensions of potential heterogeneity mentioned above, we will additionally have information on respondents’ beliefs about the quality of the program, access to other transportation options, and network composition, which may each affect demand for take-up and demand for privacy.