The Value of Immigrant Assimilation

Last registered on February 12, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
The Value of Immigrant Assimilation
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0014728
Initial registration date
February 11, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
February 12, 2025, 12:24 PM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Warwick

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
University of Warwick

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-02-12
End date
2025-09-15
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
We investigate how UK natives value immigrant cultural assimilation, using an online experiment with a representative sample of UK residents on Prolific. Participants evaluate pairs of hypothetical immigrant profiles that vary along three dimensions: the cultural distance between the immigrant's home country and the UK, the immigrant's income level in the UK, and randomly provided information about their cultural assimilation. By analysing natives' choices between these profiles, we can estimate their income-equivalent willingness to pay for immigrants from culturally similar versus distant countries and assess how cultural integration influences this valuation.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Fatemi Pour, Elaheh and Priyama Majumdar. 2025. "The Value of Immigrant Assimilation." AEA RCT Registry. February 12. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.14728-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Participants compare a series of scenarios involving two hypothetical immigrant profiles that vary by cultural background—either from countries similar to or distant from the UK—and income levels. In each scenario, the immigrant from a culturally similar country has a fixed income, while the income of the immigrant from a culturally distant country varies across scenarios. Participants indicate their preferred immigrant to stay in the UK considering that only one can remain in each case. The intervention involves informing the participants in the treatment group that the immigrant from the culturally distant country has values similar to UK cultural norms, while the control group receives no such information. This design allows us to examine how information about cultural integration influences the income-based trade-offs participants make between culturally similar and distant immigrants.
Intervention (Hidden)
Intervention Start Date
2025-02-12
Intervention End Date
2025-02-28

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
The primary outcome of interest is the income level at which participants switch their preference between the two immigrants in each pair—one from a culturally similar country with a fixed income and one from a culturally distant country with a varying income.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We ask participants to evaluate pairs of hypothetical immigrant profiles that vary in their cultural backgrounds (from similar or distant countries relative to the UK) and income levels. Cultural background is measured through dimensions of gender, religion, and political values. Participants choose between Immigrant B from a culturally similar country and Immigrant A from a culturally distant country in a series of paired profiles. In each comparison, B's income remains fixed while A's income varies across comparisons. We randomly assign participants to either a control group receiving no information about Immigrant A's current cultural values, or a treatment group, which is informed that Immigrant A's values align with that of a typical UK native. For each participant, we measure the income level of Immigrant A at which participants become indifferent between choosing Immigrant A or B to remain in the UK, who are otherwise the same in all aspects.

All participants are UK residents. Our primary focus is on analysing the behaviour of UK natives (those born in the UK).
Experimental Design Details
Participants evaluate vignettes describing two hypothetical immigrants (A and B) with identical profiles: both are unmarried males in their thirties, share their respective countries' majority ethnicity, and have the same education level (randomly assigned as either both college graduates or non-college graduates). We also mention that both immigrants entered the UK legally five years ago upon receiving a job offer in the UK and are eligible for Indefinite Leave to Remain (ILR), having met all requirements including English proficiency and the Life in the UK test. Neither has a criminal record. By doing so, we ensure that both immigrants are viewed as compliant with UK law and standards, meeting key legal benchmarks. The only difference is their cultural origins: Immigrant B comes from a country culturally similar to the UK, while Immigrant A originates from a culturally distant country.

Cultural distance is measured using Wave 7 of the World Values Survey (WVS). Using this questionnaire, we focus on questions that reflect core beliefs, omitting items that capture individual preferences or attitudes related to a specific country. We construct three dimensions of cultural difference based on two key criteria: (1) maximising the response gap between the standardised responses in the UK and the top 10 immigrant-sending countries to the UK, and (2) including at least one country with responses similar to the UK's. The questions that meet these two criteria are: "When jobs are scarce, men should have more right to a job than women"; "The only acceptable religion is my religion"; "The army [should] take over when the government is incompetent."

In the vignettes, Immigrant B is shown as coming from a country where people typically "Disagree" (aligned with UK values) with the above statements, while Immigrant A comes from a country where people typically "Agree" (different from UK values). We omit country names to allow geographic associations to emerge only through the cultural values presented in the vignettes, if they emerge. Additionally, we elicit participants' perceptions of the country of origin of the hypothetical immigrants to assess whether the vignettes influence these associations.

We present participants with multiple scenarios in which they must choose between two immigrants with different income levels. Using a Multiple Price List design, we fix Immigrant B's income at £40,000 (close to both the skilled worker visa threshold and UK median earnings) and vary Immigrant A's income from £20,000 to £90,000 in £5,000 increments. To frame how participants should think about the economic relevance of income in this study, we explicitly state that tax contributions increase with income and contribute to public services. For each of these fifteen income scenarios, participants have to choose which immigrant they would prefer to remain in the UK when only one can stay, with an option to express indifference.

For each cultural dimension (gender, religion, and political attitudes), participants are randomly assigned to either control or treatment groups. In both groups, they choose between two immigrants: B (from a culturally similar country) and A (from a culturally distant country). Immigrant B's beliefs consistently align with UK values, while information about A's beliefs varies by treatment: In the control group, no information is provided about A's initial and current beliefs. In the treatment group, participants are informed that A's current beliefs align with typical British values. No information is provided about A's initial beliefs.

We design the treatment based on the following reasoning: People form attitudes toward immigrants based on their prior beliefs and assumptions when specific information is unavailable. The control group captures this baseline by providing no information about A's beliefs. The treatment group then reveals whether A has UK values, allowing us to measure how this information affects participants' preferences. We test one main hypothesis, which requires two testable assumptions to hold. First, when presented with equal incomes, participants in the control group on average prefer Immigrant B (culturally similar) over Immigrant A (culturally distant). Second, control group participants, on average, switch their choice to Immigrant A when his income exceeds Immigrant B's fixed income of £40,000.

Main Hypothesis: The income level at which participants switch to preferring Immigrant A differs between the control group (where A's beliefs are unknown) and the treatment group (where A has UK values). This switch point represents the compensating value natives require for accepting immigrants from culturally distant backgrounds. We test this hypothesis separately for each cultural dimension (gender, religion, and political attitudes), allowing us to measure how cultural assimilation affects natives' preferences across different aspects of culture.

Why would natives value assimilation? To answer this question, we examine which social concerns natives most strongly associate with immigrants from different cultural backgrounds. We fix Immigrant A's income at £40,000 annually—matching the income benchmark used throughout the study for Immigrant B—and ask participants to select their main concerns from a list spanning economic (e.g., labour market effects), cultural (e.g., impact on British culture), and general dimensions (e.g., rise in the level of crime, increase in demand for housing). By comparing the responses between treatment and control groups, we measure how information about cultural assimilation affects these underlying concerns about immigration from culturally different countries.

In addition, we measure participants' perceptions of Immigrant A's initial beliefs to examine how information about current beliefs influences backwards updating—specifically, whether knowledge of an immigrant's current alignment with UK values leads natives to revise their inferences about the immigrant's cultural beliefs upon arrival. We examine backwards updating across scenarios where A randomly earns £20,000, £40,000, and £90,000. If perceptions of initial beliefs remain similar across treatment and control groups, this would suggest that participants do not update their perceptions about the immigrant's beliefs upon arrival in the UK once they are aware of his current beliefs. Additionally, we measure participants' perceptions of the immigrant's initial overall integration indicators (language proficiency, understanding of local customs, sense of belonging, interactions with British society) and their expectations of future integration. We also elicit participants' assumptions about the immigrants' regions of origin with open-ended questions.

To assess whether responses to our hypothetical scenarios reflect real-world behaviour, we design two incentivised tasks involving real immigrants recruited through Prolific. These immigrants are selected from countries where average responses in the WVS align with those used in our hypothetical scenarios. In the control group, participants are informed that we recruited two immigrants from Prolific—one from a country with cultural values different from the UK and the other from a culturally similar country. In the treatment group, they receive the same information, along with additional details indicating that the first immigrant's values align with those of the UK (We also ask the immigrants themselves about their cultural values.) As in the hypothetical scenarios, the immigrant from the culturally similar country holds beliefs that align with UK norms in both the control and treatment groups. In the first task, participants decide which immigrant should receive assistance from a qualified immigration lawyer in their local area. To support this, we collect area-specific lists of immigration lawyers and inform participants that their choice will help the selected immigrant navigate the ILR application process more efficiently by receiving this information. One participant is randomly chosen to have their decision implemented. In the second task, participants allocate a monetary amount between the two immigrants. This task assesses social preferences, with one randomly selected allocation being implemented.

We define the primary outcome as the first switch point, i.e., the midpoint between the last income level at which participants preferred Immigrant B and the subsequent income level at which they either preferred Immigrant A or indicated indifference by selecting both A and B. For corner preferences, where participants' choices remain constant throughout the income range, we follow conventional methods in the literature (e.g., Allcott and Kessler, 2019). Our primary focus will be on respondents who switch from choosing Immigrant B at lower incomes to choosing Immigrant A (or both A and B) at higher incomes or who maintain constant choices. We report summary statistics of all types of switching behaviour and add robustness checks that include all observations. For multiple switchers between B and A, we analyse the results by including their first switch point and we check the robustness by excluding them from the sample, as in Exley (2016).

Other outcomes of interest include monetary allocations to Immigrants A and B in the allocation game, participants' choices regarding which immigrant receives information about immigration lawyers, qualitative responses justifying preferences between A and B in the hypothetical scenarios, distribution of immigration-related concerns identified by natives, and participants' perceptions of immigrant A's initial beliefs, current beliefs (control group) in addition to his initial and future integration status.
Randomization Method
Randomisation is done by the Qualtrics software.
Randomization Unit
At the individual level.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
No clusters.
Sample size: planned number of observations
1,200 (400 observations for each cultural dimension) individuals from Prolific.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
200 observations in each experimental group (Control, Treatment) for each cultural dimension.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
For each cultural dimension with 200 individuals in each experimental group (with a 10% buffer for immigrants who are dropped from the main analysis), we will have 80% power to detect a 14.4% difference in the switch point, assuming a reference switch income of 52,000 in the control group (assumed based on data from a prior pilot), and standard deviation of 25,000 (assumed based on data from a prior pilot) derived from a two-sided test of means with alpha = 0.05.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
The Economics Research Ethics Panel at the Department of Economics in University of Warwick
IRB Approval Date
2025-01-14
IRB Approval Number
N/A

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials