Leadership selection modalities and leader characteristics

Last registered on March 03, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Leadership selection modalities and leader characteristics
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0015456
Initial registration date
February 28, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
March 03, 2025, 8:46 AM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Copenhagen

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Wageningen University and Research

Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2023-09-15
End date
2027-07-01
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
We investigate the impact of three different modalities to select group leaders of so-called forest user groups, charged with the responsibility to (sustainably) manage a stretch of forest, on leaders’ characteristics (capability, connectivity, corruption, trustworthiness). The three leader selection modalities include (i) status quo leadership selection in which the group leaders (chairperson and additional executive members) are selected through ‘show of hands’, i.e., group members raise their hand to show their vote; (ii) anonymized voting in which group leaders are selected using anonymous ballot voting; and (iii) gender quota in which at least 3 of the group leaders are women.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Bulte, Erwin and Goytom Abraha Kahsay. 2025. "Leadership selection modalities and leader characteristics ." AEA RCT Registry. March 03. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.15456-1.0
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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The interventions focus on three leadership selection modalities to select leaders of so-called forest user groups (FUGs).

The intervention include:
• Status quo leadership: The group chairperson and additional members of the executive committee (EC) are “elected” by group members during a public voting event through show of hand. Business-as-usual selection of leadership implies that leader selection committee is appointed followed by village elites “volunteer” themselves or suggested by group members for positions, and group members raise their hands to show their vote.

• Anonymized voting: The group chairperson and additional members of the executive committee (EC) are “elected” through anonymous ballot boxes. In anonymized voting, leader selection committee is appointed followed by anonymized selection candidates and subsequent anonymized voting using ballot boxes.

• Gender quota: This follows the status quo leadership selection but with a requirement that at least 3 members of the group executive committee should be women.
Intervention Start Date
2024-09-20
Intervention End Date
2025-04-30

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Leader capability: relevant experience, education, and managerial ability (ability to organize, delegate, mobilize support), ability to coordinate
Leader corruption: honesty and accountability
Leader connectivity: links to key actors within village and beyond
Leader trustworthiness: group members trust on leaders
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Leader capability
1. Survey data on business experience and years of schooling
2. Survey data on managerial capacity, the outcome of which is a score between 0 and 117 based, which is the sum of infrastructure experience (0 to 26), community activity experience (0 to 14), project proposal skills (0 to 5), project costing skills (0 to 14), leadership experience (0 to 10), reading test scores (0 to 24) and numeracy test scores (0 to 24)
3. Lab-in-the-field experiment
We invite 8 members from each forest user group: 3 leaders (chairperson, vice chairperson and secretary) and 5 randomly selected members. At least one of the three leaders should be female. The 8 members are divided into two groups: (i) the first group consists of the chairperson and 3 randomly selected members, and (ii) the second group consists of the vice chairperson and 3 randomly selected members. All members play a linear public good game for 15 rounds, which consists of two stages and two treatments.
Stage 1: All players play a linear public good game for 5 rounds
Stage 2: This consists of two parts (5 rounds in each part):
a. Linear public good game in which a group leader suggests a contribution level before group members decide on their contribution to the public good, but the actual contribution of the leader is not shown to group members
b. Linear public good game in which a group a group leader suggests a contribution level before group members decide on their contribution to the public good, but the actual contribution of the leader is shown to group members
All players play both parts of stage 2, but we randomize the order of these parts.
Every participant gets a show-up fee of 100 ETB for coming to the experiment place. At the beginning of each round, everyone gets 20 ETB to decide on the allocation to private and group accounts. At the end of the experiment, participants will be paid: show-up fee + total earning from the experiment.
Leader ability to coordinate will be measured as the leader’s ability to raise group contributions, i.e., group contributions in stage 2 as a result of the leader’s suggested contribution.

Leader corruption (honesty and accountability)
1. Lab-in-the-field experiment
Honesty is measured as the difference in leader contribution between stage part 1 and part 2 games in stage 2 of the lab-experiment described above.
2. Structured activity
We inform the chairperson that the project has a gift for the group: a ‘thank you’ money amounting to USD 100, that the leader should use for the benefit of the group. This was done in private, so no other group member saw us handing the money to the leader. We visit the village 2-3 weeks later and ask (a) the leader on what she/he did with the USD 100 and ask for a proof, and (b) ask one other member of the executive committee and 2-3 ordinary members about whether they have been invited into a meeting or consulted by the leader about the group. But we do not inform them that we have given money to the leader and we do not specifically ask about the money. Note that we did not inform the chairperson that we will come back to ask about the money.
We will measure the share of the money spent by leaders to the benefit of the group and whether the leader informs and consults group members.

Leader connectivity
1. Survey data on number, frequency and strength of contacts inside and outside the village
2. Structure activity
We hand the chairperson a paper with a list of questions to make an incentivized guess on (a) number of hectares of forest in their district, (b) the number of FUGs in their district (or woreda), (c) the number of government projects in their district, and (d) allocated budget for schools in their district. We inform the chairperson that we will come back 2-3 weeks later to collect the answered paper and if the answers are the same or closer to the true answers, the leader will get 20USD as a reward.
We will measure the number of answers that are correct or close to the correct answer.

Leader trustworthiness
1. Survey measure on group members’ trust in leaders
2. Lab-in-the-field experiment
We will use group members’ contribution difference between part 1 and part 2 of stage 2 in the lab-in-the-field experiment described above.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We collaborate with Oromia Forest and Wildlife Enterprise (OFWE) in its expansion of the community-based forest management program. In this program, new FUGs are created with a right to manage a specific forest block and extract forest resources. One of the key steps in the establishment of these groups is group members are required to establish an executive committee, composed of a chairperson, vice chairperson, secretary and 4 additional Executive Members (ECs).

129 new FUGs in 129 villages (one FUG per village) are randomly and equally assigned to one of the three interventions.
1. Status quo leadership (43 FUGs)
2. Anonymized voting (43 FUGs)
3. Gender quota (43 FUGs)

Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization done in office by a computer
Randomization Unit
Forest user groups (or villages)
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
129 groups
Sample size: planned number of observations
1032 group members
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
43 groups (344 members) per each treatment arm.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
WUR Research Ethics Committee for review of non-medical studies (WUR-REC)
IRB Approval Date
2024-10-30
IRB Approval Number
2023-23-Bulte-A