Experimental Design
This study employs a two-wave vignette-based survey experiment on a representative sample of the Italian population aged 19-29, stratified by gender, education level (high school vs. university graduates), geographic region, and metropolitan vs. non-metropolitan area. The experiment is designed to analyze how social norms and personal values shape early career decisions, focusing on the distinction between normative expectations (what ought to be done) and empirical expectations (what is commonly done or believed).
Wave 1: Baseline Elicitation of Norms and Beliefs
In the first wave, participants are presented with two career decision vignettes, with the gender of the protagonist randomized as the key experimental variation:
Ambition Vignette – The protagonist must choose between a prestigious long-term job opportunity abroad (potential for career advancement) and a less ambitious but stable local position. This scenario captures perceptions of ambition and career commitment and examines how these judgments differ by gender.
Grit Vignette – The protagonist chooses between a high-risk, high-reward career path and a low-risk, stable career path, allowing us to assess perceptions of perseverance and resilience in career decisions and potential gender biases in these perceptions.
The primary treatment variation in this study is the framing of belief elicitation, which systematically varies between:
Normative Frame ("Should") – Participants are asked what ought to be done in the given scenario (normative expectations).
Empirical Frame ("Would") – Participants are asked what they believe others would do in the given scenario (empirical expectations).
For each vignette, we elicit:
First-Order Beliefs – Participants' own views about what ought to be done (normative) or what they believe others would do (empirical).
Second-Order Beliefs – Participants' perceptions of what others believe ought to be done (normative) or what others commonly do (empirical).
By randomizing both the gender of the protagonist and the framing of belief elicitation (should vs. would), we can test:
Whether normative expectations and empirical expectations systematically differ.
Whether gendered perceptions of ambition and grit influence these differences.
The extent to which individuals misperceive social norms based on how beliefs are elicited.
At the end of the survey, one of the two vignettes is randomly selected, and 10% of respondents receive an incentive based on the accuracy of their second-order beliefs, encouraging engagement and truthful reporting.
Wave 2: Norm Updating and Informational Treatment
The second wave follows the same structure as Wave 1, but introduces an informational feedback intervention before participants respond to the vignettes again. Specifically, participants are shown:
Feedback on Normative Expectations – Aggregate responses from Wave 1 about what participants believe ought to be done in the given scenarios.
Feedback on Empirical Expectations – Aggregate responses from Wave 1 about what people actually reported doing or believing in the given scenarios.
This allows us to test:
Whether exposure to social information shifts beliefs, and whether the shift differs between normative and empirical expectations.
Whether perceptions of gendered career norms can be altered through informational interventions.
Whether individuals update their beliefs differently depending on whether they initially responded to a normative ("should") or empirical ("would") framing.
By comparing responses across the two waves, we can assess the role of informational interventions in correcting norm misperceptions and examine whether social norms systematically reinforce or mitigate gender gaps in ambition and perseverance.