Cheap talk and honesty

Last registered on April 04, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Cheap talk and honesty
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0015630
Initial registration date
April 03, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
April 04, 2025, 1:07 PM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
LMU Munich

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Pontificia Universidad Javeriana

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-03-26
End date
2025-12-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
We propose an experiment on cheap talk. A receiver guesses a secret number, and receives advice from a sender with misaligned incentives. Across three treatment conditions, we vary whether the sender can provide informed advice and how cognitively demanding the receiver finds it to respond to the advice in a sophisticated way. This allows us to identify how receivers reason about the sender's advice and whether honesty-related concerns can explain overcommunication and systematic belief bias.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Fries, Tilman and Daniel Parra. 2025. "Cheap talk and honesty." AEA RCT Registry. April 04. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.15630-1.0
Sponsors & Partners

Sponsors

Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
We propose an experiment on cheap talk. A receiver guesses a secret number, and receives advice from a sender with misaligned incentives. Across three treatment conditions, we vary whether the sender can provide informed advice and how cognitively demanding the receiver finds it to respond to the advice in a sophisticated way. This allows us to identify how receivers reason about the sender's advice, and whether honesty-related concerns can explain overcommunication and systematic belief bias, two key empirical patterns identified by the experimental literature (see, e.g.,Cai and Wang, 2006; Blume, Lai, and Lim, 2020; Groseclose, 2021).
Intervention (Hidden)
Intervention Start Date
2025-03-26
Intervention End Date
2025-05-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Message sent by senders, guess made by receivers.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
See the attached pdf.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
See the attached pdf.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
Senders and receivers are told that the computer randomly generated a secret number j by drawing once from {1,2,3,4,5,6,7}. The sender then chooses a number X in {1,2,3,4,5,6,7} to send to the receiver. The receiver observes the message and guesses a value for j. The sender is incentivized to induce a high guess, while the receiver has incentives to be accurate. In three treatments, we vary whether the sender can send the true secret number as a message and how coginitively demanding it is for a (subset) of receivers to make a sophisticated guess.
Experimental Design Details
See the attached pdf.
Randomization Method
Randomization into treatments by random assignment of participants to sessions, further randomization (drawing secret numbers) implemented by the experimental software (otree).
Randomization Unit
Treatments are randomized on the session level. Secret numbers are drawn on the sender-receiver-round level.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
We will have either matching groups of size 8 or 10. The exact size of the matching groups will depend on how many participants attend each session, something we have no direct control over.
Sample size: planned number of observations
500-544
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
We aim to run sessions until we have observations of 70 receivers in Baseline and Expert and 66 non-decode receivers in Decode. This implies a sample size of 140 participants (70 senders and 70 receivers) in Babbling and Expert and a sample size of ca. 220 - 264 participants in Decode, depending on the average realized matching group size.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
We have more than 80% power to detect an 0.16 point increase in the average guess between Baseline and Expert.
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
COMITÉ DE INVESTIGACIÓN Y ÉTICA DE LA FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS ECONOMICAS Y ADMINISTRATIVAS DE LA PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD JAVERIANA
IRB Approval Date
2023-03-16
IRB Approval Number
FCEA-DF-0053-2023
Analysis Plan

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Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials