Beliefs and Preferences over Information Provision

Last registered on July 11, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Beliefs and Preferences over Information Provision
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0016370
Initial registration date
July 11, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
July 11, 2025, 6:24 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Leipzig University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Leipzig University
PI Affiliation
Technical University of Munich
PI Affiliation
Technical University of Munich

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-07-14
End date
2025-08-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
The provision of information about prevailing inequalities is seen as a key tool in reducing misperceptions about important social facts, such as the level of inequality in a society. It is also considered as a basis for evidence-based policy making. So far, however, it is unclear whether people actually value the provision of information about socially relevant facts and whether the provision of information should be effective in changing preferences or polarization. In this paper, we provide novel evidence on the citizens’ demand for information. By providing survey respondents with information about the (in)effectiveness of information on inequality on preferences for redistribution and on polarization of preferences, we aim to investigate how the (in)effectiveness of information affects the demand for information and the support for information provision in general. We distinguish between the willingness to inform the general public and the willingness to inform oneself. Finally, we show how the information received influences support for information provision as a policy tool and preferences over policy options.
In a follow-up survey, we test whether treatment effects persist over time and, thus, whether informing about the ineffectiveness of information lastingly affects individuals’ demand for information and their support for information provision.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Blesse, Sebastian et al. 2025. "Beliefs and Preferences over Information Provision." AEA RCT Registry. July 11. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.16370-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
We conduct the experiment with a representative sample of the German population stratified by age, gender, education, and state of residence. With a sample size of approximately 3,000 individuals, we field the study with the survey company Bilendi and implement it in Qualtrics. Survey participants answer the questions autonomously on their own digital devices.
The survey experiment has a between-subjects design and the following structure: With equal probability, respondents will be randomly assigned to either treatment 1, treatment 2, or the control group. The randomization is implemented in Qualtrics.
Subjects conduct the experiment via an online platform.
A few days after taking the main survey, respondents that gave their consent are invited to participate in a follow-up survey.
Intervention (Hidden)
The survey has the following structure.

Stage 1: Opening statement, view on social inequality, the relevance of information and perceptions about the degree of informedness of the population. The survey opens with a neutral opening statement about social inequality. The opening statement is shown to all experimental groups alike and reads as follows:

“We would now like to hear your opinion on the topic of social inequality. By this we mean, for example, differences in income, educational attainment and wealth between different social groups.”
Stage 1 information are shown to all respondents, irrespective of experimental group.

Respondents then asked to state their view on the relevance of social inequality and to give their views on the relevance of information provision for political decision-making, and on how well-informed they perceive the average citizen, and themselves, to be.

Stage 2: Prior beliefs about the effect of inequality information on preferences for redistribution (treatment group 1) and the polarization of preferences (treatment group 2). Stage 2 starts with a neutral opening statement, informing respondents that we would like to ask their opinion on the results of scientific studies. We will use these studies for the information treatments. We then ask respondents to indicate their prior beliefs about how information on inequality influences the demand for redistribution and polarization among the general public on average.

Stage 3: Randomized information provision

EXPERIMENTAL GROUP 1: Control group: No information provided

EXPERIMENTAL GROUP 2: Treatment 1: “Important information! A scientific overview study by Marino et al. (2024) shows: In 63% of cases, the provision of information about inequality has no influence on the average approval of state redistribution. Your estimate <<Your Choice>> % vs. actual value: 63%”
Additional bar chart with the elicited vs. the true value in different colors.

EXPERIMENTAL GROUP 3: Treatment 2: “Important information! A scientific overview study by Marino et al. (2024) shows: In 78% of cases, the provision of information on inequality has no influence on existing differences of opinion on state redistribution. Your estimate was <<Your Choice>> % vs. actual value: 78%”
Additional bar chart with the elicited vs. the true value in different colors.

Stage 4: Posterior beliefs. Items are shown to all respondents, irrespective of experimental group. We show two questions asking for personal assessment of the actual influence of information about social inequality on the support for state redistribution and on polarization concerning state redistribution.

Stage 5: Outcome measures. Items are shown to all respondents, irrespective of experimental group. We show questions asking for: (1) support for information about social inequality, (2) importance of scientific information, (3) willigness to inform the general public, (4) willigness to inform oneself, (5) preferences for public policy measures with respect to the degree of regulation and freedom

Stage 6: Follow-up survey. Items are shown to all respondents, irrespective of experimental group. A few days after the main survey, respondents that gave their consent are invited to participate in a follow-up survey. In the wording, the follow-up is not explicitly referring to the main survey conducted a few days earlier but intentionally held neutral. After a brief introduction, we ask questions on gender, age and state of residence to check for consistency and start the survey. We then repeat stage 4 on posterior beliefs. We then ask the following outcome questions again: (1) support for information about social inequality, (5) preferences for different public policy measures with respect to the degree of regulation and freedom.




Intervention Start Date
2025-07-14
Intervention End Date
2025-08-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Our primary outcomes of interest are the (i) posterior beliefs about the impact of information on support for redistribution, and polarization, and (ii) support of information provision about social inequality for the general public and for oneself (index of outcomes 1, 3, 4), and (iii) information-policy preferences (index of outcomes 2 and 5). Our primary analysis will primarily focus on the average treatment effects of information treatments on the indices of outcome categories, but we will also show effects on individual outcomes in additional analysis.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
We will report heterogeneous treatment effects, based on prior beliefs about the effectiveness of inequality information on our outcomes of interest (see primary outcomes). In an explanatory, analysis we will study subgroups according to their pre-treatment views on social inequality to investigate possible channels through which treatment effects operate.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We conduct the experiment in a representative sample on age, gender, education, employment and region of about 3,000 individuals. The survey is conducted as an online questionnaire.
Our experiment is structured as follows:
Stage 1: opening statement, view on social inequality, the relevance of information and perceptions about the degree of informedness of the population

Stage 2: prior beliefs on the effect of information about inequality on preferences for redistribution (treatment group 1) and the polarization of preferences (treatment group 2)

Stage 3: randomized information provision

Stage 4: posterior beliefs

Stage 5: Outcome measures
Outcome 1: Support for information on social inequality
Outcome 2: Importance of scientific information
Outcome 3: Willingness to inform the general public
Outcome 4: Willingness to inform oneself
Outcome 5: Preferences over different intensities of public policy measures with respect to the degree of regulation and freedom

Stage 6: Follow-up Survey
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Randomization is carried out by the survey tool Qualtrics
Randomization Unit
At the individual level
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
3,000 individuals
Sample size: planned number of observations
3,000 individuals
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Approximately 1,000 individuals will likely be assigned to each of the treatment groups
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
No
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
German Association for Experimental Economic Research e.V. (GfeW)
IRB Approval Date
2025-07-09
IRB Approval Number
vWv5CiZG

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials