The role of a motivational account and specificity of referent characteristics in overplacement about personal saving behavior

Last registered on September 19, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
The role of a motivational account and specificity of referent characteristics in overplacement about personal saving behavior
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0016631
Initial registration date
September 16, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
September 19, 2025, 10:04 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Utrecht University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-09-16
End date
2029-01-01
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
The goal of this research is to investigate biased beliefs about personal saving behavior. Biased beliefs in this study are operationalized as overplacement (one of three forms of overconfidence), comparing an individual’s beliefs about personal saving behavior to an individual’s beliefs about saving behavior of others. We will investigate whether specificity of referent characteristics affects the level of overplacement. Moreover, we will investigate whether the specificity of the referent characteristics interacts with the perceived importance of saving. We designed an online experiment where the specificity of the referent characteristics are systematically varied. The results of the experiment will have relevance for understanding the role motivation plays in overplacement about personal saving behavior.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Prins, Carlijn. 2025. "The role of a motivational account and specificity of referent characteristics in overplacement about personal saving behavior." AEA RCT Registry. September 19. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.16631-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
We will conduct an online experiment where participants are randomly assigned to one of two conditions: a condition where the characteristics of the referent are kept relatively vague, and a condition where the characteristics of the referent are made more specific.

Intervention Start Date
2025-09-16
Intervention End Date
2025-10-21

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Overplacement about personal saving behavior
Respondents' beliefs about personal saving behavior of the respondent themselves (self-beliefs)
Respondents' beliefs about saving behavior of peers (other-beliefs)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Overplacement will be defined as the difference between beliefs about self and beliefs about others. For both the referent-vague and referent-specific condition, respondents will answer 3 items about their own saving behavior and 3 items about others’ saving behavior. We will calculate one overplacement measure for the referent-vague condition and one for the referent-specific condition if Cronbach's alpha for the self-beliefs and for the other-beliefs is larger than 0.61.

The overplacement variable will be constructed such that a value larger than zero indicates overplacement, and a value smaller than zero indicates overplacement. A value of zero indicates no bias.


Self-beliefs measure:
1. How good are you at saving?
On an 11-point scale ranging from ‘0, not good at all’ to ‘10, very good’

2. How often do you have money left at the end of the month and therefore save?
On an 11-point scale ranging from, '0, almost never' to '10, almost always'

3. How much of your income do you save?
On an 11-point scale ranging from '0, very small part' to '10, very large part'


Other-beliefs measure (referent-vague condition):
1. How good are they at saving?
On an 11-point scale ranging from ‘0, not good at all’ to ‘10, very good’

2. How often do they have money left at the end of the month and therefore save?
On an 11-point scale ranging from, '0, almost never' to '10, almost always'

3. How much of their income do they save?
On an 11-point scale ranging from '0, very small part' to '10, very large part'

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Perceived importance of saving

Control variables, such as socio-economic and demographic variables (such as age, gender, income, level of education, living situation, savings).
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
Perceived importance of saving will be calculated by averaging the scores on two items to measure the importance of saving.

Items used:

How important do you think it is to save money?
How important do you think it is to have savings?

On an 11-point scale ranging from ‘0, not important at all’ to ‘10, very important’.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We will conduct an online experiment where participants are randomly assigned to one of two conditions: a condition where the characteristics of the referent are kept relatively vague, and a condition where the characteristics of the referent are made more specific.

Our experiment will be part of an online survey held amongst Dutch young adults. The survey is about financial choices when visiting music festivals and about saving behavior. Our experiment will come after a block of questions about financial choices when visiting festivals. Respondents will be recruited via consumer panel Dynata and respondents will receive a small financial compensation for their participation, which is being paid by Dynata. The experiment will be conducted once.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
We randomize at the individual level (respondent), randomization is done by the survey software.
Randomization Unit
We randomize at the individual level (respondent)
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
No clusters.
Sample size: planned number of observations
We aim to recruit around 1500 Dutch adults aged of 18 up to and including 30 years.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Our aim is that respondents are evenly distributed among the two experimental conditions. That would mean around 750 respondents in the referent-vague condition and around 750 in the referent-specific condition.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
IRB Approval Date
IRB Approval Number