The Direct and Indirect Effects of Employee Performance Improvement Plans

Last registered on September 12, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
The Direct and Indirect Effects of Employee Performance Improvement Plans
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0016758
Initial registration date
September 10, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
September 12, 2025, 10:35 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Toronto

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation

Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2025-07-07
End date
2026-12-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
A central concern in personnel economics is how firms manage and incentivize heterogeneous workers in the presence of imperfect monitoring and limited managerial capacity. While performance improvement plans (PIPs) are common in many firms, empirical evidence on the impacts of PIPs are scarce. This study evaluates the impact of a structured PIP program on worker outcomes during a large-scale downsizing initiative at a garment factory in Southeast Asia. The goal is to determine whether structured performance management through PIPs improves worker performance or delays inevitable exits. We examine heterogeneous responses to study whether some types of workers put in the effort to improve while others give up and perform even more poorly. Furthermore, we study how performance management practices and the subsequent firings affect remaining workers' morale and team dynamics.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Chotiputsilp, Ratchanon et al. 2025. "The Direct and Indirect Effects of Employee Performance Improvement Plans." AEA RCT Registry. September 12. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.16758-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
This study evaluates the impact of a structured PIP program during a large-scale downsizing initiative at a garment factory in Southeast Asia.
Intervention Start Date
2025-07-21
Intervention End Date
2025-12-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Attendance, retention, performance and violations, job satisfaction, and well-being
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
We will assess skills, effort, and performance primarily through manager evaluations and administrative data. Additionally, we will survey workers on self-reported assessments of job satisfaction. We are also interested in the types of workers who respond positively or negatively to the PIP. We will conduct heterogeneity analysis along the following dimensions: baseline high/low skills and effort (based on their own and managers’ assessments and administrative data), well-being, differences in assessments between them and their managers, belief about the returns to their effort at work, assessment of the job market, degrees of social connectedness, and demographics (age, gender, province, and tenure), whether they feel effort maps into work outcomes, financial stress, and exposure to a military conflict.

We will also study how the PIP affects workers’ individual components of job satisfaction.
Furthermore, the study will examine indirect effects of PIPs and separation by i) using the randomization of treatment intensity across work lines and 2) surveying peer networks to understand how one worker's performance improvement plan and separation might impact others in the social network.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Individual components of job satisfaction and their assessments about the PIP program. Changes in managers’ behavior. Factory-level performance between PIP factories and non-PIP factories.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
We will also examine how the PIP influences individual components of job satisfaction gathered through surveys. In addition, we will compare factories that implement the PIP program with those that do not. To supplement these analyses, we plan to conduct factory-level difference-in-differences regressions on administrative outcomes such as absences, quits, violations, and production, comparing the factory undergoing PIP with other factories owned by the firm.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We partner with a large garment manufacturer in Southeast Asia. Eligible workers are randomized at two levels: (i) production lines are assigned to high or low intensity of PIP coverage, and (ii) within lines, eligible workers are randomized into PIPs. Baseline, midline, and endline surveys, along with administrative records, will be used to measure direct effects on treated workers and indirect effects on their peers.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization will occur via a computer.
Randomization Unit
There are two randomizations. First, we randomize intensity at the line level. Lines are randomly assigned to either the high-intensity or low-intensity group, with varying levels of treatment exposure. Line randomization is also stratified by the share of workers on the line who are eligible for PIP. Then, randomization occurs at the individual worker level.
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
The 68 lines, where eligible workers are located, are randomized to be either high-intensity or low-intensity lines. Standard errors will be clustered at the line level to account for potential correlations within each line.
Sample size: planned number of observations
680-790 workers for outcomes gathered through the midline survey and administrative data. 680 workers for the primary outcomes analysis, based on the 1-month post-survey and administrative data. For the indirect effects analysis, we intend to survey up to 1,600 workers to capture peer effects across the factory.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Half of the workers in the sample are assigned to the PIP arm.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
We calculate power (with power 0.8) based on the baseline performance score (composite of skill and effort) that we have available. The mean is 5.54 with a standard deviation of 2.32. With 680 workers, we expect to detect 8.8% change in the short run from the mean. As for unscheduled absences, with a mean of 1.83 and standard deviation of 3.22, we expect to detect a change of 38% of the mean.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
University of Toronto
IRB Approval Date
2025-05-22
IRB Approval Number
57583
Analysis Plan

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