Energy Investments – A Discrete Choice Experiment with Manufacturing Executives

Last registered on September 12, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Energy Investments – A Discrete Choice Experiment with Manufacturing Executives
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0016764
Initial registration date
September 11, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
September 12, 2025, 10:44 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
European Commission's JRC

Other Primary Investigator(s)

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-09-15
End date
2025-10-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Understanding CEOs’ preferences, such as risk aversion, environmental values, and time preferences, is critical for designing public incentives schemes (grants, tax rebates, loans) that effectively promote energy efficiency investments. We conducted a phone survey with about 1,000 executives from manufacturing firms in six different EU countries (Germany, Italy, Greece, Portugal, Slovakia, and Malta), evenly split between medium and large firms. Using a discrete choice experiment, we elicit the relative importance of investment attributes (e.g., risk, upfront cost, emissions) and preferences for different incentive mechanisms (varying by funding duration, flexibility, administrative burden). We examine how these preferences interact with firm size and self-reported behavioural traits. Our results provide new insights into how public programs can be designed to foster firms’ competitiveness while fostering energy efficiency.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Blasco, Andrea. 2025. "Energy Investments – A Discrete Choice Experiment with Manufacturing Executives." AEA RCT Registry. September 12. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.16764-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
1. Discrete Choice Experiment (DCE)

The DCE has two components:

The first explores Investment decision preferences: CEOs choose between hypothetical investment options (X vs. Y) that vary along four dimensions:

Initial investment cost (€250k–€1m)
Annual savings (€50k–€200k)
Annual emissions reductions (100–500 tons)
Uncertainty of savings (+/– €10k–40k)

The second component aims to elicit Public funding preferences: CEOs choose between hypothetical funding schemes differing on six attributes:

Type of incentive (tax credits, loans, grants)
Maximum support (25–75% of costs)
Administrative burden (low–high)
Flexibility of use (flexible vs. restricted)
Duration (1–6 years)
Environmental goals (none, sustainability, carbon reduction)

To reduce complexity, only 4–6 attributes are used per choice task. Respondents complete two choice scenarios for investments and two for funding schemes. Random assignment into 10 blocks (stratified by firm size) ensures statistical efficiency.
Intervention (Hidden)
Intervention Start Date
2025-09-15
Intervention End Date
2025-09-30

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Each participant is provided with four DCE tasks (4 = 2 x 2) two for investment decisions and other two for funding. Specifically, in all tasks each participant is asked to express a preference between two options. These choices are our primary outcome. There are other two primary outcomes: (1) the stated social tipping point on a scale from 0 to 100 as measured by question Q26; and (2) the self-reported willingness to pay for additional information helping to improve “greenness” of their firm’s products on a scale from 0 to 10 depending on the number of consumers who are sensitive to it, as in question Q27.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
The DCEs enable to compare decisions across CEOs with different personal and behavioural characteristics or from different types of firms. Specifically, we analyse whether CEOs make significantly different choices depending on the following binary variables: the size of their company (Q5, medium vs large), risk aversion (Q18, below vs above the median), time preferences (Q19, below vs above the median), environmental values (Q20, below vs above the median), climate change personal duty (Q23) and customer green perceptions (Q28, below vs above median).
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We use algorithms in the EDT package in Python to split respondents into ten blocks. As from the documentation, EDT is a Python-based tool to construct D-efficient designs for DCEs based on the widely used D-efficiency criterion (see Kuhfeld, 2005) but with speed improvements. This approach requires us to set some priors for the model parameters, and a given number of blocks. We decided to do ten blocks, yielding an expectation of 100 respondents per block. Blocks are assigned stratifying by firm size (50 medium 50 large).
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Computer randomisation.
Randomization Unit
Respondent.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
1,000 firms (500 medium and 500 large)
Sample size: planned number of observations
We aim to recruit one executive per firm, with a total of 1,000 respondents.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
We split respondents in 10 blocks, 100 persons per block.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
JRC Research Ethics Board
IRB Approval Date
2025-09-02
IRB Approval Number
33868
Analysis Plan

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Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials