Strengthening Fiscal Contracts Through Digital Town Halls in Freetown, Sierra Leone

Last registered on September 26, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Strengthening Fiscal Contracts Through Digital Town Halls in Freetown, Sierra Leone
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0016843
Initial registration date
September 22, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
September 26, 2025, 8:16 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Toulouse School of Economics - IAST

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
International Growth Centre
PI Affiliation
University of Oxford
PI Affiliation
University of Toronto
PI Affiliation
Hong Kong Babtist University

Additional Trial Information

Status
Completed
Start date
2020-09-01
End date
2022-03-31
Secondary IDs
EGAP Registration ID: 20220722AA & 20210820AA
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Building durable fiscal capacity requires that states obtain compliance with their taxes—a persistent challenge for states with low enforcement capacity. One promising option for governments in weak states is to raise voluntary compliance by enhancing governmental legitimacy. This study reports results from a participatory budgeting policy experiment in Sierra Leone designed to increase legitimacy and tax compliance by inviting public participation in local policy decision-making. In phone-based town halls, participants shared policy preferences with neighbors and local politicians and then voted for public services that were subsequently implemented. We find that the intervention durably increased participants’ perceptions of government legitimacy. However, contrary to influential models of tax compliance, we report a robust null effect on tax compliance behavior. Participants’ partisan affiliation strongly conditions the treatments’ effects on tax compliance and attitudes toward paying taxes: We find large, positive impacts among copartisans of the incumbent government but significant negative impacts among non copartisans. Our results highlight that the legitimacy gains of participatory interventions may not increase voluntary tax compliance when participation politicizes compliance.

Registration Citation

Citation
Grieco, Kevin et al. 2025. "Strengthening Fiscal Contracts Through Digital Town Halls in Freetown, Sierra Leone." AEA RCT Registry. September 26. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.16843-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The intervention contained three components: (i) digital town halls, (ii) service delivery, (iii) notification calls about delivered services. For more details, see Section 3 of attached PAP.

i. Digital Town Halls (DTH): In this study, DTHs take the form of WhatsApp group chats. Participants were assigned to one of 58 chat groups, where the number of participants in each chat ranged from 17 to 37 (the median chat group size was 24). All participants in a given chat group own property in the same ward. The overarching goal of the DTH is for the group to deliberate and decide over how a budget of 15 million leones (about USD 1,500) should be spent in their ward. The budget allocated to the DTH does not come from FCC tax revenue given (1) the severity of the budget constraint the FCC faces and (2) that the expected increase in property tax revenue will be accrued after the DTHs have taken place. For these reasons, the funds to be decided on are taken from the project's research budget. However, this is not communicated to the DTH audience, allowing the Mayor and (FCC) political representatives to fully claim credit for the participatory budgeting opportunity, which further ensured buy-in to enable our research.

ii. Service Delivery:
Each participating ward received a service project—essentially a local public good both treated and control units in that ward could profit from. Construction began in most wards in October 2021, with the notable exception of one ward (Tengbeh Town) where the FCC needed to provide additional assurances over liability to the delivery company. By the end of 2021 all projects were completed, except the project in Tengbeh Town, which was completed in February of 2022.

iii. Service Delivery Notification Calls:
While our endline survey was conducted after all selected services were successfully delivered, we found it plausible that not all participants would be aware of the completed service project. To address this, we made notification calls on behalf of the FCC to all treated units, informing participants that the project chosen in the DTH had been successfully implemented. Note that by making these notification calls to treated units but not to the control group, we build the notification calls into our treatment.
Intervention (Hidden)
Intervention Start Date
2021-01-15
Intervention End Date
2022-03-02

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Tax compliance (administrative records)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
For secondary (mechanisms) outcomes related to tax compliance, See Section 5 attached document "dth_pap0722"
For secondary outcomes related to government legitimacy, See Section 4 attached document "20210820AA_PAP"
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The unit of randomization is the property owner. To construct our sample frame we draw on FCC administrative records of the universe of taxable properties in Freetown, which contains a set of property characteristics and property owner contact information. To be eligible to participate in the Digital Town Hall a property owner must (i) own a property in one of the 30 study wards and (ii) have WhatsApp on their phone. We were able to complete baseline surveys with 3859 property owners that met this condition. To mitigate spillovers we drew a restricted sample from this set of property owners such that each property is at least 15 meters from the closest study property. The restricted sampling leaves us with fi nal sample of 3619.

We assign treatment status using a matched-pair design, leveraging baseline data to match similar observations into groups of two. We create 1809 pairs and then assign one observation in each matched-pair to treatment and the other to control. We generate matched-pairs using the blockTools package in R. We use the Optimal Greedy (“opt-Greedy”) matching algorithm to find best matches along mahalanobis distance. We implement this randomization in R using the block ra function in the randomizr package.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Randomization is implemented in R using the block_ra function in the randomizr package.
Randomization Unit
individual property owner
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
not clustered design
Sample size: planned number of observations
3,618 property owners
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
C: 1809
T: 1809
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Most of our outcomes of interest achieve 80% power with effects sizes at or less than .15 standard deviations. See Section 11 of attached pre-analysis plan for power simulations.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
University of California, Los Angeles
IRB Approval Date
Details not available
IRB Approval Number
20-000380
IRB Name
Sierra Leone Ethical Review Board
IRB Approval Date
2020-03-25
IRB Approval Number
N/A
Analysis Plan

Analysis Plan Documents

Preanalysis plan - digital town halls

MD5: 591766ba7d61af7dd80be8f8f8d08468

SHA1: a23f11b4544eccd8538773671970ada73d5ffeac

Uploaded At: September 22, 2025

Preanalysis plan - Strengthening Political Accountability

MD5: 4072dbfc991af44fcc3a70b8f892d935

SHA1: 129b6455728fae84cbe029c9f6a794f249dd13f2

Uploaded At: September 22, 2025

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials