Aspirations Interventions in the Philippines (PSPS Panel)

Last registered on September 26, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Aspirations Interventions in the Philippines (PSPS Panel)
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0016849
Initial registration date
September 22, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
September 26, 2025, 8:14 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Stanford University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Northwestern University
PI Affiliation
Ecole Normale Supérieure
PI Affiliation
De La Salle University
PI Affiliation
London School of Economics

Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2023-12-01
End date
2026-05-31
Secondary IDs
https://osf.io/9zury/
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
**See OSF page and registration for full and most up-to-date details: https://osf.io/9zury/**

In collaboration with IPA Philippines, we are testing variations of aspiration interventions delivered through videos and group discussions and evaluating their impacts on economic, psychological, and social outcomes in a cluster-randomized controlled trial.

Poverty is multidimensional, with economic constraints often accompanied by a range of challenges stemming from social exclusion and limited access to information and opportunities (Park et al., 2025; Sheehy-Skeffington, 2020). As a result of these challenges, people in poverty may be less likely to have high aspirations for their future, a sense of agency over their fate, or the social support needed to make progress (Dalton et al., 2016; Hoff & Walsh, 2018). These are psychosocial assets that influence not only well-being but also economic potential (Bossuroy et al., 2022; Chetty et al., 2022; Haushofer & Salicath, 2023). Recent research suggests aspirations interventions may provide cost-effective tools for enhancing individuals’ economic outcomes (Bossuroy et al., 2022; Orkin et al., 2020; Thomas et al., 2024). However, further exploration is needed to determine which types of aspiration programs are most effective in achieving impact at scale and how these programs influence both individual psychosocial and economic well-being, as well as societally relevant outcomes.

This 4-arm cluster randomized controlled trial is conducted with approximately 7,600 women in low-income, rural areas of the Western Visayas region of the Philippines. We are evaluating three variations of single-session aspiration interventions (videos + workshops) (T1-T3) against a pure control. These interventions will be delivered through three distinct arms:
Personal Aspirations (T1): The first variation models the pursuit of personal aspirations through a short scripted film about a role model named Hiraya, followed by a guided small group discussion on visualizing one’s future, setting goals, connecting aspirations to independent values, and identifying personal resources for goal pursuit.
Personal and Relational Aspirations (T2): The second variation focuses on both personal and relational aspirations using a short scripted film about a role model named Hiraya and her community, followed by a guided small group discussion on visualizing one’s own and one’s family’s future, setting goals, connecting aspirations to independent and interdependent values, and identifying personal and social resources for goal pursuit.
Personal, Relational, and Community Aspirations (T3): The third variation includes the small group workshops implemented in T2 plus adds a community-wide film viewing of the Hiraya film and discussion on aspirations and values among participants, their family and friends, and other influential members of the barangay.

These interventions are designed to empower participants through goal setting and laying out pathways towards achieving these goals while overcoming setbacks through self and/or collective efficacy. T1 is designed to build disjoint agency and hope and T2-T3 to build conjoint agency and hope (Markus & Kitayama, 2003). Each intervention is designed to be low-cost and scalable. Primary outcomes of interest are individuals’ and households’ economic mobility, psychological well-being, and social well-being. We will also measure the impacts of the intervention on economic attitudes and behaviors related to inclusive growth, such as attitudes toward redistribution and inequality and prosocial behaviors.

Registration Citation

Citation
Bernardo, Allan B. I. et al. 2025. "Aspirations Interventions in the Philippines (PSPS Panel)." AEA RCT Registry. September 26. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.16849-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Intervention (Hidden)
See OSF registration for full details: https://osf.io/9zury/

Personal Aspirations (T1) (78 barangays) includes a 3-hour moderated small group workshop of 3-6 women focused on building personal aspirations and intrapersonal skills (e.g., goal-setting, perseverance) through a film and participatory exercises. Personal and Relational Aspirations (T2) (77 barangays) is similar to T1 but with a focus on both intrapersonal and interpersonal skills (e.g., networking, peer support). Personal, Relational, Community Aspirations (T3) (73 barangays) is T2 plus a 1-hour community film screening and discussion on community values and aspirations designed to build supportive social norms around exercising intrapersonal and interpersonal skills for individual and collective economic advancement. These will be compared to a pure control group (90 barangays). Intervention implementation concluded in February 2025 and the participation rate of eligible women in the interventions was 94%. Given a between-subjects, cluster randomized design, participants are blind to condition.

Enumerators conducted workshops in pairs, with one lead and one support moderator who alternated roles between sessions. These pairs remained consistent throughout the intervention to foster rapport and deliver both T1 and T2 interventions. Sessions took place in private rooms at the barangay hall. Each pair was equipped with two tablets: one for the lead moderator to present the role model film Hiraya’s Story, scripted by the research team, and follow the discussion script, and another for the support moderator to record participant responses in SurveyCTO (e.g., values, strengths, specific goal, supporters).

Workshop activities included choosing their core values, a visualization and drawing of participants’ future aspirations, a mind map of their specific goal and steps to get there, identifying core strengths and a symbol representing themselves on a sun. In T2, participants also noted their top supporters on the branches of a tree. An “Encouragement and Advice” book captured messages from participants to inspire other women. Participants were also given a certificate, and a printed photo with their certificate, either alone (T1) or in a group (T2). All materials were compiled in a personalized folder that participants took home, along with a one-page comic summarizing key moments from Hiraya’s story.
Intervention Start Date
2024-05-02
Intervention End Date
2025-02-15

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
See OSF registration for full details: https://osf.io/9zury/

Primary outcomes of interest are individuals’ and households’ economic mobility, psychological well-being, and social well-being
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
This 4-arm cluster randomized controlled trial is conducted with approximately 7,600 women in low-income, rural areas of the Western Visayas region of the Philippines. We are evaluating three variations of single-session aspiration interventions (videos + workshops) (T1-T3) against a pure control.
Experimental Design Details
See OSF registration for full details: https://osf.io/9zury/

This 4-arm cluster randomized controlled trial is conducted with approximately 7,600 women in low-income, rural areas of the Western Visayas region of the Philippines. We are evaluating three variations of single-session aspiration interventions (videos + workshops) (T1-T3) against a pure control. These interventions will be delivered through three distinct arms:
Personal Aspirations (T1): The first variation models the pursuit of personal aspirations through a short scripted film about a role model named Hiraya, followed by a guided small group discussion on visualizing one’s future, setting goals, connecting aspirations to independent values, and identifying personal resources for goal pursuit.
Personal and Relational Aspirations (T2): The second variation focuses on both personal and relational aspirations using a short scripted film about a role model named Hiraya and her community, followed by a guided small group discussion on visualizing one’s own and one’s family’s future, setting goals, connecting aspirations to independent and interdependent values, and identifying personal and social resources for goal pursuit.
Personal, Relational, and Community Aspirations (T3): The third variation includes the small group workshops implemented in T2 plus adds a community-wide film viewing of the Hiraya film and discussion on aspirations and values among participants, their family and friends, and other influential members of the barangay.
Randomization Method
Randomization to treatment arms was stratified on one variable from a cross-randomization with another study that is part of PSPS: the geographic base of operations of ICM (International Care Ministries). Using a re-randomization procedure, we ran our stratified randomization 10,000 times and kept the randomization that was most balanced along key variables like population, density, mobile and internet signal, time taken to reach nearest municipality and distance of further household from barangay center. The 318 barangays (with approximately 24 eligible women each) were randomized into: Control (pure control) (28.3%), Treatment 1 (personal aspirations workshop) (24.5%), Treatment 2 (personal and relational aspirations workshop) (24.2%), Treatment 3 (personal and relational aspirations workshop + community aspirations event) (23.0%).
Randomization Unit
Barangay
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
318 barangays
Sample size: planned number of observations
7,600 participants
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Control (90 clusters), T1 (78 clusters), T2 (77 clusters), T3 (73 clusters)
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
See OSF registration for full details: https://osf.io/9zury/ In order to achieve a power of 0.80 (alpha = 0.05) and allowing for 10% attrition at longer-term follow-ups, our calculations indicate that our sample size of 7,603 participants (5,244 treated) clustered into 318 barangays (228 treated) allows us to detect the following minimum effect sizes for income between the control group (90 clusters) and each of the three treatment groups: Control vs. T1 (78 clusters) = 0.147; Control vs. T2 (77 clusters) = 0.147; Control vs. T3 (73 clusters) = 0.149. Our power for comparing each of the treatments against each other is as follows: T1 vs. T2 = 0.152; T1 vs. T3 = 0.154; T2 vs. T3 = 0.155.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
INNOVATIONS FOR POVERTY ACTION IRB – USA
IRB Approval Date
2024-04-02
IRB Approval Number
16547

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials