Can information make retail energy markets more equitable? Experimental evidence from the District of Columbia

Last registered on September 26, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Can information make retail energy markets more equitable? Experimental evidence from the District of Columbia
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0016860
Initial registration date
September 23, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
September 26, 2025, 8:18 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Maryland, College Park

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Resources for the Future

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2024-10-01
End date
2026-02-02
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
About one-third of all US states have restructured – or competitive – electricity markets in which retail electricity suppliers offer alternatives to utility companies. In theory, this competition could benefit consumers by providing more renewable energy options, innovative services, or driving down consumers’ costs. However, we observe among a sample of DC's low- to moderate-income (LMI) population that retail suppliers often charge significantly more than the local utility’s supply service with limited evidence of additional renewable generation or innovation. Furthermore, higher supply rates have a disproportionately large impact on LMI households because these households pay a higher percentage of income for electricity services. Complaints filed with the local advocacy office for utility customers have also illustrated thousands of instances of alleged fraud and exploitative behavior from some retail suppliers over the past few years.

In this study, we provide consumer protection information to two segments of DC’s residential electricity consumers: 1) LMI customers of retail suppliers charging higher rates than the local utility’s default service, and 2) LMI customers of the local utility’s default service. We use experimental impact evaluation methods to estimate the information interventions’ effects on consumers’ choices of electricity suppliers and preferences for electricity supply services.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Kahn-Lang, Jenya and Jennifer Richmond. 2025. "Can information make retail energy markets more equitable? Experimental evidence from the District of Columbia." AEA RCT Registry. September 26. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.16860-1.0
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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
We will administer two information interventions simultaneously among two distinct segments of DC’s electricity consumers. Both interventions will involve sending consumers information about how to make decisions that reflect their preferences in DC’s retail supply market. In the first intervention, we will send information to two treatment groups (via SMS messaging for one group and via mailed letters for the second group) of customers of retail suppliers charging more than the default utility service. In the second intervention, we will send information to three treatment groups (via SMS messaging, mailed letters, and email) of customers of the default utility service.

We will use administrative billing data to measure customers’ supplier switches one month following the interventions. All treatment and control individuals will then be invited to take a follow-up survey to measure consumers’ knowledge, preferences for different types of electricity services, and choices in hypothetical market scenarios.
Intervention (Hidden)
Intervention Start Date
2025-09-29
Intervention End Date
2025-10-06

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Electricity supplier switches observed in administrative utility billing data
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
For the first evaluation, we will be sharing information with consumers on how to save money and find suppliers that meet customers’ desired preferences by either switching to the local utility’s standard offer service or to another retail supplier. For the second evaluation, we will be sharing preventative information with current customers of the local utility’s default service to help these customers protect themselves from high rates and/or predatory behavior from retail suppliers. Therefore, we will evaluate the impacts of treatments in both evaluations on customers’ electricity supplier switching behavior.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Consumer complaints filed and electricity suppliers’ comparison website traffic
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
We will measure secondary outcomes using Google Analytics website traffic data for an electricity suppliers’ contract comparison website and complaint records kept by the local advocacy office for utility customers.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
This study uses a randomized controlled trial (RCT) design to evaluate the impacts from two sets of interventions, during which we share consumer protection information with randomly selected electricity customers in DC.
Experimental Design Details
The randomized groups will include a pure control group of individuals across neighborhood clusters without any treatment households in these clusters, a control group of individuals across neighborhood clusters with treatment households in the clusters, a treatment group receiving information in a mailed letter, a treatment group receiving information in an email (for the second intervention among utility default service customers only), and a treatment group receiving information in an interactive text message.

We will store baseline billing data prior to the intervention for randomly assigned individuals. The intervention period will last for approximately one week. We will evaluate billing outcomes during the next monthly billing cycle to test whether treated individuals switch suppliers at a rate significantly different than the control individuals.

Following the next billing cycle after the intervention, we will administer a follow-up survey among all individuals in the control and treatment groups to evaluate outcomes that cannot be measured with billing data. Within the survey, we will include a short module of choice experiments to attempt to reveal sampled individuals’ preferences for different electricity service attributes, such as suppliers offering guaranteed renewable energy in amounts greater than the default utility service. We will offer $25 gift cards to a randomly selected group of up to 400 individuals who complete the survey.
Randomization Method
We will randomize at two levels: the neighborhood cluster level and the individual level. We will assign neighborhood clusters to the pure control group until we reach a conservative threshold (i.e. in terms of power) of individuals within those clusters. We will use the same pure control clusters for both evaluations to prevent spillovers. Then we will randomly assign individuals within treatment clusters to the spillover control group or one of the treatment groups. The only shared attribute of randomization between the two simultaneous evaluations will be the pure control clusters, but the individuals assigned to the pure control group will belong to two distinct populations respective of each evaluation.
Randomization Unit
Neighborhood clusters and electricity account holder
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
47 (first evaluation) and 49 (second evaluation) only used for assigning pure control
Sample size: planned number of observations
14,284
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Evaluation 1:

Pure control: 769
Spillover control: 864
Text treatment: 864
Mailed letter treatment: 864

Evaluation 2:

Pure control: 2,547
Spillover control: 1,117
Text treatment: 5,025
Mailed letter treatment: 1,117
Email treatment: 1,117
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
0.035 MDE with 0.012 SD and 80% power (expected control proportion of 0.044)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
University of Maryland Institutional Review Board
IRB Approval Date
2025-08-26
IRB Approval Number
2129959-1

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials