Tax Compliance and Social Network

Last registered on December 01, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Tax Compliance and Social Network
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017009
Initial registration date
December 01, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
December 01, 2025, 12:05 PM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Exeter

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Renmin University of China
PI Affiliation
Central University of Finance and Economics
PI Affiliation
Renmin University of China
PI Affiliation
Renmin University of China

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-11-13
End date
2027-01-01
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Traditional models of tax compliance typically frame the decision as an individual cost-benefit calculation based on an exogenous, objective audit probability. In reality, however taxpayers operate under substantial uncertainty and their compliance decisions are influenced by subjective beliefs about audit risk. Previous studies have shown that individuals actively seek information on the tax affairs of others within their social networks.The social network determines which taxpayers are linked, and information about auditing and compliance is transmitted at meetings between linked taxpayers. However, it remains unclear how social network comparatively shape belief formation and compliance behaviour.

We aim to study how different social network structures influence tax compliance behaviour by shaping their beliefs about audit probability, and how these effects vary with objective audit probability. Participants will be randomly assigned to one of three between-subjects conditions: a Control group (no social information), a Chain Network (are informed audit information of direct neighbours), or a Complete Network (are informed audit information of all group members). All participants will complete multiple rounds of a tax compliance game under two different, fixed audit probabilities. We will measure their compliance decisions and beliefs about the audit probability each round.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Chen, Jingnan (Cecilia) et al. 2025. "Tax Compliance and Social Network." AEA RCT Registry. December 01. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17009-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
We implement a between-subjects design with three treatments: Control, Chain Network, and Complete Network. Each participant is assigned to one treatment and remains in it throughout both parts of the experiment.
Intervention Start Date
2025-12-02
Intervention End Date
2026-06-01

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Tax Compliance Rate
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
This study consists of two main parts (Part A and Part B) followed by a survey. In both parts, participants will be randomly assigned to a group of four and will complete 10 rounds of a tax compliance game under a fixed but unknown audit probability. The information they receive about their group members depends on their treatment assignment. The only systematic variation between Part A and Part B is the level of the (unannounced) audit probability.
The experimental treatment differs only in the social network structure that connects the members within each group. We implement a between-subjects design with three treatments: Control, Chain Network, and Complete Network. Each participant is assigned to one treatment and remains in it throughout both parts of the experiment.

While both network treatments provide social information about audit information, the key distinction is the scope of this information: the Chain Network provides localised information about direct neighbours, whereas the Complete Network provides global information about all group members.

In all network treatments and at the beginning of each round, participants are randomly matched into new groups of four and assigned a new position within their group’s network. Participants are first shown their network position and the previous round’s audit information of their observable neighbours; they then receive a random income and decide how much of it to declare for taxation, with a tax rate of 25% applied to the declared income and a fine of 100% of the evaded tax imposed if audited and found non-compliant; subsequently, they report their beliefs about the current audit probability by allocating 100 tokens across ten probability intervals using an incentive-compatible Quadratic Scoring Rule; finally, they are informed of their own audit result and their after-tax income for the round. Following each of the experimental part, participants will complete a scenario-based assessment designed to measure their perceptions of the appropriateness of different tax compliance decisions.

After the experimental tasks, participants will be invited to complete a comprehensive questionnaire that collects demographic information, behavioural preferences, and their perceptions of the experiment.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Computer-based randomisation in controlled laboratory setting.
Randomization Unit
1. Session-level randomization: Experimental sessions are randomly assigned to treatment conditions (Control, Chain, Complete) by using a constrained randomisation procedure.
2. Block-level randomization: the ordinal high audit rate and low audit rate are randomly assigned between two parts.
3. Individual-level randomization: Participants are randomly assigned to network positions within a group of four under the compete and chain treatments, or randomly assigned to a group of four without information about their network positions under the control condition.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
We plan to recruit 540 participants in total.
Sample size: planned number of observations
Each subject will make 20 decisions, yielding 20*540=10800 observations.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
We expect 180 participants in the Control treatment, 180 participants in the Chain Network treatment, and 180 participants in the Complete Network treatment.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Primary outcome:Tax Compliance Rate Unit: Proportion of declared income per participant(0-1 scale) 1. Pilot Study Foundation The pilot study was conducted with two network conditions (Control and Complete), providing the crucial baseline data for our power calculations. Under High Audit Probability: Control Group (n=28): Compliance Rate Mean = 0.512, Standard Deviation = 0.299 Complete Network Group (n=24): Compliance Rate Mean = 0.4239, Standard Deviation = 0.367 Under Low Audit Probability: Control Group (n=28): Compliance Rate Mean = 0.416, Standard Deviation = 0.318 Complete Network Group (n=24): Compliance Rate Mean = 0.379, Standard Deviation = 0.327 2. Main Experimental Design The main experiment will employ a 3 (Network Structure: Control, Chain, Complete) × 2 (Audit Probability: High, Low) mixed design. Between-Subjects Factor: Network Structure. Each participant is randomly assigned to one of the three network conditions. Within-Subjects Factor: Audit Probability. Each participant experiences both high and low audit probability conditions. Total Sample Size: 540 participants, with 180 participants in each of the three network conditions. 3. Power Analysis Calculation To ensure the study is adequately powered to detect a true effect, we conducted a power analysis using the pooled standard deviations derived from the pilot data for the Control and Complete Network conditions. Based on a conservative two-tailed test with 80% statistical power and a significance level (α) of 0.05. In the High Audit Probability context, our design can detect a Minimum Detectable Effect Size of 0.098 in compliance rates (0.30standard deviations). In the Low Audit Probability context, our design can detect a Minimum Detectable Effect Size of 0.095 (0.30standard deviations) Based on the effect sizes observed in prior studies where audit probabilities were not explicitly disclosed to subjects (e.g., Choo, 2016; Alm, 1992), our target Minimum Detectable Effect (MDE) can be considered both feasible and substantively meaningful. References [1] Choo C Y L, Fonseca M A, Myles G D. Do students behave like real taxpayers in the lab? Evidence from a real effort tax compliance experiment[J]. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 2016, 124: 102-114. [2] Alm J, Jackson B, McKee M. Institutional uncertainty and taxpayer compliance[J]. The American Economic Review, 1992, 82(4): 1018-1026.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Ethics Committee of Renmin University of china
IRB Approval Date
2025-10-14
IRB Approval Number
RUC-IRB-2025-052