Homo Economicus or Homo Nationalicus? The Role of Nationalism and Economic Concerns in Views Toward Trade

Last registered on January 19, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Homo Economicus or Homo Nationalicus? The Role of Nationalism and Economic Concerns in Views Toward Trade
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017039
Initial registration date
October 19, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
October 23, 2025, 7:02 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Last updated
January 19, 2026, 11:02 AM EST

Last updated is the most recent time when changes to the trial's registration were published.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Missouri

Other Primary Investigator(s)

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-10-19
End date
2026-05-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
This study examines how nationalism and economic concerns shape support for two forms of protectionism: tariffs and Buy American attitudes. Using a large online survey of U.S. residents, I measure respondents’ support for these policies and their willingness to pay for tariffs and for American-made products. Participants are randomly assigned to one of two priming treatments that emphasize either national identity or price consciousness. This design allows for causal identification of the effects of nationalism and economic concerns on policy support and for the examination of heterogeneous effects by political affiliation. In additional descriptive analyses, I explore how perceived costs and benefits, attitudes toward free trade, support for manufacturing, and background characteristics of respondents relate to support for these protectionist policies.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Ferroni, Matteo F.. 2026. "Homo Economicus or Homo Nationalicus? The Role of Nationalism and Economic Concerns in Views Toward Trade." AEA RCT Registry. January 19. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17039-1.1
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
I randomly assign respondents to one of two priming treatments (plus a control group) with the goal of priming their nationalism or their economic concerns.
Intervention Start Date
2025-10-20
Intervention End Date
2025-10-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
The key outcomes are: i) support for tariffs (qualitatively and WTP); ii) support for Buy American (qualitatively and WTP).
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
For my WTP measures, I will elicit respondents' willingness to pay for 5%, 10%, 25%, 50%, and 100% more for having tariffs and to buy American-made products.
Besides looking at the treatment effect on each of the 5 levels, I will also create a variable capturing the threshold from which respondents are no longer willing to pay more. I will have two separate versions: i) from 0 to 100, reflecting their answer; ii) from 0 to 5, to avoid giving too much weight to extreme answers.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
I'll also explore the treatment effects on: i) nationalism; ii) economic concern; iii) support for manufacturing (and subsidies to it); iv) support for free trade.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
The questions on nationalism and economic concern, as shown in the attached survey questionnaire, are going to be aggregated in PCA indices.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
After answering questions on their background characteristics, respondents will be randomly assigned to two different priming treatments. The goal of the first is to increase their nationalism; the goal of the second is to make them more concerned about higher increases.
After the treatment, all respondents will answer the same questions, capturing the outcomes described above.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization done by the survey (designed on Qualtrics)
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
3,000 individuals
Sample size: planned number of observations
3,000 individuals
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
1,000 individuals in control group
1,000 individuals in "nationalism" treatment
1,000 individuals in "economic concern" treatment
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
University of Missouri-Columbia
IRB Approval Date
2025-09-30
IRB Approval Number
464185
Analysis Plan

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