Study on Advance Care Directives

Last registered on January 22, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Study on Advance Care Directives
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017148
Initial registration date
January 09, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
January 22, 2026, 5:51 AM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-01-28
End date
2026-02-04
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Advance care directives are written legal documents in which individuals specify what types of medical care they would like to receive in the future should they lose the ability to make decisions for themselves. Behavioral economics suggests that individuals’ responses are susceptible to framing effects--or the manner in which information is presented--rather than the objective content of the information. It is possible that individuals’ responses to advance care directives are impacted by ordering effects, meaning that individuals’ responses vary with changes in the specific sequence in which questions and options are presented. However, there is no experimental evidence that isolates the role of question framing and ordering in the advance directive context, leaving a gap in the understanding of how question ordering may impact responses on these forms.

The purpose of this study is to examine whether individuals’ preferences for medical care and treatment as communicated on an advance directive form are impacted by the ordering of options and conditions. The primary objective is to determine whether participants are more likely to select that they would not prefer to receive certain treatments if the possible conditions are presented in differing orders of seriousness. To that end, we test whether individuals exhibit differences in medical care and treatment preferences, as identified on an advance care directive form, based on the order in which conditions and treatment options are presented to them. By varying the order in which options are presented to participants while holding the content of the questions constant, we seek to provide evidence directly relevant to improving individuals’ communication of their healthcare preferences.

The survey leverages four variations where participants will be randomly assigned one of the four variations. First, participants will be asked whether certain health conditions are acceptable or unacceptable. Half of the variations include an ordering where end-stage illness is the first condition while the other half lists permanent unconsciousness first. Next, participants will view treatments and be able to choose which treatments they would like to be given if they end up in a condition that is unacceptable to them. Half of the variations will allow a piece-wise choice, and the other half applies to all unacceptable conditions. After that section, there is a rationality test to see if the preferences for conditions are transitive.

We predict that respondents are more likely to indicate that they would not prefer to receive treatment if the possible conditions are presented in descending order of seriousness. Additionally, respondents are likely to have variable preferences for treatment when presented with treatment options for each condition as compared to when treatment options are presented in a single question that pertains to all conditions.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Barrett, Mackenzi et al. 2026. "Study on Advance Care Directives." AEA RCT Registry. January 22. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17148-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Intervention (Hidden)
Intervention Start Date
2026-01-28
Intervention End Date
2026-02-04

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
We are collecting three key outcome variables: preferences over different health conditions, preferences over different treatment options, and preferences for allowing healthcare providers to choose treatments based on a benefit-cost analysis. We will analyze these outcomes by calculating the frequencies and means of respondents’ preferences and by using regression analysis to identify relevant determinants of participants preferences.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The experimental design is a survey with four variations. Participants will be randomly assigned to one of the four variations. Because participants are assigned to only one condition, this is a between-subjects design. The variations are the result of a 2x2 matrix with respect to advanced healthcare directives–that is, there are two treatment conditions that are being varied. Specifically, we are comparing the results of variations 1/2 to variations 3/4 and the results of variation 1 to variation 3 and of variation 2 to variation 4. Participants do not know to which of the four treatment variations they are assigned.
Experimental Design Details
The experimental design is a survey with four variations. Participants will be randomly assigned to one of the four variations. Because participants are assigned to only one condition, this is a between-subjects design. The variations are the result of a 2x2 matrix with respect to advanced healthcare directives–that is, there are two treatment conditions that are being varied. Specifically, we are comparing the results of variations 1/2 to variations 3/4 and the results of variation 1 to variation 3 and of variation 2 to variation 4. Participants do not know to which of the four treatment variations they are assigned.

In the four variations, we test framing effects and differences in the sizes of choice sets. For the framing effects, we ask respondents for their preferences about certain end-of-life conditions (permanent unconsciousness, permanent confusion, dependent in all daily living, and end-stage illness), and whether each condition is an acceptable condition to live with. Half of the respondents will receive the conditions ordered from best to worst, which we determined from a pairwise pre-test. The other half of respondents will receive the conditions in an almost identical order, but instead the best option is now listed last. We anticipate that priming respondents with the best condition will cause respondents to say that more of the conditions are acceptable to live with. For the choice set sizes, we ask respondents to indicate what kinds of treatment they would want if there suffered a condition that they deemed unacceptable to live with. Half of the respondents will only be able to choose treatment for all of the conditions they find unacceptable while the other half will be able to choose treatment for each condition they find acceptable. In other words, treatment is either lumped together or piecewise per condition. We anticipate that when respondents have more choices (when they can choose treatment for each condition individually) they will accept different treatments for each condition. Each respondent will be randomly assigned to one of the four variations. Because our survey is based on Tennessee's Advance Healthcare Directive, the control group will experience the variation that matches the Tennessee Directive. The control group is composed of the respondents who receive a variation with the conditions ordered with the best condition last and the treatment aggregated for all conditions. All other variants are treated.
Randomization Method
Randomization done in the survey software by a computer
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
1,000 adults
Sample size: planned number of observations
1,000 adults
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
250 adults
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Vanderbilt University Social, Behavioral, and Education Research Institutional Review Board
IRB Approval Date
2026-01-09
IRB Approval Number
STUDY00000254

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials