Housing Stabilization Initiative – Program Evaluation

Last registered on November 21, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Housing Stabilization Initiative – Program Evaluation
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017204
Initial registration date
November 17, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
November 21, 2025, 8:04 AM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
The Ohio State University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
OSU PhD Candidate

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-11-18
End date
2026-12-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Evictions in our area have increased over the past several years, especially among low-income renters and low-income renter families with children. Eviction and the housing instability that results are associated with trauma, disruption to children’s education, absence from school and work, doubling up, literal homelessness, neighborhood instability, and lost income for landlords. So, how can we efficiently and effectively prevent eviction and increase housing stability among low-income renters? Can an intensive housing problem solving program with flexible financial assistance and housing focused case management increase housing stability, prevent evictions, and prevent emergency shelter entry? Does that program have greater effects than a minimal intervention strategy or no intervention at all?

We evaluate a housing stabilization initiative in collaboration with a large midwestern city, where because of limited resources, and excess demand, random assignment is used during the approximately 6-month program pilot.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Frye, Brandon and Ashley Orr. 2025. "Housing Stabilization Initiative – Program Evaluation." AEA RCT Registry. November 21. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17204-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
There are two treatment arms: 1) an intensive housing problem solving program with flexible financial assistance and housing focused case management, and 2) a minimal intervention strategy: housing problem solving (HPS). With excess demand, there is also a non-zero likelihood of a no intervention control group, whereby those seeking assistance are not able to be served in a timely manner (due to appointment availability) and will be referred to other continuum of care resources/organizations.
Intervention Start Date
2025-11-18
Intervention End Date
2026-03-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
We measure the impact of the housing initiative on eviction, housing stability, entry into a homeless shelter, and duration of shelter stay.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Eviction is measured by observed eviction filing and eviction judgement (continuance, writ of restitutions, and request for set out) data.
Homelessness is measured by entry to shelter or unsheltered literal homelessness as observed in the local area’s HMIS (Homelessness Management Information System) data. If homelessness shelter entry is observed, the duration of shelter days will also be examined.
Housing stability is measured by address changes and self-reported results-oriented management and accountability measures of housing stability.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary outcomes include pre- and post-program rent burden, location stability (same place/neighborhood), self-reported measures of wellbeing (personal health and financial health), employment (employed and hours), and even earnings.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
Rent-burden is calculated as the ratio of housing costs (rent) relative to gross earnings, low income individuals with high rent burden are at greater risk of falling into arrears as they have less slack in their personal finances to weather temporary negative shocks.

Locational stability is measured by whether individuals are in the same neighborhood or place.

Self-reported measures of wellbeing are measured using a 1-10 scale where by lower scores indicate acute crises and higher score imply flourishing.

Employment and earnings are collected as part of program administration.

We also hypothesize there may be differences in the program impact depending on their individual situation, so we will seek to control for demographics and other socioeconomic characteristics such as household size, labor market participation, enrollment in benefits, area median income, perceived causes of the housing crisis, and previous experiences of literal homelessness.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
This randomized research design has two treatment arms and, if/when there is excess demand, a no intervention control group. Individuals are randomly allocated to one of the two treatments, with stratification between those already displaced and those facing eviction. The two treatment arms include 1) an intensive case management and financial assistance service and 2) a low-cost light touch alternative intervention: access to housing problem solving. If/when there is excess demand, i.e., there are no timely appointments available for either treatment arm some individuals will be left untreated and comprise a no intervention control group.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization done in office by a computer.
Randomization Unit
Randomization occurs at the individual level with stratification between imminent and upstream risk.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
This is not a clustered study. There is one cluster- the full study.
Sample size: planned number of observations
Up to 2000 households/individuals requesting housing stabilization support services.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Treatment 1: an intensive case management and financial assistance service – 500 individuals/households served.
Treatment 2: low-cost light touch alternative intervention: access to housing problem solving – 500 individuals/households served.
Up to 1000 in no-treatment control
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
We have also conducted a statistical power calculation, given a 9% eviction filing rate (data from the Eviction Lab), with a sample size of 2000, a type I (false positive) error rate of alpha=.05 (5%), 80% power (type II error of 20%), and 1000 receiving the intervention, the smallest reduction in evictions we can detect between treatment and control is 3.27 percentage points, a 36% reduction, which would be both economically and statistically significant/meaningful. Within treatment arms, our service delivery partner has shared that historically residents who have experienced housing problem solving have had a 5% rate of eviction. Therefore, with a treated sample size of 1000, a type I (false positive) error rate of alpha=.05 (5%), 80% power (type II error of 20%), and 500 receiving the more intensive intervention, the smallest reduction in evictions we can detect between the more intensive and less intensive treatment is 3.21 percentage points, this is a 64% reduction, which would be both economically and statistically significant/economically meaningful.
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
The Ohio State University – Behavioral IRB
IRB Approval Date
2025-10-30
IRB Approval Number
STUDY20252161