Opening the black box of emotion expression: How anger expression shapes beliefs, attitudes and tastes in negotiation

Last registered on December 01, 2025

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Opening the black box of emotion expression: How anger expression shapes beliefs, attitudes and tastes in negotiation
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017374
Initial registration date
December 01, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
December 01, 2025, 12:02 PM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Erasmus University Rotterdam

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Erasmus University Rotterdam
PI Affiliation
University of St.Gallen

Additional Trial Information

Status
On going
Start date
2025-12-01
End date
2026-04-01
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Emotion expressions play a powerful role in social interactions and greatly shape our decision making. This project uses a controlled online experiment based on the ultimatum game to examine how a counterpart’s anger expression shapes decision makers’ altruism, their beliefs and ambiguity attitudes toward others’ reservation prices, and the offers they make. The study uncovers the mechanisms underlying the interpersonal effects of anger expression within a rigorous economic framework. It also investigates whether these effects vary by the expresser’s gender, offering a nuanced view of how gender role expectations interact with anger expression.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Gonzalez Jimenez, David, Chen Li and Fantine XIAO. 2025. "Opening the black box of emotion expression: How anger expression shapes beliefs, attitudes and tastes in negotiation." AEA RCT Registry. December 01. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17374-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Description of the Experiment
Subjects are randomly assigned to one of four conditions in a 2×2 design that varies the expression in a verbal message (neutra l vs. anger) and the counterpart’s gender (female vs. male). In all conditions, participants make decisions in an ultimatum game and a dictator game after viewing a treatment-specific message from their counterpart. They also make choices between lottery pairs to elicit beliefs and ambiguity attitudes.

This design allows us to cleanly identify the causal effect of anger expression in negotiation and to uncover the mechanisms behind it. Specifically, we focus on three questions: 1) Do individuals make larger concessions in negotiations when their counterparts express anger?
2) Are any such differences driven by changes in altruism, beliefs, or ambiguity attitudes? 3)Does the effect of anger depend on the counterpart’s gender?
Intervention Start Date
2025-12-01
Intervention End Date
2026-04-01

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
- Ultimatum game offer
- Ambiguity aversion index
- A-insensitivity index
- Expected reservation price
- Dictator game offer
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
We elicit participants’ ambiguity aversion index, a-insentivitiy index and expected reservation price using the belief-hedge method (Baillon et al., 2018, 2021). From participants’ choices between ambiguous and risky options, we obtain matching probabilities that allow us to construct these three primary outcomes.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
We adopt a 2*2 between-subject design: anger vs neutral verbal message and male vs female counterpart. Participants and counterparts remain anonymous, and gender is revealed only through a gender-specific pseudonym and the avatar presented in front of the message box.

In the experiment, participants act as proposers in negotiation games. They first answer a few demographic questions and are then randomly and anonymously paired with another participant who serves as their counterpart (female or male).

The first task is an Ultimatum Game. Each participant receives an endowment of $20 and decides how much of it to offer to their counterpart. If the counterpart accepts the offer, the participant receives the remaining amount from the $20 and the counterpart receives the offered amount. If the counterpart rejects the offer, both receive $0. Before participants decide on their offer, they receive a verbal message from the counterpart, which is either angry or neutral.

The second task is a bi-section choice task, based on the belief-hedge method introduced by Baillon et al. (2018, 2021). Participants make decisions between ambiguous and risky options. The probability in the risky option is varied until indifference is reached within a pre-determined error margin. These choice situations are designed to elicit the matching probability associated with events concerning the counterpart’s reservation price. The resulting matching probabilities allow us to construct three indexes: (i) an ambiguity-aversion index, capturing aversion to ambiguity about the counterpart’s reservation price; (ii) an ambiguity-insensitivity index, capturing how precisely or imprecisely participants perceive this uncertainty; and (iii) an expected reservation price, reflecting participants’ beliefs about what their counterpart is likely to accept.

The third task is a Dictator Game. Each participant is paired with a different counterpart and receives an endowment of $20. Participants decide how much of this amount to give to the counterpart. The counterpart has no decision power and simply receives whatever amount is allocated. Before making their allocation decision, participants again receive a verbal message from the counterpart. The counterpart’s gender and the emotion expression of the message are the same as in the Ultimatum Game.

At the end of the experiment, we elicit participants’ attachment styles and collect additional demographic information.

References:
Baillon, A., Bleichrodt, H., Li, C., & Wakker, P. P. (2021). Belief hedges: Measuring ambiguity for all events and all models. Journal of Economic Theory, 198, 105353.
Baillon, A., Huang, Z., Selim, A., & Wakker, P. P. (2018). Measuring ambiguity attitudes for all (natural) events. Econometrica, 86(5), 1839-1858.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization is implemented automatically through Qualtrics’ built-in randomizer.
Randomization Unit
individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
No clustering
Sample size: planned number of observations
800 online participants
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
We have four treatments (female counterpart x anger message; female counterpart x neutral message; male counterpart x anger message; male counterpart x neutral message). We will have 200 online participants per treatment.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Erasmus School of Economics
IRB Approval Date
2025-10-14
IRB Approval Number
ETH2526-0096
Analysis Plan

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