Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
As secondary outcomes, we investigate the effects on economic-performance expectations, which are more indirectly related to perceived acceptance of AI applications among workers. We summarize these outcomes into one economic-performance expectations index (summarizing questions 3.a and 3.b) as this secondary outcome (secondary outcome 1). In addition, we will investigate the effects on the individual index components.
3. Economic-performance expectations
(a) Productivity gain expectations
Question: “Do you expect that the use of AI will have positive effects on your company’s productivity over the next five years?”
Answer categories: “Yes”, “No”
If “Yes”: “What is your estimate of your company’s productivity increase over the next five years due to the use of AI?”
Answer categories: “0% - <1%”, “1% - < 5%”, “5% - < 10%”, “10% - < 15%”, “15% - < 20%”, “20% or more”
(b) Growth expectations
Question: “What is your expected annual average growth in revenue, workforce, and investment from 2026 to 2030?“
Answer categories: „Revenue growth (in %): …“, „Workforce growth (in %): …”, “Investment growth (in %)”
We will also match firms’ survey responses with measures of their actual AI implementation and innovation at a later stage. This allows us to investigate whether the information treatment affects real outcomes (secondary outcome 2).
We also plan to explore heterogeneities by the following firm characteristics:
(i) Firms’ prior beliefs about workers’ acceptance of AI in their sector.
(ii) Firms’ current level of AI integration.
(iii) Economic sectors (i.e., High-tech manufacturing, Other manufacturing, Knowledge-intensive services, Other services, Wholesale and retail trade, Construction)
Additionally, we will conduct exploratory analyses on further heterogeneities by firm characteristics (e.g., size, age).