The Effect of Recommendation Letter Timing on Applicant Behavior

Last registered on January 05, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
The Effect of Recommendation Letter Timing on Applicant Behavior
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017483
Initial registration date
December 22, 2025

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
January 05, 2026, 7:12 AM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Institut Mines Telecom, Business School

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2025-12-23
End date
2027-02-28
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Applications—such as those to PhD programs—often require recommendation letters. We examine how the timing of this requirement affects application behavior. Specifically, potential applicants in the control group are informed that recommendation letters are required upfront (before their application is evaluated), whereas potential applicants in the treatment group are informed that recommendation letters are required only if they are shortlisted. We analyze application behavior across conditions and examine heterogeneity by gender and experience/quality.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Bapna , Sofia et al. 2026. "The Effect of Recommendation Letter Timing on Applicant Behavior." AEA RCT Registry. January 05. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17483-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The study is set in the context of recruitment for an Engineering PhD program in Europe. Potential candidates are solicited via LinkedIn Recruiter InMail and are randomly assigned to one of two groups: control or treatment. The solicitation messages sent to all candidates are identical except for information about the selection process. The control and treatment groups receive the following information about the selection process.

The control group sees the following selection process:
** SELECTION PROCESS**
1. By midnight (CET) on February 15, submit application (CV, cover letter, transcript)
2. By midnight (CET) on February 15, letter writers submit two recommendation letters
3. Admission decision
Note: Recommendation letters are REQUIRED WITH THE APPLICATION.

The treatment group sees the following selection process:
** SELECTION PROCESS**
1. By midnight (CET) on February 15, submit application (CV, cover letter, transcript)
2. Shortlisting decision
3. If shortlisted, letter writers submit two recommendation letters
4. Admission decision
Note: Recommendation letters are REQUIRED ONLY IF SHORTLISTED.
Intervention Start Date
2025-12-23
Intervention End Date
2026-02-15

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Whether the solicited candidate started the application (binary)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Whether the solicited candidate completed the application (binary).
Whether the solicited candidate responded via LinkedIn InMail that they were interested (binary).
Whether the solicited candidate was selected (binary); conditional on this data being made available by the recruiting institution.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The study is set in the context of recruitment for an Engineering PhD program in Europe.

Target candidates are identified using LinkedIn’s Recruiter tool (details under “Sample Size”) and solicited using LinkedIn's InMail.
(Note: LinkedIn’s Recruiter tool is a platform for talent acquisition. LinkedIn InMail is a premium messaging feature that lets recruiters send private messages directly to any member on the platform, using a limited number of monthly "credits" that come with a paid Recruiter subscription.)

Candidates are randomly assigned to one of two conditions: treatment or control.

Via LinkedIn InMail, each candidate receives information about the program (e.g., focus areas and campuses, program offerings, eligibility criteria, and the selection process), along with a unique link (i.e. unique to each candidate) to the application form. The InMail messages are identical across conditions except for information about the selection process (details under “Intervention”).

Due to LinkedIn InMail use limitations (constrained by LinkedIn Recruiter subscription credits, mentioned above), the InMails to candidates will be sent across three months (December 2025, January 2026, and February 2026). Candidates are randomly assigned to one of the three months (details under 'Randomization Method'); thus, we will identify upfront which month's mailing each candidate belongs to.

As noted, each candidate receives a unique URL, which limits them to a single application. The candidate’s name and LinkedIn ID are linked to the URL; if a different candidate uses the URL to apply, the observation will be discarded. A candidate may access the URL across different devices and resume the application where they left off if they do not complete it in one session.

Applications will not be accepted after the application deadline noted in the InMail.

We analyze application behavior (details under “End Points”) across conditions and examine heterogeneity by gender and experience/quality.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
By a computer.

Candidates will be solicited by LinkedIn InMail. Due to LinkedIn InMail use limitations (constrained by the LinkedIn Recruiter subscription) the InMails to candidates will be sent across three months (Dec 2025, Jan 2026, Feb 2026).

First, candidates are randomly assigned to one of the three months using simple randomization. Then, candidates are block-randomized into two groups (control and treatment), by month, country and gender.

Note: For country, we will have six categories. The first five correspond to the countries with the most potential candidates. The remaining countries are grouped into the sixth category.
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
N/A
Sample size: planned number of observations
~2100 candidates identified via LinkedIn's Recruiter tool (see 'Sample Size' for details.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
2,086 candidates. This represents the complete set of potential candidates identified using the LinkedIn Recruiter tool based on the specified search criteria. The search was conducted on December 17, 2025.

Search criteria:
• Keywords: Research
• Degree: Excluded Doctor of Philosophy and Doctorate; included Master of Engineering or Engineer’s degree
• Graduation year: 2024–2026
• Seniority: Entry level
• Field of study: Mechanical Engineering; Computer and Information Sciences and Support Services; Engineering; Electrical and Electronics Engineering; Computer Science; Industrial Engineering; Computational Science; Civil Engineering; Computer Engineering
• Spoken language: English
• Interest: Open to work
• Locations: France, Spain, Switzerland, Malta, Italy, Portugal, Cyprus, Luxembourg, Belgium, Germany, Austria, Poland, Romania, Czechia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Bulgaria, Netherlands, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Hungary, Greece, Estonia, Lithuania, Latvia, Ireland, and Croatia

If a message cannot be sent to one of these candidates via LinkedIn’s InMail (e.g., because LinkedIn removes them from the candidate pipeline), that observation will be excluded from our sample.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Intégrité scientifique de Institut Mines Telecom
IRB Approval Date
2025-12-22
IRB Approval Number
N/A