Political Discourse

Last registered on February 12, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Political Discourse
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0017776
Initial registration date
January 27, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
January 28, 2026, 7:57 AM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Last updated
February 12, 2026, 6:30 AM EST

Last updated is the most recent time when changes to the trial's registration were published.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Monash University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Monash University

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-02-09
End date
2026-08-31
Secondary IDs
Monash University Human Research Ethics Committee (MUHREC) Project ID: 48516
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
This study examines whether political discourse influences attitudes toward inequality and redistribution. We conduct an online survey experiment among a nationally representative sample of Australian adults (N ≈ 1,700), in which respondents are randomly assigned to one of two framing conditions that differ only in whether public funding is described as coming from “taxpayers” or from “citizens.” The primary outcome is respondents’ preferences over income inequality, elicited through a graphical distribution-choice task. The secondary outcome is support for redistribution. The study estimates intention-to-treat effects of framing on these outcomes and explores the relationship between inequality preferences and redistribution attitudes. By focusing on a minimal linguistic manipulation within a live policy context, the study is designed to test whether political language alone can influence stated preferences over inequality and redistribution.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Baigh, Tarannum Azim and Paulo Santos. 2026. "Political Discourse ." AEA RCT Registry. February 12. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.17776-1.1
Sponsors & Partners

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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The treatment consists of two vignettes describing proposed reforms to funding of political parties in Australia, that differ only in the framing of who funds these changes: a Taxpayer frame, in which public funding is described as coming from Australian taxpayers and a Citizen frame, where funding is described as coming from Australian citizens. Immediately after the vignette, respondents indicate whether they support the proposed changes.
Intervention Start Date
2026-02-09
Intervention End Date
2026-02-20

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Preferences for Income Inequality
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
This outcome measures respondents’ preferences for income inequality, elicited through a sequence of choices over graphical representations of income distributions. Respondents are shown pie charts depicting how total pre-tax national income is distributed across population groups (each representing 20% of the population, from the poorest to the richest group) and are asked to indicate which distribution better reflects their idea of a “good society.” This approach parallels Norton and Ariely (2011) and, as in that study, the graphical task allows respondents to express normative preferences over inequality without requiring familiarity with technical measures such as the Gini coefficient. Based on respondents’ choices across a sequence of binary comparisons, each participant is classified into one of four income distributions: a highly equal distribution (Sweden; Gini ≈ 0.29), a moderately equal distribution (Australia; Gini ≈ 0.34), a more unequal distribution (United States; Gini ≈ 0.42), and a highly unequal distribution (Brazil; Gini ≈ 0.52). The primary outcome is a numeric measure of preferred income inequality, constructed by mapping the preferred distribution to its corresponding Gini coefficient. Higher values of this outcome indicate a preference for more unequal income distributions.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Preferences for Redistribution
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
This outcome captures respondents’ preferences for governments involvement in the distribution of income, using an item from the World Values Survey, Wave 8 (2024–2026) (World Values Survey Association, 2024). Respondents place themselves on a 10-point scale between the statements “government should take more responsibility to ensure that everyone is provided for” (1) and “people should take more responsibility to provide for themselves” (10). Lower values indicate stronger support for government involvement in redistribution, while higher values reflect greater emphasis on individual responsibility. It is important to notice that this outcome focuses on the role of the government (vs. individual) responsibility in reducing deprivation, rather than normative views about redistribution.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The study is an individual-level randomized survey experiment with two treatment arms. Respondents are randomly assigned to either a Taxpayer framing condition or a Citizen framing condition. Randomization is stratified by sex and household income (above/below the median). Outcomes are measured immediately after exposure to the treatment within the same survey.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization conducted by computer within the survey platform (PureProfile), following a pre-specified stratified Randomization conducted by computer within the survey platform (PureProfile), following a pre-specified stratified randomization design.
Randomization Unit
Individual level
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
Not applicable (individual-level randomization)
Sample size: planned number of observations
Approximately 1,700 individual respondents
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Approximately 850 respondents in the Taxpayer framing condition and 850 respondents in the Citizen framing condition
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
The study is powered to detect a minimum effect size of Cohen’s d = 0.151 on the primary outcome (preferences for income inequality), assuming a two-sided test with α = 0.05 and 80% power. Power calculations account for individual-level randomization with stratification by sex and household income. The expected analytic sample is approximately 1,383 respondents (about 692 per treatment arm) after pre-specified quality exclusions.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Monash University Human Research Ethics Committee (MUHREC)
IRB Approval Date
2025-12-16
IRB Approval Number
Project ID: 48516
Analysis Plan

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