Household electricity subsidies and investments in energy efficiency

Last registered on March 23, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Household electricity subsidies and investments in energy efficiency
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0018167
Initial registration date
March 19, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
March 23, 2026, 7:46 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Michigan State University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Michigan State University

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-03-21
End date
2026-06-30
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
With rising incomes and temperatures, India represents the world's fastest growing market for cooling. Simultaneously, the extensive use of residential electricity subsidies has effectively brought down the price of cooling, further accelerating the adoption of air conditioners. We study the adoption of energy efficient air conditioners in a large Indian state with a unique electricity subsidy program that induces a large bill discontinuity: households with utilization below an average of 10 kWh per day in a given billing cycle are exempt from paying their bill, whereas consumers that exceed this threshold pay for all units consumed. This induces a bill discontinuity equivalent to 18% of monthly per-capita income. Under this pricing schedule, air conditioner operating costs are zero for consumers that remain below the threshold. This experiment measures willingness to pay for energy efficiency in this setting. Treated households receive a discount voucher for the purchase of an AC---treatment arm 1 receives a base discount for the purchase of any model AC, and treatment arm 2 receives the same base discount plus a bonus discount for the purchase of a 5-star AC. We track AC purchase decisions across control and treated groups to map (i) any AC take up (control vs. T1) and (ii) energy efficiency take up (T1 vs. T2). This experiment will allow us to trace the demand curve and measure willingness to pay for energy efficiency. This project aims to comment on how electricity price subsidies could disincentivize investments in energy efficiency, leading to long-term consequences for energy consumption and pollution generation.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Barnwal, Prabhat and Maitri Punjabi. 2026. "Household electricity subsidies and investments in energy efficiency." AEA RCT Registry. March 23. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.18167-1.0
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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Households will be randomized into two treatment arms: base discount group (T1) and base discount PLUS energy efficiency discount (T2). T1 will receive a base discount of Rs. 2000 for the purchase of any model AC. T2 will receive the same base discount, plus an additional discount of Rs. 4000 for the purchase of an energy efficient model AC (specifically, a 5-star rated AC according to India's BEE standards). This discount is provided through a physical voucher provided to the household, eligible to be redeemed at selected partner retailers in the city. The household will have approximately 4-6 weeks to purchase an AC and redeem the discount directly from the retailer.
Intervention Start Date
2026-03-21
Intervention End Date
2026-04-30

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
For each treatment group (Control, T1, T2), our key outcomes of interest include:
a. What proportion of households purchased an AC?
b. What proportion of households purchased a 5-star AC?
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
This information will be collected as binary variables for each household during the endline data collection (e.g. Did you purchase (5-star) AC?) and then aggregated within each group to report the percent take-up. We will then use these take-up rates to map the demand curve for energy efficiency (T1 vs. T2 take up). This information will also be collected from our partner retail stores. These stores will document and share which household IDs have redeemed the discount and what type of AC they purchased, so we will be able to triangulate self-reported endline data with the retailer data.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Heterogeneity in treatment effects by pre-treatment electricity utilization levels.

Difference in stated WTP and revealed WTP.

Characteristics of ACs purchased, by treatment group.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
We will merge this RCT data with historical electricity consumption data to understand heterogeneity in the treatment effect by the household's relative consumption to the subsidy threshold. The main hypothesis is that households previously far below the threshold will exhibit a lower WTP for energy efficiency given the zero operating cost they pay, compared to households closer to or above the threshold.

At baseline, we ask all households about their stated willingness to pay for 3-star and 5-star AC units, and their expectation of market prices. We will compare their actual price paid with their stated WTP and expected prices.

We are also interested in the following characteristics of AC purchases and how they vary with the treatment assignment: Type: inverter, non-inverter, Capacity, Star rating (ISEER), Price paid.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
This study involves a baseline and endline survey and the provision of a discount voucher to randomly selected households in our sample. Households will be assigned to one of three groups: Control, Treatment arm 1, or Treatment arm 2. Control households will only complete the baseline and endline surveys and will not receive any discount vouchers. Treatment arm 1 will receive a discount of Rs. 2000 for the purchase of any type of AC (purchased from a participating partner retailer). Treatment arm 2 will receive the same discount offer of Rs. 2000 for the purchase of any type of AC, plus an additional bonus discount of Rs. 4000 if the purchased AC is a 5-star rated appliance (according to India's official BEE ratings). For example, a respondent in T2 that purchases a 5-star AC will receive a total discount of Rs. 6000.

Typical AC prices for the most common star rating (3 star) fall in the range of Rs. 25-30K and this price increases to 35-40K for 5-star. A discount of Rs. 4000 therefore covers about 40% of the price differential, though this may vary across brands and models. Our study aims to measure the willingness to pay for energy efficiency by observing the 5-star take-up rate across T1 and T2 households.

Consumers will be visited at baseline to complete the survey and will be given a physical voucher for them to maintain and redeem at partner retail stores. They will have approximately 4-6 weeks to redeem the voucher for a discount. The partner retailer will verify the voucher and participant details (to ensure the voucher is being redeemed by the same household it was provided to) and provide the discount directly to the consumer at the time of purchase. The retailers will then request payment from the project.

Consumers will be visited again at endline to complete a survey about their AC purchase decisions. We will triangulate endline data with the data received from retail partners on discount vouchers redeemed.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Households are randomly pre-assigned to a treatment group using Stata following a non-weighted, sampling-without-replacement method.

Surveyors are informed of this treatment assignment toward the end of the survey through Survey CTO, which uses prefills based on the household ID entered by the surveyor at the beginning of the survey.
Randomization Unit
Household
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
225 households
Sample size: planned number of observations
225 households
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Control: 75 households, T1: 75 households, T2: 75 households
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
We have three respondent groups: control, treatment group 1, and treatment group 2. In order to precisely measure willingness to pay in this setting, we need sufficient take-up of the vouchers across groups. Using prior studies that estimate a willingness to pay of 10% of the purchase price of a lower energy efficiency model in order to upgrade to the higher energy efficiency model, and current market prices for AC models, we estimate requiring a sample size of at least 75 participants in each group. T1 vs T2: Assuming baseline take-up of 5-star is 20% and this increases to 40% from the Rs. 4000 subsidy. Power calculations suggest this gives us about 85% power with a sample size of 75 in each group. Control vs (T1+T2): Assuming baseline take-up of ANY AC is 20% and this increases to 40% from the Rs. 2000 subsidy. Power calculations suggest this gives us about 80% power with a sample size of 75 in control and 150 in T1+T2.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Michigan State University
IRB Approval Date
2026-02-18
IRB Approval Number
202600045