Informed Merchants: A Randomized Field Experiment on Peer Data of SMEs

Last registered on July 03, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Informed Merchants: A Randomized Field Experiment on Peer Data of SMEs
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0018631
Initial registration date
June 22, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
June 23, 2026, 8:38 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Last updated
July 03, 2026, 3:17 AM EDT

Last updated is the most recent time when changes to the trial's registration were published.

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Shanghai Jiao Tong University

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
PI Affiliation
University of Southern California
PI Affiliation
University of Michigan
PI Affiliation
Shanghai International Studies University

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-07-06
End date
2026-08-16
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Small and micro enterprises are the foundation of emerging market economies. Despite their aggregate importance, these firms often operate with limited market information. A small merchant may observe her own performance, but she rarely observes the performance of comparable nearby peers. This lack of peer information may prevent merchants from accurately assessing their market position and from making effective business decisions. This study uses a randomized field experiment to examine whether providing merchants with peer benchmark information affects their future decisions and performance. Eligible stores are randomly assigned to either a control group or an informational treatment group. Treated stores receive weekly in-app access to peer-information (revenue and relative standing) based on comparable stores in the same industry category and within a 3-kilometer radius. We then compare treated merchants with control merchants to estimate whether access to peer benchmark information improves revenue and other business outcomes. We also examine whether the effect of peer information depends on the competitive environment in which it is deployed. Overall, the study estimates the causal impact of peer information on the future decision-making and performance of small and micro stores.

External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Guo, Kai et al. 2026. "Informed Merchants: A Randomized Field Experiment on Peer Data of SMEs." AEA RCT Registry. July 03. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.18631-1.1
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The intervention provides small and micro stores with weekly peer-performance information through the Shouqianba app. Peers are defined as stores in the same industry category, and within a 3-kilometer radius of the focal store. Treated stores receive an in-app message notifying them that a new peer-information feature has been launched. The main experiment randomly assigns 100,000 vendors to equal-sized treatment and control groups: 50,000 vendors to the control group and 50,000 vendors to the treatment group. Treated vendors receive weekly peer information (revenue and relative standing) displays through the app. Vendors in the control group receive no change to the app interface and do not receive access to the new peer-information feature. Outcomes are measured using administrative data from the platform at the store-week level.
Intervention Start Date
2026-07-06
Intervention End Date
2026-08-16

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Weekly store revenue, measured using Shouqianba administrative transaction data.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Weekly revenue is the main measure of store performance. It captures whether access to peer benchmark information improves merchants’ business outcomes relative to the control group.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Weekly average transaction value
Weekly transaction count
Weekly share of revenue from returning customers
Opening hours
Adoption of value-added services
Other important outcomes
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
These outcomes capture the potential margins through which merchants may respond to peer information.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The intervention provides small and micro stores with weekly peer-performance information through the Shouqianba app. Peers are defined as stores in the same industry category, and within a 3-kilometer radius of the focal store. Treated stores receive an in-app message notifying them that a new peer-information feature has been launched. The main experiment randomly assigns 100,000 vendors to equally sized treatment and control groups: 50,000 vendors to the control group and 50,000 vendors to the treatment group. Treated vendors receive weekly peer information (revenue and relative standing) displays through the app. Vendors in the control group receive no change to the app interface and do not receive access to the new peer-information feature. Outcomes are measured using administrative data from the platform at the store-week level.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Prior to the experiment, we will randomize firms into control and treatment groups. We begin with all firms subscribing to Shouqianba's service and apply the following eligibility filters before randomization. First, we require that a firm open the Shouqianba app at least once during the week immediately preceding the experiment to ensure the merchant’s engagement with the platform. The condition is analogous to McKenzie and Woodruff (2017), who restrict their sample to actively operating firms at baseline, since their treatment (i.e., management consulting) requires an active firm to receive it. Our treatment, which is peer information deliver, similarly requires an engaged merchant to be exposed to it. Second, we require firms to have at least 5 peers within a 3 km radius, ensuring a stable and reliable peer benchmark. Finally, we exclude firms with extreme performance, those earning more than 10 times or less than 1/10th of their peer median. All filters are based on the week immediately prior to the experiment.
We conduct block randomization within each stratum to assign 100,000 merchants into equal-sized treatment and control groups. Strata are defined based on the level of competition. Randomization is conducted at the merchant level within each stratum.
We define competition strata based on the number of firms operating in the same secondary industry category within a 3-kilometer radius. We use 3 kilometers based on evidence on short-distance urban mobility in China. Survey-based studies of retail catchment areas find that Chinese shoppers at neighborhood-scale retail centers are drawn overwhelmingly from within a 2–3km radius (Wang, Zhang, and Wang 2006). Consistent with this, e-bikes (the dominant mode for short local trips in Chinese cities) average round-trip distances of roughly 5–6km, implying a comparable one-way local travel radius (Weinert, Ma, Yang, and Cherry 2007). We classify markets into high-, medium-, and low-competition based on the distribution of the strata. This stratified randomization serves two purposes. First, it guarantees that the treatment and control groups are comparable in their competitive environment, preventing competition intensity from confounding our estimates of the benchmark information effect. Second, it provides the variation we need to test our hypothesis that the strategic response to benchmark information differs across market competition levels.
Randomization Unit
Vendor
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
Not applicable. Treatment is assigned at the vendor level and is not clustered.
Sample size: planned number of observations
100,000 vendors.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Control group: 50,000 vendors.
Treatment group: 50,000 vendors.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Shanghai Jiao Tong University
IRB Approval Date
2026-01-12
IRB Approval Number
LL2025000672-01
IRB Name
Shanghai International Studies University
IRB Approval Date
2025-12-23
IRB Approval Number
2025BC082
IRB Name
University of Michigan
IRB Approval Date
2026-01-12
IRB Approval Number
HUM00286893
IRB Name
University of Southern California
IRB Approval Date
2026-02-02
IRB Approval Number
UP-26-00008