Fighting Poverty: International Attitudes Toward Poverty Reduction Programs

Last registered on June 15, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Fighting Poverty: International Attitudes Toward Poverty Reduction Programs
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0018825
Initial registration date
June 03, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
June 15, 2026, 5:42 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-06-04
End date
2028-03-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
This study provides broadly representative, cross-country evidence on public support for different types of poverty reduction programs — unconditional and conditional cash transfers, in-kind transfers, public works, asset transfers, and personalized tax refunds.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Bond, Edward et al. 2026. "Fighting Poverty: International Attitudes Toward Poverty Reduction Programs." AEA RCT Registry. June 15. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.18825-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
All respondents first watch a two-minute neutral explainer video introducing the four core program types (unconditional cash transfers, conditional cash transfers, in-kind transfers, public works) plus one randomly assigned “new” program (asset transfer or personalized tax refund), followed by a knowledge-check quiz. The explainer presents no information on program effectiveness and is common to all arms (it is not part of the treatment contrast).

Respondents are then randomized to one of three conditions:
• Treatment 1 — “Conditions faced by the Poor” video. Accurate information on the living conditions, vulnerability, and limited opportunities faced by poor households. Designed to shift perceptions of poverty.
• Treatment 2 — “Effectiveness” video. Corrects three empirically incorrect beliefs: that cash transfer recipients waste money on harmful goods; that cash transfers reduce labor supply; and that consumption tax exemptions primarily benefit poor households.
• Control. No second video after the common neutral explainer.
Intervention Start Date
2026-06-05
Intervention End Date
2028-03-30

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Standardized indices, pooled across countries with country fixed effects:
• Overall support — qualitative index. Five-point Likert items on general support and on each core program.
• Overall support — quantitative index. Preferred total spending across the seven hypothetical budget allocations.
• Relative support for cash transfers. Support for UCTs alone and for UCTs+CCTs combined.
• Tax exemptions index. Support for consumption tax exemptions relative to targeted social assistance.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
See questionnaire and pre-analysis plan

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
Randomized cross-country survey experiment, where respondents are allocated to one of three conditions:
• Treatment 1 — “Conditions faced by the Poor” video. Accurate information on the living conditions, vulnerability, and limited opportunities faced by poor households. Designed to shift perceptions of poverty.
• Treatment 2 — “Effectiveness” video. Corrects three empirically incorrect beliefs: that cash transfer recipients waste money on harmful goods; that cash transfers reduce labor supply; and that consumption tax exemptions primarily benefit poor households.
• Control. No second video after the common neutral explainer.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization performed by the survey platform using a computer pseudo-random number generator. All randomized elements are independent and assign options with equal probability within their respective sets; treatment arms use a fixed 30/30/40 split.
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
N/A
Sample size: planned number of observations
16,000 respondents (target 2,000 per country × 8 countries).
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Per the 40/30/30 allocation: ~6,400 control; ~4,800 “Conditions faced by the Poor”; ~4,800 “Effectiveness” (9,600 in the two treatment arms combined). Within each country: ~800 control, ~600 per treatment arm.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
On the standardized primary indices, pooled across countries with country fixed effects (α = 0.05 two-sided, power 0.80, control-group SD = 1): • Pooled treatment vs. control (N = 9,600 vs 6,400): ~0.045 SD • Single treatment arm vs. control (N = 4,800 vs 6,400): ~0.054 SD • Conditions vs. Effectiveness (N = 4,800 vs 4,800): ~0.057 SD • Pooled treatment × median-split interaction: ~0.090 SD • Single-arm × median-split interaction: ~0.107 SD For a single binary outcome (5-point Likert collapsed to support/strongly support, assuming 50% control agreement): ~6.4 pp pooled treatment and ~7.6 pp single arm within a single country. These MDEs are conservative — they ignore variance reduction from country fixed effects and covariates, and treat indices as having unit residual SD.
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
University College London — Economics Local Research Ethics Committee
IRB Approval Date
2026-04-27
IRB Approval Number
Project ID 1761
Analysis Plan

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