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Abstract This study examines whether weather-induced travel costs to school could be reduced through a low-cost adaptation tool. I am implementing a cluster-randomized controlled trial with around 2,000 students across 106 secondary schools. Schools are randomly assigned to the treatment or control group. In treatment schools, students receive a foldable umbrella plus a one-off information nudge designed to encourage regular use and reduce reallocation within households. The primary outcome is absenteeism on adverse-weather school days, constructed from school attendance registers and linked to daily rainfall and temperature data. Baseline and endline student surveys provide complementary outcomes on learning and wellbeing. The study provides evidence on a low-cost, scalable approach to mitigating weather-related disruptions to schooling. The study examines whether a low-cost adaptation to recurrent weather events, specifically rain and radiant heat, can reduce student absenteeism. I implement a cluster-randomized controlled trial with around 2,000 students across 105 secondary schools. Schools are randomly assigned to the treatment or control group. In treatment schools, students receive a foldable umbrella plus a one-off information nudge designed to encourage regular use and reduce reallocation within households. The primary outcome is absenteeism on rainy instructional school days, constructed from school attendance registers and linked to daily rainfall data. Baseline and endline student surveys provide complementary outcomes on learning and wellbeing. The study provides evidence on a low-cost, scalable approach to mitigating weather-related disruptions to schooling.
Last Published June 15, 2026 01:57 PM June 22, 2026 05:53 AM
Primary Outcomes (End Points) Absenteeism rate on adverse-weather school days. Absenteeism rate on rainy instructional school days.
Primary Outcomes (Explanation) The adverse-weather absenteeism rate is defined for each student as the number of adverse school days absent divided by the total number of adverse-weather school days. The absenteeism rate is defined for each student as the number of rainy instructional school days absent divided by the total number of rainy instructional school days between the baseline and endline surveys.
Experimental Design (Public) School Selection The study is a cluster-randomized controlled trial with randomization at the school level. A list of all registered schools was obtained from the District Education Office in Pabna. The list contains 325 secondary schools, of which 241 are located within the five study subdistricts. Schools were considered ineligible if they met any of the following criteria: 1. The school was designated as a center for the Secondary School Certificate (SSC) public examination. 2. The school was single-sex (i.e., not co-educational); 3. The school had fewer than 200 enrolled students in total, or 4. The school was not a standard secondary school (i.e., it was a junior secondary school serving up to grade 8 or a higher secondary school serving up to grade 12). After applying these eligibility criteria, 134 schools remained eligible for participation. From this pool, 106 schools were randomly selected and subsequently assigned to either the treatment or control group. Randomization was conducted prior to baseline data collection. Student Selection Within each study school, the target population is Grade 8 students. Student eligibility was determined through a short screening survey administered to all, or nearly all, Grade 8 students present on the survey day. Students were eligible for inclusion if they met both of the following criteria: 1. The student walked to school or used a rickshaw van as the primary commuting mode; and 2. The student lived in a household with no more than one usable umbrella. In treatment schools, I aimed to enroll approximately 30 eligible students per school. If more than 30 students were eligible in a treatment school, up to 30 students were randomly selected from the eligible list through an on-the-spot lottery. This cap was imposed because the number of umbrellas available for distribution was limited. In control schools, all eligible students were included in the study sample.   Data Collection Baseline survey To assess eligibility, I conducted a short paper survey consisting of three questions. The eligible students completed a structured survey in a classroom setting on a tablet computer. They also attended a standardized cognitive test covering English, mathematics, and general aptitude. In parallel, I administered a short school questionnaire to the headteachers to capture key school characteristics. I extracted the attendance data up to the survey date (Jan- April 2026) from the school records. Endline survey At the endline, I will re-survey students and headteachers. Students will complete a cognitive assessment comparable in structure and difficulty to the baseline test. There will also be a survey module on relevant behaviors and experiences over the study period. During-intervention data During the intervention period, I will collect implementation and monitoring data to assess treatment intensity and compliance. First, I will conduct unannounced school visits in both treatment and control schools to measure (i) student attendance on the day of the visit and (ii) umbrella use. I plan four visits per school: two during the monsoon and two during the hot season. Second, I will compile high-frequency attendance outcomes by digitizing school register data. Third, I will compile high-frequency weather data for the study area, including daily rainfall (mm) and daily temperature (°C). I will align these measures to the finest feasible geographic and temporal resolutions. School Selection The study is a cluster-randomized controlled trial with randomization at the school level. A list of all registered schools was obtained from the District Education Office in Pabna. The list contains 325 secondary schools, of which 241 are located within the five study subdistricts. Schools were considered ineligible if they met any of the following criteria: 1. The school was designated as a center for the Secondary School Certificate (SSC) public examination. 2. The school was single-sex (i.e., not co-educational); 3. The school had fewer than 200 enrolled students in total, or 4. The school was not a standard secondary school (i.e., it was a junior secondary school serving up to grade 8 or a higher secondary school serving up to grade 12). From the eligible schools, 106 were randomly selected and subsequently assigned to either the treatment or control group. Randomization was conducted prior to baseline data collection. Student Selection Within each study school, the target population is Grade 8 students. Student eligibility was determined through a short screening survey administered to all, or nearly all, Grade 8 students present on the survey day. Students were eligible for inclusion if they met both of the following criteria: 1. The student walked to school or used a rickshaw van as the primary commuting mode; and 2. The student lived in a household with no more than one usable umbrella. In treatment schools, I aimed to enroll approximately 30 eligible students per school. If more than 30 students were eligible in a treatment school, up to 30 students were randomly selected from the eligible list through an on-the-spot lottery. This cap was imposed because the number of umbrellas available for distribution was limited.   Data Collection Baseline survey To assess eligibility, I conducted a short paper survey consisting of three questions. The eligible students completed a structured survey in a classroom setting on a tablet computer. They also attended a standardized cognitive test covering English, mathematics, and general aptitude. In parallel, I administered a short school questionnaire to the headteachers to capture key school characteristics. I extracted the attendance data up to the survey date (Jan- April 2026) from the school records. Endline survey At the endline, I will re-survey students and headteachers. Students will complete a cognitive assessment comparable in structure and difficulty to the baseline test. There will also be a survey module on relevant behaviors and experiences over the study period. During-intervention data During the intervention period, I will collect implementation and monitoring data to assess treatment intensity and compliance. First, I will conduct unannounced school visits in both treatment and control schools to measure (i) student attendance on the day of the visit and (ii) umbrella use. I plan four visits per school: two during rainy days and two during high-radiant-heat days. Second, I will compile high-frequency attendance outcomes by digitizing school register data. Third, I will compile high-frequency weather data for the study area, including daily rainfall, daily temperature, and solar radiation. I will align these measures to the finest feasible geographic and temporal resolutions.
Planned Number of Observations 2000 ~2047 students
Power calculation: Minimum Detectable Effect Size for Main Outcomes MDE of 0.15–0.20 SD in absenteeism during adverse-weather days MDE of 0.2–0.25 SD in absenteeism on rainy instructional school days
Secondary Outcomes (End Points) Seasonal sickness (self-reported) Standardized test scores Girls' mobility Absenteeism on high-radiant-heat days Seasonal sickness (self-reported) Standardized test scores
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