Worker Perceptions About Aging Firms

Last registered on July 06, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Worker Perceptions About Aging Firms
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0018975
Initial registration date
June 30, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
July 06, 2026, 7:26 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Erlangen-Nuremberg

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
University of Erlangen-Nuremberg
PI Affiliation
University of Erlangen-Nuremberg

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-06-30
End date
2027-07-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Using a survey among undergraduate students, we investigate prospective workers' perceptions about aging firms. Our approach combines survey data with a stated choice experiment and vignettes. The purpose of the stated choice experiment is to estimate the willingness-to-pay for a job in an aging firm. The vignettes are meant to shed light on possible mechanisms. The data collection is part of a larger research agenda on the sorting of students into career paths and leverages a survey instrument established in 2020.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Haustein, Bianca, Markus Nagler and Johannes Rincke. 2026. "Worker Perceptions About Aging Firms." AEA RCT Registry. July 06. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.18975-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
In the stated-choice experiment, participants see two fictitious jobs A and B. They are asked to mark the one job they prefer over the other. The jobs can differ in a total of seven non-wage amenities and earnings. The non-wage amenities include: Home-office option (days per week: 0, 2, 5), paid days off (25, 30, 35), share of women among colleagues (25%, 50%, 75%), flexible work hours (yes/no), share of colleagues who are 55 years or older (20%, 30%, 40%, 50%, 60%), hours per week (35, 40, 45), commuting time (0-30 min, 31-60 min, >60 min). On each screen, two out of the seven amenities will randomly vary. The earnings will always vary. Each participant faces a total of seven choice screens. The survey module also includes a simple attention check question. After the stated-choice experiment, the module features a series of four vignettes. Each vignette consists of a description of a fictitious job and a series of questions to be answered on a 5-point Likert scale. The job description consists of the following amenities: Home-office option (days per week), paid days off, share of women among colleagues, flexible work hours, share of colleagues who are 55 years or older, hours per week. Note that commuting time is not included as a job characteristic. The post-vignette questions elicit the following perceptions regarding the respective work environment in random order: Enjoyable work enironment, learning from others in team, usage of modern work tools and technical equipment, good work-life balance, work flexibility and autonomy, career options, earnings growth.
Intervention Start Date
2026-06-30
Intervention End Date
2027-07-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Preferences for jobs (choices in stated-choice experiment), perceptions (responses in vignette part)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
See Intervention

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The data collection will be embedded as a separate module into an existing student survey (see Docs & Materials for a Working Paper describing the survey). The module first asks students to state expectations about their first job after graduation. We elicit expectations regarding several non-wage amenities and earnings. The survey then implements a stated-choice experiment. On each choice screen, participants see two fictitious jobs A and B. They are asked to mark the one job they prefer over the other. The jobs can differ in a total of seven non-wage amenities and earnings. The non-wage amenities include: Home-office option (days per week: 0, 2, 5), paid days off (25, 30, 35), share of women among colleagues (25%, 50%, 75%), flexible work hours (yes/no), share of colleagues who are 55 years or older (20%, 30%, 40%, 50%, 60%), hours per week (35, 40, 45), commuting time (0-30 min, 31-60 min, >60 min). On each screen, two out of the seven amenities will randomly vary. The earnings will always vary. Each participant faces a total of seven choice screens. The survey module also includes a simple attention check question. After the stated-choice experiment, the module features a series of four vignettes. Each vignette consists of a description of a fictitious job and a series of questions to be answered on a 5-point Likert scale. The job description consists of the following amenities: Home-office option (days per week), paid days off, share of women among colleagues, flexible work hours, share of colleagues who are 55 years or older, hours per week. Note that commuting time is not included as a job characteristic. The post-vignette questions elicit the following perceptions regarding the respective work environment in random order: Enjoyable work enironment, learning from others in team, usage of modern work tools and technical equipment, good work-life balance, work flexibility and autonomy, career options, earnings growth. We plan to exploit the vignette data to shed light on the mechanisms through which the job characteristic "aging firm" affects valuations. The main candidate for meachanisms for positive evaluations is that respondents perceive aging firms to offer good career prospects. The main candidates for meachanisms for negative evaluations are that respondents perceive aging firms to be less likely to adopt modern work tools, equipment, and forms of internal organization, and offer worse prospects for an enjoyable work environment. The survey ends with open questions about what participants perceive to be the main consequences of demographic change for their career.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
randomization done in office by a computer
Randomization Unit
individual job pair (stated-choice experiment), individual job (vignettes)
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
between 500 and 1000 students per cohort, each participant making seven choices in stated-choice experiment
Sample size: planned number of observations
between 500 and 1000 students per cohort, each participant making seven choices in stated-choice experiment
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
no treatment arms, but random variation in a total of seven non-wage amenities and earnings
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
We have no baseline data, but based on previous stated-choicie experiments with similar populations and non-wage amenities, we believe we will be able to identify WTPs of less than 3 percent of earnings.
Supporting Documents and Materials

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IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Ethics Board of the Department of Economics, Business and Society, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg
IRB Approval Date
2020-09-30
IRB Approval Number
N/A