Getting Going on Savings: A Randomized Trial of Roth IRA Seeding for Young Workers

Last registered on June 23, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Getting Going on Savings: A Randomized Trial of Roth IRA Seeding for Young Workers
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0018984
Initial registration date
June 22, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
June 23, 2026, 8:48 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Chicago Booth School of Business

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Harvard Business School
PI Affiliation
Northeastern University

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-07-01
End date
2028-09-01
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
This analysis plan pre-specifies the main analysis of a randomized controlled trial testing whether a larger Roth IRA seed contribution increases retirement saving among young workers in city-run summer employment programs. All study enrollees will be offered an initial $50 contribution conditional on opening a Roth IRA and successfully depositing the $50. Participants who complete this step will be randomly assigned to a higher contribution offer or to a comparison contribution condition. The design may also include an independent messaging-based cross-randomization to test whether reminder intensity or message framing affects Roth IRA engagement. The primary analysis estimates the intent-to-treat effect of assignment to the higher contribution offer on Roth IRA saving behavior, balances, contributions, withdrawals, account retention, and broader measures of financial well-being. Outcomes will be measured using administrative brokerage records, participant surveys, credit report data, and other administrative records where available.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Kluender, Raymond, Alicia Modestino and Matthew Notowidigdo. 2026. "Getting Going on Savings: A Randomized Trial of Roth IRA Seeding for Young Workers." AEA RCT Registry. June 23. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.18984-1.0
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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The intervention is designed to reduce upfront financial and informational barriers to Roth IRA saving among young adults in summer employment programs. All study enrollees will be offered an initial $50 contribution if they open a Roth IRA and successfully deposit the initial $50 contribution. Randomization will occur among participants who open accounts and successfully deposit the initial $50. Randomized participants will then be assigned to one of two contribution conditions. Participants assigned to the treatment condition will receive an additional $950 Roth IRA contribution, for a total program contribution of $1,000. Participants assigned to the comparison condition will receive an additional $50 Roth IRA contribution, for a total program contribution of $100. Both groups may receive baseline financial education, Roth IRA information, account-opening support, reminders, and guidance on funding and investing the account as specified in the final implementation protocol. If implemented, an independent messaging cross-randomization will assign participants to standard messages or additional messaging related to habit formation, reminders, Roth IRA funding, saving behavior, compound growth, account flexibility, or continued account engagement.
Intervention Start Date
2026-07-01
Intervention End Date
2027-09-01

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Roth IRA balance at the primary follow-up date (approximately 12 months after initial contribution)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Roth IRA balance will be measured using administrative brokerage account records at the primary follow-up date. Because randomization will occur among participants who have already opened a Roth IRA and successfully deposited the initial $50 contribution, Roth IRA account opening is part of the randomized-sample definition rather than a post-randomization outcome. Participants with no active observed Roth IRA balance at the primary follow-up date, including participants who close the account before follow-up, will be assigned a balance of zero where appropriate. The primary follow-up horizon will be specified before outcome data are analyzed and is expected to cover approximately 12 months after randomization.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
• Roth IRA engagement: any Roth IRA funding, total contributions, participant-initiated contributions, net contributions, any withdrawal, total withdrawals, account closure, portfolio allocation, automatic reinvestment, and external-account link or recurring contributions.
• Financial knowledge and self-efficacy: financial literacy, comfort managing finances, confidence meeting financial goals, and trust in financial institutions.
• Savings behavior and financial management: any saving, amount saved, budgeting, and savings or investment accounts outside the study Roth IRA.
• Income, spending, and hardship: employment/enrollment, monthly income and spending, financial hardship, and use of alternative financial products.
• Credit report domain, if available: credit access, balances and borrowing, delinquency, collections, default, and bankruptcy.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
Secondary outcomes will be measured using administrative brokerage records, participant surveys, credit report data, and program/administrative records where available. Roth IRA engagement outcomes will be constructed from account-level and transaction-level brokerage records, including balances, contributions, withdrawals, account status, portfolio allocation, reinvestment, and linked account or recurring contribution indicators. Survey outcomes will be constructed from participant responses on financial literacy, financial self-efficacy, savings behavior, budgeting, income, spending, hardship, and financial product use. Credit report outcomes, if available, will measure broader financial well-being, including credit scores or score presence, credit limits, balances, delinquency, collections, default, bankruptcy, and types of credit accounts.

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
The study is a randomized controlled trial among young adults participating in city-run summer employment programs, including the Boston Summer Youth Employment Program and potentially similar programs in other cities. Eligible participants are expected to be ages 18 to 24 and to have sufficient earned income during the study period to contribute to a Roth IRA. All study enrollees will be offered an initial $50 contribution if they open a Roth IRA and successfully deposit the initial $50 contribution. Randomization will occur among the group that opens accounts and successfully deposits the initial $50. Randomized participants will be assigned to one of two contribution conditions: a treatment condition receiving an additional $950 contribution after the common initial $50, for a total program contribution of $1,000, or a comparison condition receiving an additional $50 contribution after the common initial $50, for a total program contribution of $100. The current working design assumes approximately 800 randomized participants, with about 400 participants assigned to each contribution condition. The primary analysis will estimate the intent-to-treat effect of assignment to the higher total contribution relative to the comparison contribution among participants who opened an account and successfully deposited the initial $50 before randomization. Because account opening and the initial $50 deposit occur before randomization, the randomized comparison isolates the effect of the additional contribution amount, assuming all other post-randomization implementation features are held fixed across arms. The study may also include an independent messaging-based cross-randomization in which participants in both contribution conditions are randomized to receive either standard messages or additional messaging. If implemented as a balanced 2 x 2 factorial design, the working allocation would be approximately 200 participants per factorial cell. Final sample size, allocation, treatment descriptions, and stratification variables should be confirmed before submission.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization will be conducted by computer after participants open a Roth IRA and successfully deposit the initial $50 contribution. There are no plans for pre-specified randomization strata such as city/program site, cohort, workshop, provider, outreach batch, or enrollment wave. If the messaging cross-randomization is implemented, contribution assignment and messaging assignment will be randomized as separate dimensions.
Randomization Unit
Individual participant. If the messaging cross-randomization is implemented, the messaging assignment is also randomized at the individual participant level.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
N/A - individual-level randomization
Sample size: planned number of observations
Approximately 800 randomized participants, defined as participants who open a Roth IRA and successfully deposit the initial $50 contribution before randomization.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
Approximately 400 randomized participants assigned to the treatment condition and 400 randomized participants assigned to the comparison condition. All randomized participants will have opened an account and deposited the common initial $50 before randomization. Treatment participants will receive an additional $950 contribution, for a total program contribution of $1,000; comparison participants will receive an additional $50 contribution, for a total program contribution of $100. If a balanced messaging cross-randomization is implemented, this implies approximately 200 participants per factorial cell: treatment/standard messages, treatment/additional messaging, comparison/standard messages, comparison/additional messaging.
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
Power calculations are based on approximately 800 randomized participants, with 400 participants in the treatment contribution condition and 400 participants in the comparison condition. These calculations apply to the randomized sample of participants who open a Roth IRA and successfully deposit the common initial $50 before randomization. Calculations assume two-sided tests with 80 percent power and a 5 percent significance level, individual-level randomization, no covariate adjustment, and no take-up adjustment. Under these assumptions, the standardized minimum detectable effect for continuous outcomes is approximately 0.198 standard deviations. For dollar-valued Vanguard administrative outcomes, the corresponding minimum detectable effect depends on the assumed outcome standard deviation. Illustrative calculations in the PAP imply an MDE of about $19.83 for outcomes with a standard deviation of $100 and about $9.92 for outcomes with a standard deviation of $50. For binary administrative outcomes, illustrative MDEs are approximately 3.84 percentage points when the control-group rate is 2 percent, 5.25 percentage points when the control-group rate is 5 percent, and 6.73 percentage points when the control-group rate is 10 percent. If the final implementation uses clustered randomization or a materially different randomized sample size, power calculations should be updated accordingly.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Northeastern University
IRB Approval Date
2026-06-12
IRB Approval Number
N/A
Analysis Plan

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