Pay-to-Quit Incentives in Teams

Last registered on July 13, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Pay-to-Quit Incentives in Teams
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0019112
Initial registration date
July 09, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
July 13, 2026, 7:57 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Pittsburgh

Other Primary Investigator(s)

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-07-15
End date
2027-07-15
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
Many organizations have recently offered employees payments in exchange for voluntarily leaving their jobs, sometimes called "pay-to-quit" programs. This study uses an online experiment to examine how such offers affect employee turnover and team performance in small teams. Participants are randomly assigned to three-person teams and complete a real-effort task over several rounds, earning money based on their team's output. In some teams, members are periodically offered a cash payment in exchange for voluntarily leaving the team. If a team member accepts a payment to leave, a new participant joins the team so that team size stays the same. The study examines how these "pay-to-quit" offers relate to team members' decisions to stay or leave, and to team performance and cooperation over time.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Sheeley, Bret. 2026. "Pay-to-Quit Incentives in Teams." AEA RCT Registry. July 13. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.19112-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Intervention Start Date
2026-07-15
Intervention End Date
2027-07-15

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
The primary outcomes are: (1) voluntary turnover — whether a team member accepts the offer to leave the team (quit vs. stay) at each decision point, and the team-level turnover rate; and (2) team performance — team output per production round, measured as the sum of members' scores (low task interdependence) or the highest single member's score (high task interdependence).
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary outcomes include: individual performance (number of items correctly decoded per round); helping behavior (the number and proportion of a member's correct decodes contributed to teammates' scores rather than their own); and self-reported team attachment, coordination, and cohesion measured in a post-experiment questionnaire.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
Participants recruited through Prolific complete a real-effort decoding task in three-person teams over a series of timed production rounds, earning experimental currency that is later converted to U.S. dollars. During the study, team members may have the opportunity to voluntarily leave their team. When a member leaves, a participant drawn from a waiting pool joins so that team size stays constant. The study examines how features of the team's compensation and work environment relate to members' decisions to stay or leave, individual and team performance, and cooperation among teammates.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization is performed by computer using the experimental software (oTree). Scheduled Prolific sessions are assigned to experimental conditions, and within each session the software groups participants into three-person teams.
Randomization Unit
Experimental session (assigned to one of the four conditions). Participants are randomly grouped into three-person teams nested within sessions. The team is the unit within which pay and performance outcomes are jointly determined.
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
120 teams
Sample size: planned number of observations
360 main team participants (120 teams × 3 members). An additional 300 (approx.) replacement-pool participants may join teams over the course of the study, for approximately 660 participants total.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
30 teams per condition
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
All power analyses use G*Power (α = .05, power = 0.80). The design is a 2×2 between-participants experiment with 30 teams per cell (120 teams; 360 main team participants). Team performance: For the PTQ × Task Interdependence interaction on team output, the minimum detectable effect is Cohen's f = 0.26 (a medium effect). Team output is measured in decodes. Using the team-performance data in Shi, Tafkov, and Zhou (2025) to estimate a within-cell standard deviation of 75 decodes, this corresponds to a minimum detectable difference-in-differences of approximately 78 decodes (Cohen's f [0.26] × 4 groups × SD [75]). Relative to the mean team output across the six cells of Shi et al.'s Table 1 (555.4 decodes), this represents approximately 14% of baseline team output. Turnover: Turnover is a binary, participant-level outcome (quit vs. stay). For the effect of PTQ on the quit rate (present vs. absent), comparing two groups of 180 participants (360 main participants total, collapsing across task interdependence), the minimum detectable effect is Cohen's h ≈ 0.21. Anchoring plausible quit rates to a related PTQ experiment, in which the observed switch rate was 22.0% in the period the incentive was introduced and 61.0% in the following period, this corresponds to a detectable difference of roughly 9 percentage points at a ~22% baseline (≈22% vs. ≈31%) and roughly 10 percentage points at a ~61% baseline. For the PTQ × Task Interdependence interaction on the quit rate, the minimum detectable effect is Cohen's f ≈ 0.15. Expressed as the difference-in-differences in quit rates, this corresponds to approximately 24 percentage points at a ~22% baseline quit rate and approximately 29 percentage points at a ~61% baseline. Notes. The turnover analyses treat the binary quit outcome under a linear-probability/ANOVA approximation; because a proportion's variance depends on its level, the percentage-point translations are anchored to representative baseline quit rates from a related PTQ study. None of the figures above yet adjust for clustering of quit decisions within teams. Because turnover decisions are positively correlated within a team, the design effect will exceed one, and the cluster-adjusted MDEs will be larger.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
University of Pittsburgh Institutional Review Board
IRB Approval Date
2026-02-26
IRB Approval Number
STUDY26020140
Analysis Plan

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