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Field
Experimental Design (Public)
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Before
The study is an individually randomized online experiment. Eligible participants are randomly assigned to one of four conditions with approximately equal probability. Each participant sees only one condition.
Experimental design details
Participants first provide consent and confirm eligibility. They then receive condition-specific instructions and comprehension questions. Participants who answer the first comprehension question correctly proceed to the choice task; participants who miss the first comprehension question receive a second comprehension question before proceeding. The main analysis includes all valid completed responses regardless of comprehension status. Robustness analyses restrict the sample to participants who answer both comprehension questions correctly, and separately to participants who answer at least one comprehension question correctly.
After making a choice, participants report beliefs about conditional probabilities, answer process questions or provide open-ended decision explanations, and complete demographic and feedback items. In the incentivized conditions, bonus eligibility and bonus amounts are determined according to the coin-flip and exchange-rate procedure described to participants.
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After
The study is an individually randomized online experiment. Eligible participants are randomly assigned to one of four conditions with approximately equal probability. Each participant sees only one condition.
Sample frame:
- Prolific
- 25 to 55 year olds
-US
-employed (full/part)
Sample exclusions:
- bots (as identified by Prolific)
- exceedingly fast respondents (< 2 mns)
- anyone below 98% prolific approval
- anyone with less than 20 prolific studies completed
- Qualtrics recaptchta human score < .5
-duplicate entries identified by qualtrics
Experimental design details
Participants first provide consent and confirm eligibility. They then receive condition-specific instructions and comprehension questions. Participants who answer the first comprehension question correctly proceed to the choice task; participants who miss the first comprehension question receive a second comprehension question before proceeding. The main analysis includes all valid completed responses regardless of comprehension status. Robustness analyses restrict the sample to participants who answer both comprehension questions correctly, and separately to participants who answer at least one comprehension question correctly.
After making a choice, participants report beliefs about conditional probabilities, answer process questions or provide open-ended decision explanations, and complete demographic and feedback items. In the incentivized conditions, bonus eligibility and bonus amounts are determined according to the coin-flip and exchange-rate procedure described to participants.
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