Experimental Design
We employ a 2x2 factorial design with four treatment arms:
TC Off TC On
VOT Off Control (n~75) TC Only (n~75)
VOT On VOT Only (n~75) VOT+TC (n~75)
RECRUITMENT:
Participants are recruited from the CeDEx China experimental subject pool at UNNC. CeDEx China is a research centre affiliated with the Department of Economics at UNNC, maintaining a standing pool of students who have voluntarily registered to be contacted about economics research studies. The PI is an External Fellow of CeDEx China with authorized access to this pool. The university email system is not used for recruitment. Supplementary recruitment may include physical campus posters and voluntary sharing through personal WeChat networks.
DATA COLLECTION:
All participants install StayFree, a free third-party screen time tracking app developed by StayFree Apps (an independent developer), on their smartphones. StayFree records app usage durations locally on the device. The research team has no access to participants' data through the app. Participants manually export their data as CSV files and upload them to Wenjuanxing (a Chinese online survey platform) twice per week (Wednesday and Sunday). The CSV files contain only app names and usage durations; no message content, browsing history, or other personal information is collected.
ANONYMITY:
Each participant is assigned an anonymous ID at enrollment. All survey data is linked to this anonymous ID, not to names or student IDs. A master linking file is stored separately on a password-protected device, used only for payment distribution, and permanently deleted after the study.
TREATMENTS:
Control: No treatment during Weeks 2 and 3. Participants submit StayFree CSV exports only. Opportunity cost survey administered at the end of Week 3 (after all behavioral data is collected), ensuring the Control group remains uncontaminated throughout the treatment and post-treatment periods.
VOT (Value of Time): On Day 1 of Week 2, participants complete an opportunity cost survey via Wenjuanxing. The main measure asks: "If you used your smartphone for one hour less today, what would you most likely do with that extra hour?" followed by "How valuable, in RMB, is doing that activity for one hour?" Wenjuanxing auto-calculates the participant's personalized opportunity cost (p_i) and displays it on the submission confirmation page. Participants are instructed to save a screenshot of this result. On each data collection day (Wednesday and Sunday), a WeChat group broadcast reminds participants to recall their personal p_i. The reminder does not display a group average to avoid distorting individual perceptions. As a robustness measure, participants also value all 10 non-digital activities and report their time shares, yielding a weighted average opportunity cost (p_i_avg).
TC (Time Consumption): On Day 1 of Week 2, participants estimate their total Week 1 smartphone usage; the survey then reveals their actual usage from the Week 1 CSV data. On each data collection day, participants complete a self-estimation survey with a 30-second page timer (to prevent checking StayFree before answering), followed by a prompt to check their actual usage in StayFree. Opportunity cost survey administered at end of Week 3 (same timing as Control).
VOT+TC: Both treatments combined. Morning opportunity cost reminders + twice-weekly self-estimation exercises.
TIMELINE:
Week 0: Recruitment, baseline survey (demographics, self-estimated usage, optional CRT and time preference items), StayFree installation and verification.
Week 1: Pre-treatment baseline observation (2 data submissions: Wednesday and Sunday).
Week 2: Treatment period (2 data submissions + treatment-specific surveys and messages).
Week 3: Post-treatment observation (2 data submissions). End survey and delayed opportunity cost survey for Control and TC Only groups.
Month 2: 1-month follow-up (1 data submission).
MAIN SPECIFICATION:
d_it = mu_i + gamma_t + beta_1 * (VOT_i * Post_t) + beta_2 * (TC_i * Post_t) + beta_3 * (VOT_i * TC_i * Post_t) + epsilon_it
where d_it is screen time for participant i at measurement occasion t (Wednesday or Sunday), mu_i is an individual fixed effect (absorbs all time-invariant characteristics including treatment assignment), gamma_t is a measurement-occasion fixed effect (absorbs weekday/weekend differences and common time trends), and Post_t indicates Week 2. Standard errors clustered at the individual level.
Coefficients: beta_1 = -Delta_k (VOT effect), beta_2 = -Delta_S (TC effect), beta_3 = interaction.
IDENTIFICATION OF eta (attention semi-elasticity):
Within the VOT group (where attention has been raised), we estimate: d_i = alpha - eta * ln(p_i) + X_i' * gamma + epsilon_i, where X_i includes baseline screen time, gender, age, academic year, and major. eta measures how many hours of screen time decrease per unit increase in ln(p_i). Endogeneity is addressed by controlling for baseline screen time and reporting robustness to alternative p_i measures and a range of eta values.
MECHANISM TEST:
d_it = mu_i + gamma_t + beta_1 * (VOT_i * Post_t) + beta_1p * (VOT_i * Post_t * ln(p_i)) + ... + epsilon_it
If beta_1p < 0, the VOT effect is larger for high-p_i participants, supporting the opportunity cost channel. If the TC effect does not vary with p_i, this provides a double dissociation.
PRIMARY HYPOTHESES (Bonferroni-corrected, alpha = 0.025 each):
H1: beta_1 < 0 (VOT treatment reduces screen time, indicating inattention to opportunity cost)
H2: beta_2 < 0 (TC treatment reduces screen time, indicating biased time perception)
SECONDARY HYPOTHESES (alpha = 0.05):
H3: beta_3 != 0 (interaction between the two biases)
H4: beta_1p < 0 (VOT effect correlates with p_i, supporting opportunity cost mechanism)
H5: TC effect does not vary with p_i (double dissociation)
EXPLORATORY ANALYSES:
Heterogeneity by baseline screen time (above/below median), gender, academic year, major (STEM vs. humanities), weekday vs. weekend. If baseline survey includes optional CRT and time preference items, heterogeneity by cognitive ability and patience. App-level treatment effects (e.g., social media vs. gaming). Persistence in Week 3 and 1-month follow-up.
WELFARE CALCULATION:
WL = (p_bar / (2 * eta_hat)) * (beta_1_hat + beta_2_hat)^2
where p_bar is the sample mean of the marginal opportunity cost (main specification) or the weighted average opportunity cost (robustness). Confidence intervals by bootstrap (resampling participants with replacement, 1000 iterations). Sensitivity: welfare recalculated under +/- 20% variation in p_bar.
DECOMPOSITION:
WL = (p_bar / (2 * eta_hat)) * Delta_k^2 + (p_bar / (2 * eta_hat)) * Delta_S^2 + (p_bar / eta_hat) * Delta_k * Delta_S
The first term is welfare loss from price-side inattention, the second from quantity-side misperception, the third from their interaction.