Managing Democracies for Development

Last registered on August 10, 2026

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Managing Democracies for Development
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0019340
Initial registration date
August 10, 2026

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
August 10, 2026, 5:13 PM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

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Primary Investigator

Affiliation
Harvard Business School

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
Toulouse School of Economics

Additional Trial Information

Status
In development
Start date
2026-08-08
End date
2029-12-31
Secondary IDs
Prior work
This trial does not extend or rely on any prior RCTs.
Abstract
In this project, we plan to implement a large-scale randomized controlled trial (RCT) that provides newly elected mayors in Peru with training in managerial skills and democratic practices. The intervention, which will target mayors elected in October 2026, seeks to address shortcomings in local public service delivery and citizen dissatisfaction with democracy. Our experimental design will allow us to study three distinct questions: (1) whether strengthening public management skills enables mayors to improve the provision of public goods and services; (2) whether increasing mayors' knowledge of democratic institutions and practices, as well as their ability to negotiate with the political opposition, improves local governance and citizen satisfaction with democracy; and (3) whether managerial skills and democratic and institutional knowledge act as complements or substitutes in improving public service delivery and governance.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Garbiras-Diaz, Natalia and Mateo Montenegro. 2026. "Managing Democracies for Development." AEA RCT Registry. August 10. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.19340-1.0
Sponsors & Partners

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Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
The intervention consists of a training program for newly elected municipal mayors in Peru, implemented in partnership with two local expert NGOs: one specializing in public management and the other in democratic practices. The program follows a hybrid format, combining three to four days of in-person training with additional online sessions between November 2026 and January 2027. All costs associated with participation are covered for mayors, including travel and accommodation for the in-person sessions and costs associated with participation in the online components.

The intervention includes two treatment arms:
T1 – Managerial Skills: Mayors receive training in public management, covering topics such as leadership, mayoral transitions, human resource management, civil service recruitment, and financial reporting and control.
T2 – Managerial Skills + Democratic Practices: Mayors receive the same managerial training as those assigned to T1, along with additional training in democratic practices. Topics include decentralization, democratic principles, lawmaking, deliberation, and constructive dialogue with the political opposition and civil society.

Mayors assigned to the control group receive no training during the study period. After the study concludes, control-group mayors will have access to recorded training modules, after any information identifying other participants has been anonymized.
Intervention Start Date
2026-11-11
Intervention End Date
2027-03-31

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
• Public service delivery (sanitation, water, solid waste, roads and public lighting)
• Social program performance
• Municipal spending and revenue
• Public procurement and contracting transparency
• Municipal bureaucratic quality
• Executive-legislative relations
• Citizen satisfaction with democracy
• Mayor-citizen communication
• Anti-corruption initiatives
• Political trust and efficacy
• Depolarization and disinformation
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Measured using household surveys, administrative registries, public finance data and procurement records. Measured using household surveys and public municipal records (official websites, social media accounts and ordinances), complemented by an original citizen survey fielded for this study.

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
To be updated.
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
This study is a three-arm randomized controlled trial with treatment assignment at the mayor/municipality level. Newly elected mayors apply to participate through an online application, which also provides baseline and screening information. Applicants who satisfy the eligibility criteria are eligible for random assignment.

Eligible mayors are assigned to one of two treatment groups or to a control group. Approximately 200 mayors will receive training, divided approximately equally between the Managerial Skills treatment (T1) and the Managerial Skills + Democratic Practices treatment (T2). Mayors assigned to the control group will receive no training during the study period.
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Randomization will be conducted by the research team using computer-generated random assignment after the implementing partner has completed eligibility screening. Eligibility screening will use information collected through the program application and will include the implementing partner's standard eligibility requirements. In particular, applicants must have no prior criminal record, which will be verified using criminal and judicial background checks.

Treatment assignment will be blocked by three geographic regions (Lima, northern Peru, and southern Peru) and by pre-treatment measures of the study's main outcomes of interest. Additional baseline characteristics may also be used for blocking depending on the composition of the final pool of eligible applicants and the availability and distribution of pre-treatment measures. The final set of blocking variables will be determined and documented before treatment assignment takes place.

Within the resulting blocks, eligible mayors will be randomly assigned to T1, T2, or remain in the broader control group (which receives no trainings). From this broader control group, approximately 100 municipalities will subsequently be randomly selected to form a control subsample for additional primary data collection, including the citizen survey that forms part of our evaluation strategy.
Randomization Unit
The unit of randomization is the municipality, corresponding to its newly elected mayor who applies and is eligible to participate in the training program. Each municipality receives a single treatment assignment.
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
300 mayors/municipalities
Sample size: planned number of observations
300 mayors/municipalities
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
100
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
The minimum detectable effect is 0.23 standard deviations for a one-sided test and 0.26 standard deviations for a two-sided test, on a residualized public service access index, assuming 80% power and 5% significance level.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
Harvard University - Area Committee on the Use of Human Subjects
IRB Approval Date
2026-07-24
IRB Approval Number
26-0229
IRB Name
Comité de Ética del Instituto de Estudios Peruanos
IRB Approval Date
2026-07-17
IRB Approval Number
N/A
IRB Name
Heartland Institutional Review Board
IRB Approval Date
2026-03-12
IRB Approval Number
031126-1331