Experimental Design
The study is a four-arm randomized information experiment embedded in a large household financial survey conducted in Henan Province, China.
The study plans to obtain approximately 10,000 valid survey responses. Recruitment is designed to cover respondents with heterogeneous income, age, urban-rural residence, and exposure to financial services. The target sample structure consists approximately of 2,500 urban high-income/middle-income respondents, 3,500 urban wage-earning or other ordinary residents, 2,500 county/township/rural residents, and 1,500 retired or elderly respondents. These figures represent overall sample-structure targets rather than fixed quotas for individual survey sites.
All respondents complete the same pre-treatment questionnaire. The pre-treatment module collects demographic and household characteristics, household assets and liabilities, financial fragility and economic shocks, subjective and objective financial literacy, risk and time preferences, economic expectations and uncertainty, insurance participation and protection gaps, insurance claims experience and institutional trust, health status, long-term-care experience, pension preparation, and digital financial capability.
Respondents are assigned to one of four experimental groups:
Control: no additional information;
Household shock and financial-risk information;
Retirement and longevity-risk information;
Insurance consumer protection and contract information.
The planned treatment allocation ratio is approximately 1:1:1:1.
Random assignment will be determined in advance by the research team and will not be chosen by interviewers or respondents. Randomized blocks will be used so that the four experimental versions are approximately balanced within major survey sites while preserving an unpredictable distribution sequence for field investigators.
Apart from the randomized information treatment in Section 8, the four versions of the questionnaire contain the same questions, response options, question ordering, and layout.
Interviewers are prohibited from selecting respondents’ treatment groups, changing questionnaire versions, interpreting or elaborating on the experimental information, recommending specific insurance products, or inducing particular responses.
The main statistical analysis will follow the intention-to-treat principle. Respondents will therefore be analyzed according to the group to which they were originally randomized, irrespective of whether they correctly identify the treatment in the manipulation-check question.
The principal specification will compare each information-treatment group with the control group. Where applicable, models will include predetermined randomization-stratum or survey-site fixed effects and pre-treatment covariates to improve precision. Unadjusted treatment estimates will also be reported.
Baseline balance will be assessed using predetermined pre-treatment characteristics, including age, gender, education, household income, urban-rural residence, existing insurance coverage, financial literacy, financial fragility, risk preferences, health status, and prior household long-term-care experience.
The confirmatory analysis will focus on outcomes specified prior to observing the experimental results. Analyses restricted to respondents who pass the manipulation check will be treated as supplementary rather than as substitutes for the intention-to-treat estimates.