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Trial Status on_going completed
Abstract Finnish Basic Income Experiment is a large scale randomized field experiment organized by the Social Insurance Institution of Finland. The experiment began in January 2017 and it includes 2,000 unemployed workers receiving basic income. The basic income is 560 euros per month and it is paid unconditionally for two years. We will evaluate the effect of this basic income model using register based data. Our main objective is to estimate the effect of this basic income model on labor supply. Our secondary outcomes include earnings, income, participation in labor market programs, and health indicators. Finnish Basic Income Experiment is a large scale randomized field experiment organized by the Social Insurance Institution of Finland. The experiment began in January 2017 and it includes 2,000 unemployed workers receiving basic income. The basic income is 560 euros per month and it is paid unconditionally for two years. We will evaluate the effect of this basic income model using register-based data. Our main objective is to estimate the effect of this basic income model on labor supply. Our secondary outcomes include earnings, income, participation in labor market programs, and health indicators.
JEL Code(s) C93, H55, I38, J65
Last Published November 19, 2018 10:07 AM December 13, 2019 06:44 AM
Study Withdrawn No
Intervention Completion Date December 31, 2018
Data Collection Complete No
Restricted Data Contact (Details not yet released by Kela)
Is data available for public use? No
Intervention (Public) The treatment group receives the unconditional basic income for two years. The basic income is a monthly benefit of 560 euros that is not affected by the level of employment. The basic income replaces minimum unemployment benefits and it is paid together with other social benefits. As the income tax schedule remains unaffected, the monetary incentives to work increase strongly. Participation in the experiment is mandatory and governed by a law.
Primary Outcomes (End Points) Primary outcome: employment Days in employment
Experimental Design (Public) The target population of the experiment consists of individuals who are 25 - 58 years of age and received the minimum unemployment benefits in November 2016. The Social Insurance Institution of Finland randomized 2,000 individuals into treatment group in December 2017. The rest of the individuals in the target population can potentially be used as a control group. The treatment group receives the unconditional basic income for two years. Participation in the experiment is mandatory and governed by a law. The basic income replaces minimum unemployment benefits but it is paid together with other social benefits. The income tax schedule remains unaffected. The follow-up of the experiment will be based on administrative register data. Different registers will provide a large set of background characteristics and various outcome variables. Possible survey data collection will be decided at a later date. The target population of the experiment consists of individuals who are 25 - 58 years of age and received the minimum unemployment benefits in November 2016. The Social Insurance Institution of Finland randomized 2,000 individuals into treatment group in December 2017. The rest of the individuals in the target population can be used as a control group. The follow-up of the experiment will be based on administrative register data. Different registers provide a large set of background characteristics and various outcome variables. Register data are complemented by a survey carried out in October 2018.
Planned Number of Clusters 2,000 (the number of individuals receiving basic income) No clusters, simple random sampling
Planned Number of Observations 2,000 (the number of individuals receiving basic income) The target population includes over 100,000 unemployed individuals.
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms 2,000 individuals in the treatment group (receiving basic income) The control group will be defined based on register data at a later date. Currently, in absence of other interventions in the target population, the potential control group is very large (>100,000 individuals). The treatment group includes 2,000 individuals receiving basic income. The control group is defined based on register data and the number of individuals is very large (>100,000).
Power calculation: Minimum Detectable Effect Size for Main Outcomes Based on historical data on unemployed individuals from 2011 to 2013, we estimate the minimum detectable effect to be around 11% increase in employment days with 80% power and 5% significance level.
Public analysis plan No Yes
Secondary Outcomes (End Points) Annual earnings and income Take-up of social benefits Participation in labor market programs and education Health indicators
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Analysis Plans

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Document
FBI+PAP+181119b.pdf
MD5: ed8b6831dd6f27c7a3824fdaacb1c727
SHA1: 4ee7fc5f0bec9399f371c61f38bc178e9ffd958d
Title Pre-analysis plan November 2018 (updated)
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Other Primary Investigators

Field Before After
Affiliation VATT Institute for Economic Research
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Field Before After
Affiliation Labour Institute for Economic Research
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