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The Impact of Mobile Money on Poor Rural Households: Experimental Evidence from Uganda
Last registered on August 20, 2019

Pre-Trial

Trial Information
General Information
Title
The Impact of Mobile Money on Poor Rural Households: Experimental Evidence from Uganda
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0004605
Initial registration date
August 20, 2019
Last updated
August 20, 2019 5:04 PM EDT
Location(s)
Region
Primary Investigator
Affiliation
The World Bank
Other Primary Investigator(s)
PI Affiliation
The World Bank
Additional Trial Information
Status
Completed
Start date
2015-09-01
End date
2018-02-28
Secondary IDs
Abstract
We ask whether poor rural households benefit from better access to mobile money agents. In a randomized experiment, we assigned 168 areas in Northern Uganda to receive an agent in 2017, with 163 areas serving as a control group. Data from a 2018 household survey show that the agent rollout doubled the nonfarm self-employment rate, from 3.4 to 6.4 percent, and reduced the fraction of households with very low food security from 62.9 to 47.2 percent, in more remote areas. These increases appear to be due to more peer-to-peer transfers and cost savings for remittance transactions.
External Link(s)
Registration Citation
Citation
Bruhn, Miriam and Christina Wieser. 2019. "The Impact of Mobile Money on Poor Rural Households: Experimental Evidence from Uganda." AEA RCT Registry. August 20. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.4605-0.0.
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Experimental Details
Interventions
Intervention(s)
The intervention consisted in rolling out mobile money agents for Airtel Money. The rollout took place in treatment clusters between January and June 2017. A professional services firm was hired to assist with identifying potential agents. This firm also helped agents with the logistics of signing-up to become Airtel Money agents and provided them with the necessary equipment, training, and marketing materials.
Intervention Start Date
2017-01-01
Intervention End Date
2017-06-30
Primary Outcomes
Primary Outcomes (end points)
Agricultural investments, non-farm self-employment, food security, poverty
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
Agricultural investments: ownership of livestock, amount spent on seeds, number of crops grown
Secondary Outcomes
Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Peer-to-peer (P2P) transfers, savings
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
Experimental Design
Experimental Design
The study was conducted in rural areas in the North of Uganda, covering the three regions West Nile, Mid-North and Karamoja. The Ugandan Bureau of Statistics (UBOS) helped define the study sample. As a starting point, all rural enumeration areas in all sub-counties in the West Nile, Mid-North and Karamoja regions were used. From this list, sub-counties that had an Airtel Money agent were dropped, based on an agent database provided by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation. A random sample of 1,200 enumeration areas (EAs) was drawn from all rural enumeration areas in the remaining 249 sub-counties using population proportional to size sampling. The sample was stratified by sub-county to ensure that it included enumeration areas from all sub-counties.

In September and October 2015, a household listing exercise was conducted in the EAs selected for the study to generate a sampling frame that could be used for the baseline survey. At the same time, all businesses in each EA were listed to gain information on potential mobile money agents in the EA. To minimize potential spillovers of agents to control group EAs, the selected EAs were mapped and grouped into clusters. A 0.5km buffer was drawn around the boundary of each EA and EAs whose buffers overlapped were grouped. Clusters were thus at least 1km apart from each other.

In this process, some EAs were dropped from the sample since either the listing exercise could not be conducted (for logistical or security reasons), the listing did not yield any businesses and thus no potential agents, or the maps were missing from the software to group EAs into clusters. As a result, there were 929 EAs that were grouped into 658 clusters.

Using a computer assisted stratified randomization approach, 329 clusters were assigned to a treatment group and 329 clusters to a control group. The treatment clusters formed the list of EA clusters where Airtel Money agents were to be rolled out. No such agents were to be rolled out in control clusters.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
The randomization was done in office by a computer.

The randomization strata were based on three variables. First, a variable equal to one if the cluster included more than one EA (which was the case for 16 percent of clusters) and equal to zero if the cluster included only one EA. Second, a variable equal to one if the distance to the nearest bank branch was greater than the median distance across all clusters (25.2km) and equal to zero otherwise. These bank branches refer to Airtel partner banks and the distance was calculated as the closest distance from any point on the cluster boundary. The main reason for stratifying on this variable was that Airtel raised concerns as to whether agents that are further away from these banks can operate well since they may have a harder time maintaining liquidity. On the other hand, distance to an Airtel partner bank is likely also correlated with distance to urban centers and other financial services, so that clusters that are further away from a branch may see greater benefits from obtaining an agent. The third stratification variable was based on a strategic priority
Randomization Unit
Enumeration area clusters
Was the treatment clustered?
Yes
Experiment Characteristics
Sample size: planned number of clusters
658 enumeration area clusters
Sample size: planned number of observations
9600 households
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
329 enumeration area clusters control, 329 enumeration area clusters treatment
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB
INSTITUTIONAL REVIEW BOARDS (IRBs)
IRB Name
IRB Approval Date
IRB Approval Number
Post-Trial
Post Trial Information
Study Withdrawal
Intervention
Is the intervention completed?
Yes
Intervention Completion Date
June 30, 2017, 12:00 AM +00:00
Is data collection complete?
Yes
Data Collection Completion Date
February 28, 2018, 12:00 AM +00:00
Final Sample Size: Number of Clusters (Unit of Randomization)
334 enumeration area clusters
We dropped the 324 clusters in the strata that had been designated lower priority for the agent rollout since only 24 percent of treatment clusters in these strata received an agent.
In the remaining 334 high-priority clusters, 46 percent of treatment clusters received at least one agent.
Was attrition correlated with treatment status?
No
Final Sample Size: Total Number of Observations
3,720 households in 334 enumeration area clusters
Final Sample Size (or Number of Clusters) by Treatment Arms
168 treatment clusters 166 control clusters
Data Publication
Data Publication
Is public data available?
No
Program Files
Program Files
Reports and Papers
Preliminary Reports
Relevant Papers