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Trial Title Microenterprise Support to Integrate Urban Refugees in Uganda Can Development Aid Change Attitudes Toward Refugees? Experimental Evidence from Urban Microentrepreneurs in Uganda
Abstract How should assistance for refugees be allocated to gain the support of host communities? Host populations often believe they are negatively affected by refugees, yet the scope for assistance to facilitate positive relations and mitigate tension is largely unknown. We are conducting a randomized controlled trial to examine whether sharing aid between hosts and refugees engenders goodwill among host communities in Kampala, Uganda. We investigate two programs for Ugandan microentrepreneurs, cash grants and mentorship, implemented by a refugee-led non-profit to connect the programs to the refugee presence. We measure social outcomes, including support for hosting additional refugees and allowing them to work, and economic outcomes such as business profits to test whether effective development aid associated with refugees can induce support for inclusive hosting. How should assistance for refugees be allocated to aid refugees and gain the support of host communities? Host populations often believe they are negatively affected by refugees, yet the scope for assistance to facilitate positive relations and mitigate tension is largely unknown. We conduct a randomized controlled trial to investigate three programs for Ugandan microentrepreneurs that we saliently link to the refugee presence and Uganda's existing aid-sharing policy: canvassing, canvassing accompanied by a cash grant, and mentorship by an experienced refugee. We measure social outcomes, including support for hosting additional refugees and allowing them to work, and economic outcomes, such as business survival and profits, to test whether effective development aid associated with refugees can induce support for inclusive hosting.
Trial End Date December 31, 2020 December 31, 2021
Last Published January 08, 2020 02:18 PM October 20, 2020 04:12 PM
Intervention End Date February 05, 2020 January 31, 2021
Primary Outcomes (End Points) Total household income, support for refugee hosting, support for refugee right-to-work, perceived effect of refugees on host community. Support for inclusive refugee hosting, business profits
Primary Outcomes (Explanation) Total household income will be the sum of the following, directly-elicited variables over the last 30 days: profit of the listed business, profits of other business owned by the household, wage income of the respondent, wage income of other household members. We will analyze the log transformed variable. Support for refugee hosting will be measured using a 5-point Likert scale question asking whether the respondent supports Uganda's hosting and assisting of refugees, overall. Support for refugee right-to-work will be measured using a 5-point Likert scale question asking whether the respondent believes that Uganda should continue to allow refugees living in Uganda to work outside of settlements. Perceived effect of refugees on host community will be an index variable constructed from the arithmetic average response to 5-point Likert scale questions about 1) overall economic effect of refugees on Uganda, 2) effect of refugees on culture in Uganda. See pre-analysis plan.
Public analysis plan No Yes
Secondary Outcomes (End Points) Our secondary outcomes are, in general, refinements of the primary outcomes. We will measure business outcomes, support for inclusive refugee hosting policies, and perceptions about refugees. Our secondary outcomes are, in general, refinements of the primary outcomes. We will measure business outcomes, support for inclusive refugee hosting policies, and perceptions about refugees. See pre-analysis plan for details.
Secondary Outcomes (Explanation) Business outcomes: 1) business capital, elicited directly. We will analyze the log transform of this variable. 2) number of supplier relationships, elicited directly 3) (for mentorship treatment arms only) number of weeks that mentors and mentees continue meeting, elicited from the mentee directly and cross-validated with the mentor 4) index of household welfare, measured Support for inclusive refugee hosting policies: 1) support for relocation of current urban refugees to settlements, measured with 5-point Likert scale question 2) support for land provision to refugees, measured with 5-point Likert scale question 3) support for a path to citizenship and the right to vote for refugees, measured with 5-point Likert scale question 4) reservation price for permitting new refugees into settlements in Uganda, measured by fixing a hypothetical shock ("imagine that new refugees wish to come to Uganda and live in settlements, such that the current number of refugees would double. Donors will share aid between refugees and Ugandans, such that your household would receive X as a cash grant. What is the lowest value of X that would convince you to support letting the refugees in?") 5) reservation price for permitting new refugees into Kampala, measured like #4 but substituting Kampala for the settlements. 6) altruism toward refugees, measured by the share of a real donation the respondent chooses to allocate between a refugee-focused NGO, a Ugandan-focused NGO, and themselves. We will analyze the amount donated to the refugee-focused NGO, controlling for the amount kept for themselves Perceptions about refugees: 1) Social distance index, measured as the arithmetic average of a series of 5-point Likert scale questions about whether the respondent would be comfortable marrying a refugee, having a family member marry a refugee, having a refugee as a close personal friend, and having a refugee as a neighbor. 2) Index of negative effects of refugees on Uganda, measured separately for Congolese and Somalis, using the arithmetic average of a series of 3-point Likert scale questions about the effect of refugees on the dress code, acceptable behaviors, access and quality of schools and health facilities, rents, and prices of goods. 3) Number of close friends or business collaborators from another country, measured as the sum of answers to a question about # of close friends and one about # of business collaborators See pre-analysis plan.
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Analysis Plans

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Document
Uganda_Attitudes_PAP.pdf
MD5: 90bc41331df56c292c3546d66a8973cd
SHA1: 171d263959ef256628ebd1ecb2f649554141138c
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