Military Service Completion and Identity Formation

Last registered on December 16, 2020

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Military Service Completion and Identity Formation
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0005349
Initial registration date
January 30, 2020

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
February 07, 2020, 4:03 PM EST

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Last updated
December 16, 2020, 5:40 AM EST

Last updated is the most recent time when changes to the trial's registration were published.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Warwick

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
University of Warwick

Additional Trial Information

Status
Completed
Start date
2020-01-27
End date
2020-02-10
Secondary IDs
Abstract
We study how exogenously being drawn to complete the military service affects people’s beliefs and their identity. We combine a unique natural experiment, the random draw of some people having to complete the military service, with unique survey data on preferences, beliefs and identity. We study whether be- ing randomly assigned to complete the military service changes the likelihood of ever living outside of one’s province of residence at age 17. We also examine whether random assignment to complete the service had a long-lasting impact on people’s national identity, their beliefs, and their personalities. In this pre- analyis plan we specify (i) our main empirical specifications, (ii) the set of out- comes we plan to analyze, (iii) the sample size and inclusion criteria, (iv) power calculations based on pilot data (v) adjustment for multiple hypothesis testing, and (vi) the exact experimental instructions used.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Bagues, Manuel and Christopher Roth. 2020. "Military Service Completion and Identity Formation." AEA RCT Registry. December 16. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.5349-1.1
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
See pre-analysis plan.
Intervention Start Date
2020-01-28
Intervention End Date
2020-01-29

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
See pre-analysis plan.
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
See pre-analysis plan.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Lottery
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
4500 conscripts.
Sample size: planned number of observations
4500 conscripts
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
450 people randomly assigned not to do the military service
4050 people randomly assigned not to do the military service
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
The minimum detectable effect size for a power of 80% for the main outcomes of interest for national identity is 0.14 of a standard deviation. For details, see the pre-analysis plan.
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
University of Warwick (HSSREC 55/19-20).
IRB Approval Date
2019-12-19
IRB Approval Number
HSSREC 55/19-20
Analysis Plan

Analysis Plan Documents

PAP military service completion

MD5: d000bcb03fdd9530fe7f05ae659bc897

SHA1: fe2d9c7e0765f1bdd99140e4bc339f072bc5484e

Uploaded At: January 30, 2020

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials