Experimental Design Details
Given random assignment to the treatment, intention-to-treat effects are estimated by ordinary least squares, where the variable of interest is the indicator variable equal to one if the district was assigned to the treatment group (receiving the aquaculture training). The outcome can then be written as:
Y = a + b*T + e
Where Y is the outcome indicator (see above), T is the assignment to the Treatment (provision of information), and b measures the average effect of the intervention (provision of the information).
We checked the balance or equality of means between the treatment and control using various individual and location-level covariates. We used gender, age and education level of owner and manager, region, asset quintile, land area owned, size of biggest pond, total pond size, proportion of income coming from aquaculture and access to extension services. We also checked for the equality of means in intermediate and primary outcome indicators: ratings of the facility, record-keeping, survival rate, stocking, feed use, and productivity. In almost all of them, we could not reject equality of means between the treatment and control. This means the we achieved balance of baseline characteristics between treatment and control. The only covariate that is not balanced is the size of the biggest pond, in which treatment districts have bigger ponds on average across the largest ponds of the sample farmers. We will control for this in the regression analysis (ex-post).
Moreover, while we tried to minimize the risk on contamination and information spillover between treatment and control districts, it is still possible to occur. We will control for the distance between the farmer to the nearest border of the nearest treatment district to capture spillover. In the follow-up survey, we will also ask for detailed interactions of the farmer with other farmers to give some sense of information sharing and spillover especially between treatment and control districts that are near to each other. If any, the effect (b) can be interpreted as the lower bound of the true effect.
We test the null hypothesis (b=0). If rejected, we conclude that the intervention has significant effect to the magnitude of b.