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Field Before After
Trial End Date December 31, 2020 September 30, 2021
Last Published May 13, 2020 03:45 PM June 26, 2021 01:35 AM
Randomization Method Randomization is done based on the last digit of farmers' National Registration Card (NRC) number, which is effectively random. Treatment-control was divided based on even-odd last NRC digits. The randomization component is done based on the last digit of farmers' National Registration Card (NRC) number, which is effectively random. Treatment-control was divided based on even-odd last NRC digits.
Planned Number of Observations 453 borrowers (representing agricultural households). 453 potential borrowers (leaders of agricultural households).
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms There are 356 treatment and 97 control. The distribution of treatment-control varies by cluster (village) as randomization was done at individual rather than cluster level. There are 356 treatment and 97 control. The distribution of treatment-control varies by cluster (village) as randomization was done at individual rather than cluster level. At the time of the baseline survey, 342/453 households were successfully surveyed, a 75% response rate. Due to Covid-19, the endline survey was implemented as a phone survey, as in-person surveying was not legal in Myanmar at the time. At the time of the endline survey, we resurveyed baseline respondents, and also attempted to survey as many respondents who were missed at baseline (from the 25%), successfully reaching 94, so another 20.7% of the original sample of 453. We implemented a modified survey instrument at endline with this group, which also asked about a subset of variables that would have been asked at baseline. This allowed us to partially reconstruct a baseline-endline panel. Of the 342 baseline respondents, only 1 attritted in the endline phone survey, so we resurveyed 341 baseline respondents at endline. Added to the 94 who were missed in the original baseline, that gives us 435 total respondents (a 96% overall response rate), 341 who have full baseline-endline panel data, and 94 who have partial baseline-endline panel data. We can also break down these figures by sample group, which we describe as group 1 (188 randomized treatment), group 2 (168 credit officer selected treatment), and group 3 (97 control). -Group 1. 186 completed, 2 not completed = 188. Of the 186, 152 responded at baseline and endline, and 34 only at endline. -Group 2. 162 completed, 6 not completed = 168. Of the 162, 124 responded at baseline and endline, and 38 only at endline. -Group 3. 87 completed, 10 not completed = 97. Of the 87, 65 responded at baseline and endline, and 22 only at endline.
Keyword(s) Agriculture, Finance Agriculture, Finance
Secondary Outcomes (End Points) Secondary outcomes concern off-farm outcomes: non-farm business and earnings activity, household labour market outcomes, and broader outcomes for the household. With respect to other economic activity, we will focus on investments and returns from non-farm businesses, and labour earnings. With respect to other household outcomes, we will construct the Probability of Poverty Index (based on the Myanmar PPI), and calculate other monetary measures of household outcomes including expenditure on health and education, transfer receipts, and food security. In particular, we will look at a measure of 4-weeks' consumption, and likelihood of household needing to ration meals. Secondary outcomes concern off-farm outcomes: non-farm business and earnings activity, household labour market outcomes, and broader outcomes for the household. With respect to other economic activity, we will focus on investments and returns from non-farm businesses, and labour earnings. With respect to other household outcomes, we will construct the Probability of Poverty Index (based on the Myanmar PPI), and calculate other monetary measures of household outcomes including expenditure on health and education, transfer receipts, and food security. In particular, we will look at a measure of 4-weeks' consumption, and likelihood of households needing to ration meals.
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Other Primary Investigators

Field Before After
Affiliation Innovations for Poverty Action -- Myanmar
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