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The Political Consequences of the Covid-19 Crisis
Last registered on June 26, 2020

Pre-Trial

Trial Information
General Information
Title
The Political Consequences of the Covid-19 Crisis
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0006084
Initial registration date
June 25, 2020
Last updated
June 26, 2020 10:52 AM EDT
Location(s)

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Primary Investigator
Affiliation
CEMFI
Other Primary Investigator(s)
PI Affiliation
Banco de EspaƱa
PI Affiliation
CUNEF
Additional Trial Information
Status
On going
Start date
2020-06-19
End date
2021-02-01
Secondary IDs
Abstract
In this study, we plan to analyze the political and economic consequences of the unequal burden of the Covid-19 crisis across Spanish households. With this objective, we plan to conduct a number of large-scale online experiments conducted to a representative sample of the Spanish population. Spain is one of the most severely affected countries by the Covid-19 pandemic, both in terms of the public health crisis and the expected economic downturn.

We plan to focus on three main research questions. First, we will study how informing people about the economic crisis caused by the covid-19 pandemic affects beliefs and political attitudes. Second, we will study to what extent receiving information about policies that strengthen safety nets affects political attitudes. Third, we will study the interaction between these two issues. In particular, we will study how information about policies mediates on the effects of the economic crises on attitudes.
External Link(s)
Registration Citation
Citation
Almunia, Miguel, Monica Martinez-Bravo and Carlos Sanz. 2020. "The Political Consequences of the Covid-19 Crisis." AEA RCT Registry. June 26. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.6084-1.0.
Experimental Details
Interventions
Intervention(s)
This study will conduct a number of survey experiments to a sample of 5,000 people in Spain during the last two weeks of June 2020. Individuals will be randomly assigned to receive information on the effects of Covid-19 in the economy and to receive information about new safety-net policies recently introduced in Spain.
Intervention Start Date
2020-06-19
Intervention End Date
2020-07-03
Primary Outcomes
Primary Outcomes (end points)
Trust in political institutions.

Assessment of the performance of the current government in managing the crisis.

Political preferences and polarization. Ideological and Affective polarization.

Support for Taxation and Redistribution.

Knowledge and support for the Guaranteed Minimum Income policy, which was recently adopted by the Spanish Government.

Self-assessment of emotional well-being.

(See the attached pre-analysis plan for details.)
Primary Outcomes (explanation)
(See the attached pre-analysis plan for details.)
Secondary Outcomes
Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)
Experimental Design
Experimental Design
(See the attached pre-analysis plan for details.)
Experimental Design Details
Not available
Randomization Method
Individual-level randomization within strata, without replacement.
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No
Experiment Characteristics
Sample size: planned number of clusters
5,000 individuals
Sample size: planned number of observations
5,000 individuals
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
5,000 individuals
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB
INSTITUTIONAL REVIEW BOARDS (IRBs)
IRB Name
Centro de Estudios Monetarios y Financieros (CEMFI)
IRB Approval Date
2020-06-10
IRB Approval Number
8
Analysis Plan

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