Primary Outcomes (end points)
The primary outcomes are specified in our pre-analysis plan (contained in the grant application registered with the sponsors on May 12, 2015) and the IRB application (granted on February 3, 2016). Specifically, we investigate three outcomes that are likely to be predictive of adolescents’ long-term labor-market success:
- School grades in math (cognitive component)
- Patience and social skills (behavioral component)
- Labor-market orientation (volitional component)
- We also combine these individual components to an index of labor-market pro-spects, which is the main outcome we study.
In the future, we plan to field further waves of data collection. In these waves, we will focus on the effects of the mentoring program on individuals’ actual labor market out-comes, among others, obtained qualification, employment status, and earnings. To be able to observe individuals after their labor-market entry, the end date of our trial is in 2030.
Update April 2025:
We will evaluate the long-term impact of participation in the mentoring program on the current labor-market situation, e.g., current employment status, completion of apprenticeship (yes/no), earnings, and satisfaction with the current situation.
As our prior analysis established significant effect heterogeneity by socioeconomic status (SES), we will conduct all main analyses by SES.