Political Preferences and Expected Economic Outcomes

Last registered on October 27, 2020

Pre-Trial

Trial Information

General Information

Title
Political Preferences and Expected Economic Outcomes
RCT ID
AEARCTR-0006664
Initial registration date
October 23, 2020

Initial registration date is when the trial was registered.

It corresponds to when the registration was submitted to the Registry to be reviewed for publication.

First published
October 27, 2020, 7:20 AM EDT

First published corresponds to when the trial was first made public on the Registry after being reviewed.

Locations

Region

Primary Investigator

Affiliation
University of Texas at Austin

Other Primary Investigator(s)

PI Affiliation
PI Affiliation

Additional Trial Information

Status
Completed
Start date
2020-10-19
End date
2020-10-21
Secondary IDs
Abstract
We study how individual political preferences prior to the US presidential election shape expected economic outcomes.
External Link(s)

Registration Citation

Citation
Coibion, Olivier, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Michael Weber. 2020. "Political Preferences and Expected Economic Outcomes." AEA RCT Registry. October 27. https://doi.org/10.1257/rct.6664-1.0
Experimental Details

Interventions

Intervention(s)
Information about recent polls provided by different news sources
Intervention Start Date
2020-10-19
Intervention End Date
2020-10-21

Primary Outcomes

Primary Outcomes (end points)
Economic expectations of individuals
Primary Outcomes (explanation)

Secondary Outcomes

Secondary Outcomes (end points)
Secondary Outcomes (explanation)

Experimental Design

Experimental Design
Participants are randomly split into different groups: one control and four treatment groups where each treatment group gets different polling information.
Experimental Design Details
Randomization Method
Randomization done by survey company
Randomization Unit
Individual
Was the treatment clustered?
No

Experiment Characteristics

Sample size: planned number of clusters
5000 individuals
Sample size: planned number of observations
5000 individuals
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms
around 1000 individuals
Minimum detectable effect size for main outcomes (accounting for sample design and clustering)
IRB

Institutional Review Boards (IRBs)

IRB Name
IRB Approval Date
IRB Approval Number

Post-Trial

Post Trial Information

Study Withdrawal

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Intervention

Is the intervention completed?
No
Data Collection Complete
Data Publication

Data Publication

Is public data available?
No

Program Files

Program Files
Reports, Papers & Other Materials

Relevant Paper(s)

Reports & Other Materials