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Last Published October 28, 2020 09:14 AM March 08, 2021 12:42 PM
Primary Outcomes (End Points) Our primary outcome variable is respondents' beliefs about the probability that a randomly drawn image has a certain content (word vs number) conditional on receiving information (or not) about whether the image is a certain color (blue vs orange) Our primary outcome variable is respondents' beliefs about the probability that a randomly drawn image has a certain content (word vs number) conditional on receiving information (or not) about whether the image is a certain color (blue vs orange). [Added after first set of experiments]: In the second part of the experiments, our primary outcome variable is respondent's beliefs about the probability that a randomly drawn word belongs to a certain category.
Planned Number of Clusters 1200 individuals 1200 individuals [Second wave of experiments]: Also 1200 individuals
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms 150 respondents per treatment group. 150 respondents per treatment group. [Second wave of experiments]: 240 respondents per treatment group
Secondary Outcomes (End Points) We have several secondary outcomes. We measure how confident subjects are (on a likert scale) that their probabilistic answers are correct. We also have two separate memory tasks. First, respondents are given a series of four words, and are ask "Was X (in C) among the images you were shown?" where C is a color and the word X is displayed in that color font. The correct answer to this question is always "no", and we are measuring how frequently respondents incorrectly believe that they saw the word. Our second memory task simply asks them to list all the orange words they remember having been shown. We have several secondary outcomes. We measure how confident subjects are (on a likert scale) that their probabilistic answers are correct. We also have two separate memory tasks. First, respondents are given a series of four words, and are ask "Was X (in C) among the images you were shown?" where C is a color and the word X is displayed in that color font. The correct answer to this question is always "no", and we are measuring how frequently respondents incorrectly believe that they saw the word. Our second memory task simply asks them to list all the orange words they remember having been shown. [Added after first set of experiments]: In the second part of the experiments, we also have certainty measurements, as well as recall measurements for each category.
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