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Trial End Date October 15, 2024 February 28, 2025
Last Published December 21, 2022 01:47 PM December 20, 2023 05:24 AM
Intervention (Public) The intervention consists of two parts. The first part is a counseling program which mainly takes place at the class level, but which also contains some individual sessions. The second part takes place after the end of the school year and is an individual job search assistance program. Part 1: Counseling program In this counseling program, in each treated class, caseworkers provide general information about the employment prospects of the students, the students learn about the relevance of specific skills on the labor market, and they apply tools to define and to measure their own skills. Moreover, they learn how to search for a job, how to apply to a job, and how to present themselves in a job interview. The students will also meet employers in their local labor market and visit firms. These collective sessions are combined with individual sessions. In these individual sessions, the students discuss the professional project and their job search with the caseworker. They also have access to a psychologist who advises them in developing their professional project. Overall, this program consists of around 25 hours; around 20 hours for the collective sessions and around 5 hours for the individual sessions. This first treatment takes place from January 2022 to June 2022. Part 2: Individual job search assistance program In this part, the treated students get an intensified support with the possibility of mobilizing the services offered by the PES. This includes the proposal of job offers to the students and the recommendation of the students to potential employers. This might also include the placement of internships for the students. In this case, the caseworker would continue supporting the students during the internship in their job search process. The goal of this part of the program is to help the students to find a stable job. This second treatment will take place from mid-June 2022 until October 2022. The intervention will be repeated in 2023 with the same schools selected for the intervention in 2022 (the treatment status will not change over time) and with additionally selected schools. The intervention consists of two parts. The first part is a counseling program which mainly takes place at the class level, but which also contains some individual sessions. The second part takes place after the end of the school year and is an individual job search assistance program. Part 1: Counseling program In this counseling program, in each treated class, caseworkers provide general information about the employment prospects of the students, the students learn about the relevance of specific skills on the labor market, and they apply tools to define and to measure their own skills. Moreover, they learn how to search for a job, how to apply to a job, and how to present themselves in a job interview. The students will also meet employers in their local labor market and visit firms. These collective sessions are combined with individual sessions. In these individual sessions, the students discuss the professional project and their job search with the caseworker. They also have access to a psychologist who advises them in developing their professional project. Overall, this program consists of around 25 hours; around 20 hours for the collective sessions and around 5 hours for the individual sessions. This first treatment takes place from January 2022 to June 2022. Part 2: Individual job search assistance program In this part, the treated students get an intensified support with the possibility of mobilizing the services offered by the PES. This includes the proposal of job offers to the students and the recommendation of the students to potential employers. This might also include the placement of internships for the students. In this case, the caseworker would continue supporting the students during the internship in their job search process. The goal of this part of the program is to help the students to find a stable job. This second treatment will take place from mid-June 2022 until October 2022. The intervention will be repeated in 2023 with the same schools selected for the intervention in 2022 (the treatment status will not change over time) and with additionally selected schools. The intervention will be repeated in 2024 with the same schools selected for the intervention in 2023. The treatment status of the schools will not change over time. In contrast to the previous years, in 2024 all classes of treated schools will be treated.
Intervention End Date October 15, 2023 June 30, 2024
Primary Outcomes (Explanation) We rely on administrative registers which provide rich information about all students of vocational schools and their situation after school. They contain information about employment in public and private sectors, earnings, participation in training programs and enrollment in the educational system. Based on these administrative data, we observe for every individual in our sample the employment status after exiting vocational school, with or without diploma. Depending on the availability of sources, due to confidentiality issue, individuals can be tracked, without limitation in time, either every 6 months or on a daily basis. We will estimate the probability of being employed at time t after leaving the vocational school. Besides the employment state at a specific point in time, we will also be able to observe the earnings of employed individuals. This allows us to construct yearly earnings for each individual in our experiment and we will be able to estimate the impact of the intervention on earnings in a specific year as well as on cumulated earnings over several years. We will use the administrative data on the enrollment in the educational system to measure the impact of the interventions on the probability of entering educational tracks which lead to a higher educational degree or to another educational degree of similar level. We will additionally be able to observe whether they finish these educational programs. We will explore effect heterogeneity of the interventions with respect to the situation on the local labor market. For this we will use regional data on sector- and occupation-specific unemployment rates as well as information on the employment rates of previous cohorts of vocational students who graduated in the same vocational schools. We rely on administrative registers which provide rich information about all students of vocational schools and their situation after school. They contain information about employment in public and private sectors, earnings, participation in training programs and enrollment in the educational system. Based on these administrative data, we observe for every individual in our sample the employment status after exiting vocational school, with or without diploma. Depending on the availability of sources, due to confidentiality issue, individuals can be tracked, without limitation in time, either every 6 months or on a daily basis. We will estimate the probability of being employed at time t after leaving the vocational school. Besides the employment state at a specific point in time, we will also be able to observe the earnings of employed individuals. This allows us to construct yearly earnings for each individual in our experiment and we will be able to estimate the impact of the intervention on earnings in a specific year as well as on cumulated earnings over several years. We will use the administrative data on the enrollment in the educational system to measure the impact of the interventions on the probability of entering educational tracks which lead to a higher educational degree or to another educational degree of similar level. We will additionally be able to observe whether they finish these educational programs. We will explore effect heterogeneity of the interventions with respect to the situation on the local labor market. For this we will use regional data on sector- and occupation-specific unemployment rates as well as information on the employment rates of previous cohorts of vocational students who graduated in the same vocational schools. For the cohort of students treated in 2024, we will additionally explore effect heterogeneity with respect to students’ personality traits (Big Five and Locus of Control). We will conduct a survey in all participating schools. The first wave of this survey takes place in November 2023 to January 2024, i.e., before the treatment starts. In this survey we measure the locus of control based on 8 items and the Big Five based on 30 items. Moreover, in this survey we observe students’ subjective expectations about employment outcomes, their knowledge about employment prospects of similar students, and students’ subjective evaluation of their preparation for the labor market. We will also explore effect heterogeneity along these dimensions.
Experimental Design (Public) We set up the experiment in 8 regions in France. In these regions, we have around 400 public vocational schools entering our experiment. The group of treated schools will consist of about 200 schools. The treatment in the schools will be delivered by around 50 counsellors employed by the public employment service (Pôle Emploi). Each of these 50 counsellors will be in charge of 4 schools. Our starting points for the randomization are the local offices of the public employment service in the participating regions. For each local office, we identify the vocational schools which are reachable within less than 60 minutes by car. We select those local offices which have a sufficiently large number of vocational schools in their area (usually those with at least 8 vocational schools reachable within less than 60 minutes by car since each agency is in charge of 4 schools). For each of these schools, we observe the average share of students which have been employed 6 months after finishing the school in the years 2018 and 2019. Within schools we additionally observe this employment rate at the class level. Each class corresponds to one specific occupational degree. In a first step, we randomly select schools to participate in the experiment. For this, we stratify schools by average employment rates of the graduates of previous cohorts. This stratification takes place within the schools which are allocated to the same public employment office. In a second step, we randomly choose within each school half of the classes to participate in the experiment. For this, we stratify the classes by the employment rates observed for graduates who have chosen the same occupational track in the same school in previous years. Students in the selected classes will be offered to participate in the counseling program (part 1 of the intervention). In a third step, we randomly choose half of the students who participate in the first part of the intervention. The selected students will be contacted by the counsellor of the public employment service and they will be offered to participate in an individual job search assistance program (part 2 of the intervention). Students choose during the final year whether they want to prepare themselves for entering the labor market (professional track) or whether they want to go on with their studies (higher education track). Our intervention is designed for the first group of students (professional track). If possible, we will collect pre- and post-treatment information about the type of track the students have chosen. We can distinguish four groups of students. First, we observe outcomes for students who are in the professional track in non-treated schools (group A). Second, we observe outcomes of students in the professional track in non-treated classes (group B) within treated schools. Third, we observe outcomes of students who participate in the group-level treatment and who were not assigned to the individual job counseling program (group C). Fourth, we observe outcomes of students who get the group-level treatment and who are offered the individual counseling program (group D). Our design allows us to analyze different effects of the interventions: (1) A comparison of groups D and C will allow us to estimate the additional effect of the individual counseling program compared to the group level program only. (2) A comparison of groups D and B will give us an estimate of the joint effect of the group level treatment and the individual counseling program. (3) A comparison of groups D and A will give us an estimate of the joint effect of the group level treatment and the individual counseling program without potential displacement and spillover effects within schools. (4) A comparison of groups C and B will give us an estimate of the impact of the group level treatment on the outcomes. (5) A comparison of groups C and A will give us an estimate of the impact of the group level treatment on the outcomes without potential displacement and spillover effects within schools. (6) A comparison of groups A and B will give us insights about potential displacement effects of the treatment. The feasibility of the comparisons (2) to (6) will depend on the availability of information about the type of track the students have chosen before the intervention has started (professional or higher education track). In case this information is not available, the corresponding comparisons will be based on all students (professional and higher education track). We will additionally explore whether the displacement effects differ depending on whether the students in the non-treated schools are outside the labor pools of the labor agencies involved in the experiment. For this, we will divide the group A in two subgroups: Group A1 consists of students in non-treated schools outside the labor pools of labor agencies involved in the experiment, and group A2 consists of students in non-treated schools which are within the labor pools of labor agencies participating in the experiment. We will compare groups A1 and A2 with students in group B. In 2023, we will repeat the experiment with the schools which have participated in 2022 and we will additionally include new schools. This will lead to around 650 public vocational schools entering our experiment in 2023. The group of treated schools will consist of about 325 schools. The treatment status of schools which already participated in 2022 will not change. The treatment in the schools in 2023 will be delivered by around 90 counsellors employed by the public employment service (Pôle Emploi). We set up the experiment in 8 regions in France. In these regions, we have around 400 public vocational schools entering our experiment. The group of treated schools will consist of about 200 schools. The treatment in the schools will be delivered by around 50 counsellors employed by the public employment service (Pôle Emploi). Each of these 50 counsellors will be in charge of 4 schools. Our starting points for the randomization are the local offices of the public employment service in the participating regions. For each local office, we identify the vocational schools which are reachable within less than 60 minutes by car. We select those local offices which have a sufficiently large number of vocational schools in their area (usually those with at least 8 vocational schools reachable within less than 60 minutes by car since each agency is in charge of 4 schools). For each of these schools, we observe the average share of students which have been employed 6 months after finishing the school in the years 2018 and 2019. Within schools we additionally observe this employment rate at the class level. Each class corresponds to one specific occupational degree. In a first step, we randomly select schools to participate in the experiment. For this, we stratify schools by average employment rates of the graduates of previous cohorts. This stratification takes place within the schools which are allocated to the same public employment office. In a second step, we randomly choose within each school half of the classes to participate in the experiment. For this, we stratify the classes by the employment rates observed for graduates who have chosen the same occupational track in the same school in previous years. Students in the selected classes will be offered to participate in the counseling program (part 1 of the intervention). In a third step, we randomly choose half of the students who participate in the first part of the intervention. The selected students will be contacted by the counsellor of the public employment service and they will be offered to participate in an individual job search assistance program (part 2 of the intervention). Students choose during the final year whether they want to prepare themselves for entering the labor market (professional track) or whether they want to go on with their studies (higher education track). Our intervention is designed for the first group of students (professional track). If possible, we will collect pre- and post-treatment information about the type of track the students have chosen. We can distinguish four groups of students. First, we observe outcomes for students who are in the professional track in non-treated schools (group A). Second, we observe outcomes of students in the professional track in non-treated classes (group B) within treated schools. Third, we observe outcomes of students who participate in the group-level treatment and who were not assigned to the individual job counseling program (group C). Fourth, we observe outcomes of students who get the group-level treatment and who are offered the individual counseling program (group D). Our design allows us to analyze different effects of the interventions: (1) A comparison of groups D and C will allow us to estimate the additional effect of the individual counseling program compared to the group level program only. (2) A comparison of groups D and B will give us an estimate of the joint effect of the group level treatment and the individual counseling program. (3) A comparison of groups D and A will give us an estimate of the joint effect of the group level treatment and the individual counseling program without potential displacement and spillover effects within schools. (4) A comparison of groups C and B will give us an estimate of the impact of the group level treatment on the outcomes. (5) A comparison of groups C and A will give us an estimate of the impact of the group level treatment on the outcomes without potential displacement and spillover effects within schools. (6) A comparison of groups A and B will give us insights about potential displacement effects of the treatment. The feasibility of the comparisons (2) to (6) will depend on the availability of information about the type of track the students have chosen before the intervention has started (professional or higher education track). In case this information is not available, the corresponding comparisons will be based on all students (professional and higher education track). We will additionally explore whether the displacement effects differ depending on whether the students in the non-treated schools are outside the labor pools of the labor agencies involved in the experiment. For this, we will divide the group A in two subgroups: Group A1 consists of students in non-treated schools outside the labor pools of labor agencies involved in the experiment, and group A2 consists of students in non-treated schools which are within the labor pools of labor agencies participating in the experiment. We will compare groups A1 and A2 with students in group B. In 2023, we will repeat the experiment with the schools which have participated in 2022 and we will additionally include new schools. This will lead to around 650 public vocational schools entering our experiment in 2023. The group of treated schools will consist of about 325 schools. The treatment status of schools which already participated in 2022 will not change. The treatment in the schools in 2023 will be delivered by around 90 counsellors employed by the public employment service (Pôle Emploi). The intervention will be repeated in 2024 with the same schools selected for the intervention in 2023. The treatment status of the schools will not change over time. In contrast to the previous years, in 2024 all classes of treated schools will be treated.
Planned Number of Clusters 1) Around 400 schools 2) Around 1,300 classes (on average 3.25 per treated school) In 2023, we repeat the intervention with an increased sample size. The number of clusters in 2023 will be: 1) Around 650 schools 2) Around 2,100 classes (on average 3.25 per treated school) 1) Around 400 schools 2) Around 1,300 classes (on average 3.25 per treated school) In 2023, we repeat the intervention with an increased sample size. The number of clusters in 2023 will be: 1) Around 650 schools 2) Around 2,100 classes (on average 3.25 per treated school) In 2024, we repeat the intervention with the same schools as in 2023. The number of clusters in 2024 will be: 680 schools. In contrast to the previous years, in 2024 all classes of treated schools will be treated.
Planned Number of Observations Around 23,000 pupils in the treated schools, around 23,000 pupils in the non-treated schools (overall, around 46,000 pupils) In 2023, we repeat the intervention with an increased sample. The number of observations in 2023 will be: Around 37,000 pupils in the treated schools, around 37,000 pupils in the non-treated schools (overall, around 74,000 pupils) Around 23,000 pupils in the treated schools, around 23,000 pupils in the non-treated schools (overall, around 46,000 pupils) In 2023, we repeat the intervention with an increased sample. The number of observations in 2023 will be: Around 37,000 pupils in the treated schools, around 37,000 pupils in the non-treated schools (overall, around 74,000 pupils) In 2024, we will repeat the intervention with the same schools as in 2023. The number of observations in 2024 will be around 37,000 pupils in treated schools and 37,000 pupils in non/treated schools (overall around 74,000 pupils).
Sample size (or number of clusters) by treatment arms 1) 200 treated and 200 non-treated schools 2) Around 650 treated and around 650 non-treated classes in the treated schools 3) Around 11,500 students in the treated classes and around 11,500 students in the nontreated classes. We assume that around 50% of these pupils chose the professional track. 4) In the treated classes, we expect that half of the pupils get the group level treatment, and 25% students are additionally offered the individual counseling program. Which means around 5,750 students in group level treatment and 2,875 in individual counseling program (combined with the group level treatment). In 2023, we will use the same design and increase the sample size in the treatment arms proportionally to the increase in the overall sample size. 1) 200 treated and 200 non-treated schools 2) Around 650 treated and around 650 non-treated classes in the treated schools 3) Around 11,500 students in the treated classes and around 11,500 students in the nontreated classes. We assume that around 50% of these pupils chose the professional track. 4) In the treated classes, we expect that half of the pupils get the group level treatment, and 25% students are additionally offered the individual counseling program. Which means around 5,750 students in group level treatment and 2,875 in individual counseling program (combined with the group level treatment). In 2023, we will use the same design and increase the sample size in the treatment arms proportionally to the increase in the overall sample size. In 2024, we repeat the intervention with the same schools as in 2023, but we will have no non-treated classes in the treated schools.
Secondary Outcomes (End Points) (1) Sector of Employment; (2) Occupation of this job; (3) Local Job creation; (4) Final grades. (1) Sector of Employment; (2) Occupation of this job; (3) Local Job creation; (4) Final grades. For the students treated in 2024 we will additionally investigate the impact on (5) expected employment outcomes, (6) knowledge about employment prospects of similar students, and (7) subjective evaluation of their preparation for the labor market.
Secondary Outcomes (Explanation) Based on administrated data, we will be able to observe the sector of employment and the type of occupation the individuals enter. Moreover, we will be able to investigate whether there are additional jobs created in areas with treated schools. For this we will use administrative data on jobs at the local and sectoral level. Based on administrative records from the educational system, we will be able to analyze the impact of the intervention on the probability of finishing the vocational school with a diploma, and on the final grades. We will explore effect heterogeneity of the interventions with respect to the situation on the local labor market. For this we will use regional data on sector- and occupation-specific unemployment rates as well as information on the employment rates of previous cohorts of vocational students who graduated in the same vocational schools. Based on administrated data, we will be able to observe the sector of employment and the type of occupation the individuals enter. Moreover, we will be able to investigate whether there are additional jobs created in areas with treated schools. For this we will use administrative data on jobs at the local and sectoral level. Based on administrative records from the educational system, we will be able to analyze the impact of the intervention on the probability of finishing the vocational school with a diploma, and on the final grades. We will explore effect heterogeneity of the interventions with respect to the situation on the local labor market. For this we will use regional data on sector- and occupation-specific unemployment rates as well as information on the employment rates of previous cohorts of vocational students who graduated in the same vocational schools. In the school year 2023/2024 we conduct a survey in all participating schools. The first wave of this survey takes place from November 2023 to January 2024, i.e., before the treatment starts. The second wave is planned for May 2024, i.e., after part 1 (counseling program) of the treatment. In both waves we ask several questions about students’ plans for the next year and expected employment outcomes. The questions about expected employment outcomes include the expected probability of finding a job within (i) 6 and (ii) 12 months (conditional on searching for a job), the (iii) expected wage in the first job, and (iv) the probability that the first job will be interesting and that the students will like the job, and (v) whether they expect that this job will be a job with a fixed-term contract, a job with an open-ended contract, or a free-lancer job. To measure the knowledge about employment prospects of similar students, we ask about the share of students who find a job within 6 months among those who obtain the same diploma and who decide to look for a job without continuing their studies. We will compare the answers of the students with the actual shares of students who find a job within 6 months. This comparison will allow us to measure the accuracy of students’ beliefs about employment prospects of similar students. The survey additionally contains several questions to measure the subjective evaluation of the students’ preparation for the labor market. The students are asked to what extent they agree with the following statements: (i) I know how to find job offers that match my profile and where I'm likely to be hired; (ii) I feel ready for job interviews; (iii) to find a good job, you need to be mobile and look in different regions, sectors and professions; (iv) if I'm looking for a job next year, I can count on my family and people I know to find a job; (v) I already have contacts with employers and companies that I can contact directly when I’m looking for a job. We will consider these items separately and we will construct a joint index based on all items. For the cohort of students treated in 2024, we will additionally explore effect heterogeneity with respect to students’ personality traits (Big Five and Locus of Control). The first wave of this survey takes place in November and December 2023, i.e., before the treatment starts. In this survey we measure the locus of control based on 8 items and the Big Five based on 30 items. We repeat these measures in the second survey, which takes place after the first part of the treatment. This will allow us to additionally investigate the impact of the treatment on the Big Five and the Locus of Control of the students.
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